By John McCormack
Thursday, January 15, 2026
Last Friday, the United States Department of Justice
raised the threat of criminally indicting Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome
Powell by issuing subpoenas related to Powell’s June 2025 congressional
testimony about renovations of Federal Reserve buildings. Within 72 hours,
Powell appeared to have effectively quashed an unprecedented act of lawfare
against him. He succeeded by acting swiftly and decisively—both in public and
in private.
The public-facing element of Powell’s response was a
concise 285-word
statement issued as a press release and direct-to-camera video statement
that was published around 7:30 p.m. Sunday. Powell expressed “deep respect for
the rule of law” and cut to the heart of the matter when he said that questions
over his congressional testimony about building renovations were pretextual:
“This unprecedented action should be seen in the broader context of the
administration's threats and ongoing pressure” to get the Fed to lower interest
rates.
Privately, Powell was working the phones on Sunday and
Monday—placing calls to key U.S. senators who had the constitutional power to
block any new Trump nominee to serve on the Federal Reserve when the time
comes. (Powell’s term as chairman is set to expire in May, but his term on the
seven-member board of governors in charge of the Fed ends in 2028 unless he
leaves—or is removed—from his post before then). “He reached out Monday
morning. We talked for 10-12 minutes,” Alaska Sen. Lisa Murkowski told The
Dispatch in the Capitol on Tuesday. Murkowski, a Republican, said she had
been tipped off over the weekend that the investigation was going to be
announced, and she “appreciated the fact that I was able to speak directly with
him and to hear from his perspective.” Maine GOP Sen. Susan Collins told The
Dispatch that she spoke to Powell on Sunday night. “I’ve known him for some
time, and I believe that he’s a person of integrity,” Collins said.
North Carolina GOP Sen. Thom Tillis declined to say if he
had spoken directly with Powell. “I never talk about who I talk [with] in this
sort of thing,” Tillis told The Dispatch. But there’s strong
circumstantial evidence that Tillis had been privately briefed on the matter
before Powell’s statement went public. Within 20 minutes of
Powell’s statement going live, Tillis issued his own strong statement attacking
the Trump administration for “pushing to end the independence of the Federal
Reserve” and personally vowing to oppose “the confirmation of any nominee for
the Fed—including the upcoming Fed Chair vacancy—until this legal matter is
fully resolved.”
“Tillis was absolutely critical,” Jason Furman, former
chair of the Council of Economic Advisers under President Barack Obama, told The
Dispatch. “Once he said that, to me it seemed like this had all backfired.”
As a member of the Senate banking committee currently
divided between 13 Republicans and 11 Democrats, Tillis alone has the power to
block any Fed nominee from advancing out of committee. In a Senate divided
53-47, Tillis, who doesn’t plan to run for reelection this year, also likely
provides an essential fourth GOP vote blocking any action on Fed nominees
before the full Senate: During Trump’s second term, Sens. Murkowski, Collins,
and Mitch McConnell of Kentucky have been willing to vote no on confirming some
of Trump’s most controversial nominees, but the fourth GOP vote necessary for
rejecting a controversial Trump nominee has been elusive.
While Powell played a savvy game to privately win the
support of U.S. senators, much support for Powell emerged organically after his
statement went public. On Monday, every living former Fed chair and a
bipartisan array of former treasury secretaries and top government economists published
a statement on Substack that said the “reported criminal inquiry into
Federal Reserve Chair Jay Powell is an unprecedented attempt to use
prosecutorial attacks to undermine that independence [of the Fed]. This is how
monetary policy is made in emerging markets with weak institutions, with highly
negative consequences for inflation and the functioning of their economies more
broadly. It has no place in the United States whose greatest strength is the
rule of law, which is at the foundation of our economic success.”
