By Seth Mandel
Tuesday, April 28, 2026
Underlying our public debate about anti-Semitism is the
belief that we’re dealing with a kind of punctuated equilibrium: periods of
mostly stable levels of anti-Semitism followed by occasional bursts that give
us a new normal.
But what if that’s wrong? What if there aren’t periods of
stability anymore?
Post-October 7 anti-Semitism seemed primed to follow the
usual pattern, in which certain metrics of anti-Semitism will improve after the
surge and others will level off at the crest of the surge. So all the metrics
are considered in light of the assumption that the surge will fade as the Hamas
attacks get further in the rearview mirror.
But the surge is acting funny.
When Tel Aviv University released its annual
report on worldwide anti-Semitism for the year 2025, the main headline was
that more Jews had been killed in anti-Semitic incidents (20) than in any year
in over three decades. It was no consolation to say that this was because there
was a massacre in Australia that pushed the numbers so high and that such
massacres are blessedly rare—after all, attempted anti-Jewish massacres
continue to take place. If the recent attack on a Reform shul in Michigan had
succeeded, God forbid, 2026 would far surpass 2025 on this metric just a few
months into the year. To be Jewish in some parts of the world now is to feel
more like a target than ever.
Delving into the report far beyond that headline
statistic reveals why that feeling is so widely shared: Three years after
October 7, violent anti-Semitism is still rising across parts of the
West.
In France, the report notes, there were 300 fewer overall
anti-Semitic incidents. The total number for 2025 was still nearly 1,000 more
than in 2022, before the Hamas attacks. But there’s even worse news: “The
number of incidents involving physical violence reached 126 in 2025, up from
106 in 2024, 85 in 2023, and 43 in 2022.”
The category of “total incidents” isn’t indicative,
therefore, of the real trend of anti-Semitism in France. Examples from the
report: “the March 2025 assault of Chief Rabbi Arié Engelberg of Orléans while
he was walking home from synagogue with his young son. The attacker reportedly
confirmed that Engelberg was Jewish and then beat and insulted him. Later that
spring, Rabbi Elie Lemmel was attacked twice within one week: first punched in
the stomach in Deauville, and then struck in the head with a chair at a café in
Neuilly-sur-Seine.”
The report notes that incidents of vandalism are also
down slightly. But the increase in violent incidents was greater than the
decrease in vandalism, suggesting that Jew-haters in France are changing
tactics and getting more dangerous. Again, this is something the overall number
of incidents won’t tell you.
Regarding Canada, the report—which relies on
country-specific sources—has only the number of overall incidents. And that
one’s not good: About 600 more in 2025 than the year before; 2024 also exceeded
2023. Again, wrong direction. And while we don’t have the breakdown of physical
violence to other types of incidents, we do know the violence remains a key
concern: “The year’s most serious physical assaults on Jews in Canada included
the August 27 stabbing of a Jewish woman in her seventies while she was shopping
in the kosher section of an Ottawa grocery. On August 8, a 32-year-old Hasidic
Jewish father was beaten in a park in Montreal in front of his children in an
assault partly captured on video and widely circulated online.”
The news isn’t great in the United Kingdom either. The
number of overall anti-Semitic incidents in the UK in 2025 was higher than in
2024 (though lower than in 2023). The Community Security Trust keeps a category
of “extreme violence,” and there were four such incidents in 2025—double the
number of the year before. The report highlights the terrorist attack on a
Manchester synagogue on Yom Kippur in which two were killed, and states for
posterity: “It was the first fatal antisemitic attack recorded by the CST since
it began its surveys in 1984.”
In Australia, as one might expect from reading recent
headlines, anti-Semitic incidents increased in 2025 over 2024. As for violence,
15 were murdered in the Bondi Beach massacre in December.
Belgium’s anti-Semitism-monitoring organization recorded
a massive increase in overall anti-Jewish incidents, from 129 in 2024 to 232 in
2025. Physical assaults also increased, as did vandalism. Across the board,
another European country gone off the rails, it would seem.
In 2025, Italy saw a rise in overall anti-Semitic events
and assaults, according to the report.
In Spain, too, anti-Semitic incidents increased—an
unsurprising result considering the amount of time and effort the government of
Pedro Sanchez spends demonizing the Jewish state.
In Norway, overall incidents went down, but acts of
violence increased from one to four.
The only somewhat bright spot—and that is really
stretching the description—in this group was Germany, which saw fewer overall
incidents and fewer acts of anti-Semitic violence. It should come as no
surprise that the Western country in which the numbers are at least moving in
the right direction is also the only place in Europe that has made an effort to
combat anti-Zionism and demonization of Israel at the national level.
We can stop pretending that the constant vilification of
the world’s only Jewish state has no clear and dangerous consequences for the
Jews of the world. Moreover, we don’t really know if the surge will taper off
any time soon. Anti-Semitism in the West continues to defy predictions in the
worst way possible.
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