By Andrew C. McCarthy
Monday, February 09, 2026
I’m trying to assess whether there is anything in life
less surprising than that Ghislaine Maxwell asserted her Fifth Amendment privilege against
self-incrimination rather than answer questions at a showy House Oversight
Committee deposition that was scheduled for today.
Nothing comes to mind.
The committee’s chairman, James R. Comer (R., Ky.) said
he found the non-testimony “very disappointing.” I don’t understand why. (Well,
I mean, since this is all for show, I do understand why, but logically
there can have been no other outcome.)
To recap, surrogates of the president’s 2024 campaign,
including Pam Bondi and Kash Patel, who were later tapped to run the DOJ and
FBI, got Trump supporters spun up about a massive Epstein cover-up — the notion
that the Biden administration was suppressing what should have been charges
against a pedophilia ring in which Epstein and Maxwell were supplying underage
girls to prominent “clients.”
The conspiracy theory never made any sense — and I say
that as someone who has proved more than his share of actual conspiracies.
First, the Biden DOJ, which indicted Trump twice and provided assistance to
Democratic district attorneys who also indicted Trump, was trying hard to make
any criminal case against Trump that might stick. Second, it is inconceivable
that the Epstein prosecutors in the Southern District of New York (SDNY), led
by Maureen Comey, daughter of former FBI Director James Comey, would have
buried a career-making case against Trump or any other prominent person. Third,
as Rich and I have discussed on the podcast several times, the big problem — the most publicly
misunderstood problem — is that most sex crimes are not federal; they are state
offenses. That includes sex with underage persons.
The relevant federal crime is engaging in an interstate or international sex-trafficking business,
and it appears the people who did that were Epstein and Maxwell, both of whom
were charged. Having sex with a minor is abhorrent; in most states, it is
statutory rape; but it is generally not a crime over which federal prosecutors
have jurisdiction. For the feds to prosecute, they need to prove that people
were in on the business, not that they were taking occasional advantage of a
business someone else was running. That is why so much of the proof against
Epstein and Maxwell involved recruiting girls and moving them across state
lines.
It was also dumb for Trump supporters to promote an
Epstein conspiracy theory because, politically, that was apt to be disastrous
for Trump. He had a long-term, tight relationship with Epstein, so if you’re
saying Epstein was radioactive so all the eminences around him were suspects,
then that necessarily makes Trump a suspect, even if he didn’t do anything
criminal. Notwithstanding the lack of evidence that they committed crimes,
Trump and other prominent people who ran in the circles of Epstein and Maxwell
were sure to be humiliated: Epstein and Maxwell were heinous characters, and
thus associations with them — particularly in the period after it was known
Epstein was under criminal investigation for sex-trafficking minors — were
unsavory.
There was no way that publicity that would inexorably
highlight Trump’s ties to Epstein and Maxwell was going to be anything but a
political nightmare. On this subject, however, many prominent Democrats also
had an interest in having the Epstein story fade away — it was not the type of
thing Democrats were apt to use against Trump for fear of burning their own
(it’s not like he didn’t give them plenty of other material). Hence, Trump
should have been telling his campaign surrogates and top supporters to stop
talking about Epstein. Instead, they talked about it non-stop, and the MAGA
base became inflamed.
Naturally, once these surrogates got Trump administration
jobs, Trump supporters demanded that they back up their cover-up claims. These
claims were baseless, so they had to confess that there was no there there
beyond what had already been prosecuted — Epstein’s indictment (followed by
death before a trial could happen) and Maxwell’s trial and conviction. If they
had left it at that, then, once Maxwell was sentenced to 20 years’ imprisonment
on her convictions, they could have given her immunity, and she’d have no legal
basis to decline to testify.
Instead, because of the furor they’d ignited, President
Trump and his subordinates ended up doing another about-face. Trump couldn’t
keep his supporters in line. Democrats sensed that there was blood in the
water: Using Epstein to sow divisions between Trump and his base was worth the
price of burning the Clintons and other high-profile Dems of diminished
influence who are tainted by Epstein connections.
