By Charles C. W. Cooke
Thursday, January 22, 2026
About ten years ago, during the promotional tour for my book,
I spoke to a group of conservative students at UCLA. By and large, they were depressed
about their state. California, they said, taxed too much and spent too much and
passed all manner of stupid laws. It was expensive and complicated and overregulated.
Its services were substandard and unfriendly. And, despite this, it kept electing
the same people, from the same party, year after year. “California is cooked,”
one young man told me. “I simply can’t see how it can be fixed.”
Having listened to this for a while, I asked what I assumed
was the obvious question: “When you’ve graduated, where do you think you’ll go?”
But, apparently, this was not the obvious question at all. “Go?” the students all
said, looking at me as if I’d suggested that I might soon transform into a cucumber.
“Go? Oh, we couldn’t ever leave California.” The room murmured in resigned
concurrence, and I raised my eyebrows in return.
For decades, that dynamic was relatively stable: Californians
who disliked their state’s governance would complain and complain and complain —
sometimes in the most apocalyptic terms — but ultimately conclude that the inconveniences
were a reasonable price to pay for the weather, the scenery, the ocean, and the
food. If California had Iowa’s climate and topography, it would have emptied out
sometime around 2017. But California does not have Iowa’s climate and topography.
California is paradise. Ronald Reagan liked to joke that “if the Pilgrims had landed
in California instead of back East, nobody would have bothered to discover the rest
of the country.” He was right. Were California well-run, it could easily boast half
the country’s population — perhaps more.
Naturally, California’s government knows this, which is one
reason that it has never bothered to improve. Add in that the state hosts the entertainment
industry in Los Angeles, benefits from an agricultural miracle in the Central Valley,
and houses the tech world in and around San Francisco, and there has always been
a seemingly unlimited supply of cash that could be tapped. In effect, California’s
lawmakers have been asking the same question as my audience at UCLA: “Go?” “Go?”
“You couldn’t ever leave California, and you know it.”
One such lawmaker, Representative Ro Khanna, has advanced
this argument openly. Responding to the backlash against a proposed “billionaire
tax” last month, Khanna wrote on Twitter, “I echo what FDR said with sarcasm of
economic royalists when they threatened to leave, ‘I will miss them very much.’”
Evidently, Khanna believed that this was a clever line. But, for once, he and his
fellow travelers may actually have pushed it too far. If adopted as a ballot measure
this year, the tax would confiscate 1 percent of the net worth of all California
billionaires — real billionaires, and on-paper billionaires — every year for five
years running. Already, California has lost the founders of Google (Larry Page and
Sergey Brin), the founder of PayPal and Palantir (Peter Thiel), and the venture
capitalist David Sacks — none of whom want anything to do with it. As the Washington
Post has observed, their decision to leave was not made solely to
save money should the initiative pass, but to ensure that they retain control of
their life’s work. “To pay the tax,” the Post notes, “critics say some elites
would have to sell large amounts of stock, potentially destabilizing their companies’
value and causing them to lose control.”
In advancing his case, Representative Khanna likes to note
that his “district is $18 trillion, nearly 1/3 of US stock market in a 50 mile radius.”
“We have 5 companies,” he has asserted repeatedly, “with a market cap over a trillion.”
The “we” in Khanna’s sentence is telling — not least because it suggests that he
believes that the existence of all of those companies is a permanent and ineluctable
fixture in California, like the San Andreas fault, rather than an accident of history
that has been sustained by a tolerable business environment and extremely strong
network effects. But that, of course, is untrue. Indeed, as Garry Tan, who runs
the startup incubator, Y-Combinator, has often pointed out, bad policies do not
just jeopardize the existence of established companies, they threaten the development
of new ones. The billionaire’s tax, Tan submits, would “kill and eat the golden
goose of technology start-ups in California.” And what would Ro Khanna boast about
then?
Astonishingly, California is not alone in its suicidal ideation.
Aside from Silicon Valley, the biggest tech hub in the United States is up in Seattle,
Wash., which, following California’s example, legislators are currently busy trying
to ruin. At present, Washington State has no income tax to speak of beyond a 0.58
percent employer-side tax on payrolls. But, under a proposal being championed by
the state’s governor, Bob Ferguson, this would change dramatically. Ferguson wishes
to create a “millionaire’s tax,” at a rate of 9.9 percent, that would apply to all
income above $1 million. When combined with Seattle’s existing “Social Housing Tax”
and “Jump Start Tax,” and added to federal income taxes and payroll taxes, this
would force millionaires in the city to pay a marginal rate of just under 58 percent
— the highest anywhere in the United States. Worse still, the Tax Foundation records, this rate would apply not only to
wage income but to “restricted stock units (RSU) vesting” — an approach that combines
“the worst of both worlds for its small business owners, limiting their ability
to grow and undercutting job creation.”
One might have imagined that, with a potential exodus from
California on the horizon, Washington State would be attempting to make itself as
attractive as possible to disaffected entrepreneurs. Unlike California, Washington
does not have permanently temperate weather, but it does have a tech industry, and,
for now at least, it has a tax environment that is more attractive to high earners
than many others. That, instead of maximizing its appeal, it is looking down the
same road as California, serves as a good reminder of how potent and deaf socialist
ideology can be. Florida and Texas have sunshine, too.
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