By Gregory W. Slayton & Sergei Ivashenko
Thursday, January 29, 2026
The North Atlantic Treaty Organization is the most
successful military alliance in the history of the world. Since its founding in
1949, NATO has helped unify Western democracies in ways that go far beyond
military partnership. In doing so, it has held at bay the expansionist
dictatorships of the old Soviet Union and the Russian Federation despite their
aggressively imperialist foreign policy.
For 77 years, Russia’s leaders have dreamed of dividing
NATO. Even now, Vladimir Putin is leading a hybrid war against NATO that shows
no signs of letting up. Unfortunately for Putin, because of his unprovoked
invasion of Ukraine, NATO has dramatically grown in size and strength. NATO
dwarfs Russia militarily and economically, and Putin knows it.
NATO forces include more than 22,000 military aircraft
and over 1,100 military ships. Russia has fewer than 5,000 military aircraft
and 500 military ships. NATO’s advantage in terms of tanks and armored
personnel carriers is also vast and growing, given the sharp losses Russia has
suffered in its war of aggression in Ukraine. After Finland joined NATO in 2023
and 2024, Russia must now focus on defending its 830-mile-long border with that
country, which approximately doubles the old NATO border with Russia. This has
stretched the short-handed Russian army even further.
Economically, the difference is even more stark, as
Russia’s economy is approximately one-twentieth the size of NATO’s total GDP.
Italy’s GDP alone is greater than Russia’s.
Nowhere is NATO’s strength and importance more evident
than Ukraine. With strong NATO support, Ukraine has battled the much larger
Russian army to a near draw for almost four years. Russian casualties are now
estimated to be more than 1.1 million soldiers, approximately double that of
Ukraine.
But all true partnerships are built on trust. Once that
trust is gone, effective partnership becomes impossible. It can be built back
over time, but it takes years, not months. President Trump’s recent threats to
annex Greenland have broken this trust. Both privately and publicly, key NATO
allies are now talking about a NATO without its cornerstone — that is, without
America. That is a road we, as Westerners and as Americans, do not want to go
down. If America First really means America Alone, our nation’s and our world’s
future is bleak.
Thankfully, broad domestic and international opposition
to one of the most misguided foreign policy proposals to come out of the White
House in decades has led Trump to reverse course. The treaties the U.S. has
long had with Denmark give America almost carte blanche in Greenland
militarily. All NATO allies desire to strengthen NATO’s presence in the Arctic.
There was no need for the president’s “the United States must own Greenland”
policy.
But now Trump’s willingness to use economic and/or
military force to get his way has caused a profoundly serious rupture in the
NATO alliance.
Trump’s recent statement calling into question the
effectiveness of NATO forces in Afghanistan before the chaotic U.S. withdrawal
has only served to rub salt into the wound (though Trump subsequently tried to
clean up his comments). The recently released U.S. National Defense Strategy
specifically talks about offering “more limited support” for U.S. allies, which
officially calls into question the U.S. commitment to its allies, and
specifically to NATO.
After four years of failure in Ukraine as well as
globally, and with the Russian economy in deep trouble, Putin is on the ropes.
Why would Trump now want to give him what Russian leaders have unsuccessfully
sought for 77 years: a weakened, fragmented NATO?
There is no satisfactory answer to this question. Trump’s
grasp of European history is weak at best, leaving an opening for advisers to
advance a false case that Denmark has no real claim to Greenland or that NATO
forces never helped the United States. His confusion of Greenland and Iceland
four times in one speech at Davos was hardly reassuring.
This is why Congress must stand up and exercise its
constitutionally mandated foreign policy prerogatives. They include the power
of the purse for the military and all branches of the federal government, the
right to approve treaties and key appointments (think ambassadors and other key
State Department officials), the right to investigate wrongdoing (who advised
Trump to threaten to take Greenland by force?) and the power to regulate all
foreign commerce and trade (including foreign tariffs). These are substantial
powers if our Congress, and specifically Republican leadership, is willing to
exercise them. They should do so immediately.
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