Consequently, enough Republicans mutinied and announced
that they’d join Democrats in demanding a highly inappropriate mass disclosure
of the government’s Epstein files. (The government customarily makes public
only criminal evidence in connection with formal charges; investigations always
generate revelations about other indecorous but non-prosecutable behavior, and
under DOJ rules — based on constitutional due process concerns — that dirty
laundry is not aired.) Trump saw which way the wind was blowing and switched
from trying to suppress the Epstein files to ostensibly supporting disclosure —
but he implausibly maintained that what mattered was the Democrats’
relationships with Epstein, not his own, even though he is the incumbent
president and the figure about whom the media is most curious.
Of course, the Trump DOJ and FBI followed the boss’s
lead. Despite only weeks earlier telling us they’d been through the files and
that there was nothing more to see, they then announced that, in tandem with
the mass disclosure, they were reopening the criminal investigation, which
would be run by Jay Clayton, the Trump-appointed U.S. attorney in the SDNY.
This would give the DOJ leeway to withhold information that it did not wish to
disclose, on the rationalization that it was connected to the “ongoing investigation.”
If the government claims there is an ongoing
investigation, that means Maxwell’s lawyers have to assume she could still be
charged with other crimes. Hence, she still has a very live Fifth Amendment
privilege. Without immunity, whatever she says can be used by the DOJ to indict
her.
Plus, Maxwell is a 64-year-old socialite who was
sentenced to 20 years of incarceration in 2022. Her tastes are more Côte d’Azur
than Bureau of Prisons. She is desperate not to live out all or most of her
remaining life in detention — even if the Trump administration has moved her to
a facility where the time is less arduous than it should be for someone
convicted of such egregious crimes.
If she were to testify voluntarily, she would lose the
only leverage she has to pressure Trump to pardon her — or, at least, commute
her sentence to time already served. Mind you, she shouldn’t have any
leverage. She’s a monster and, rather than admit her guilt, she insisted on
mountains of discovery, a long trial, and appeals. To be sure, it was her right
to do those things. But if you’re an accomplice with inculpatory information
about other (live) participants in a conspiracy, that gives you lots leverage before
going to trial. Once you’re convicted, and have the misfortune that the guy
above you in the culpability chain has shuffled off this mortal coil, your
leverage is gone.
Usually, prosecutors react with an eye-roll to pleas for
clemency after the clock has struck midnight. But the Trump DOJ has treated
Maxwell as if she’s still got cards to play. Go figure.
Here’s reality: Maxwell is not testifying until she is
either given a deal that provides an incentive to disclose what she knows, or
is given immunity from prosecution based on which she can be forced to speak on
pain of additional jail time — contempt, perjury, obstruction — if she is
defiant or mendacious.
As I believe this saga is already several acts too long,
I couldn’t care less whether she testifies — and for purposes of attitude
adjustment, I would make sure she knew that. But let’s play it out.
If I believed there was any real chance of making one or
more new criminal cases, I would immunize Maxwell and compel her testimony —
but in the grand jury, not Congress. As it happens, I believe this is
all a political show toward no useful end; ergo, the Justice Department might
as well immunize her (Congress really can’t do it without the DOJ’s assent) and
let the Oversight Committee members knock themselves out.
Finally, if Maxwell were given immunity, I would make it
clear to her that she should be cooperative with the Oversight Committee
because it’s in her interest to be. If she isn’t, she risks further
prosecution. She should understand that cooperating with the committee is not
going to change the DOJ’s posture.
And that posture? I would stress that the DOJ will oppose
a pardon or any other form of clemency in her case. (In the Trump Justice
Department, if the president wants to pardon an undeserving scoundrel — as he
has done several times — Main Justice will of course say nothing publicly that
would make it politically more difficult; traditionally, however, the Justice
Department has zealously opposed clemency for undeserving scoundrels.) The DOJ
should not have facilitated the transfer of Maxwell, an inmate convicted of
sex-trafficking minors, to a low-security prison; to the extent that doing so
may have raised Maxwell’s expectations, she should be disabused of the notion
that her release is foreseeable.
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