The signatories learned of the subpoenas after Powell
issued his statement Sunday evening, according to a source familiar with the
matter, and Furman circulated a first draft of the group’s statement, with
about half weighing in with edits and comments. The signatories had previously
filed an amicus
brief in defense of Lisa Cook, the Fed governor whom Trump is trying to
fire over alleged mortgage fraud (which Cook
denies).
By Monday, the Trump administration was backpedaling.
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent told
Trump that the investigation had “made a mess” and could harm financial
markets, according to Marc Caputo of Axios. Jeanine Pirro, the former
Fox News host who issued the Powell subpoenas in her current role as United
States attorney for the District of Columbia, posted a defensive
statement on Twitter:
The United States Attorney’s Office
contacted the Federal Reserve on multiple occasions to discuss cost overruns
and the chairman’s congressional testimony, but were ignored, necessitating the
use of legal process—which is not a threat.
The word “indictment” has come out
of Mr. Powell’s mouth, no one else’s. None of this would have happened if they
had just responded to our outreach.
This office makes decisions based
on the merits, nothing more and nothing less. We agree with the chairman of the
Federal Reserve that no one is above the law, and that is why we expect his
full cooperation.
Powell’s pushback has been so effective not just because
the case against him appears flimsy and his response has been savvy, but
because he is an extraordinarily powerful person whose words can move markets.
Arizona GOP Rep. David Schweikert, chairman of the congressional Joint Economic
Committee, said he was concerned about the investigation because it could harm
the U.S. economy. “Tiny stresses in the debt market are very expensive,”
Schweikert told The Dispatch. “Stability is absolutely paramount.”
So Powell’s precise choice of words and strategy have
mattered a lot. It’s not hard to imagine a different response—in which Powell
said nothing or insisted that when the facts emerged every word of his
testimony would be vindicated—that could have had a more negative impact on
financial markets. By cutting to the chase that the investigation of him was
pretextual—an argument a wide array of congressional Republicans buy—it’s less
likely that a potential drip, drip, drip of new information will matter
much.
Rep. Anna Paulina Luna of Florida, a Trump loyalist, made
a criminal referral to the Department of Justice in 2025 over what she
alleged were false statements and perjury committed by Powell in a Senate
hearing about the Fed buildings’ renovations. “There’s no VIP dining room,
there’s no new marble … there are no special elevators, just old elevators that
have been there; there are no new water features, there’s no beehives, and
there’s no roof terrace gardens,” Powell told the Senate. Luna wrote in her
criminal referral to the DOJ that “nearly all of those assertions—excluding the
beehives—are contradicted by the actual project plans.” She told reporters Monday
evening: “I’m happy that they’re following up on that.”
But Powell is a central banker—not an interior
decorator—and for many Republicans in Congress any potential discrepancies over
his statements about renovations are almost beside the point.
“I don’t know about the exact issues with this remodel
with the rebuild and the details of it,” Murkowski told The Dispatch on
Tuesday, “but it just kind of seems that they’re looking to find something.”
Murkowski said in a statement on Monday that “if the Department of Justice
believes an investigation into Chair Powell is warranted based on project cost
overruns—which are not unusual—then Congress needs to investigate the
Department of Justice.”
Kentucky GOP Sen. Rand Paul said he thought the Fed
“abused their spending,” but he nevertheless sees the subpoenas of Powell as
lawfare. “I think that lawfare—weaponization of the legal system—is awful,”
Paul told The Dispatch on Tuesday when asked about the Powell subpoenas.
Paul likened lawfare against Powell to what he described
as "unconscionable" weaponization of government that had been
directed by Democrats—such as New York Attorney General Letitia James—at Donald
Trump. “I still criticize what they did to Donald Trump, but the answer isn’t
then doing it back to your enemies,” Paul said. “The answer is pointing out how
terrible it is and then … treat[ing] people objectively, according to the law.”
In acting as he did, Powell may have created a blueprint
for defending against future attempts to undermine the independence of the Fed.
“Powell has handled this stunningly well,” Furman told The Dispatch.
“You’re not taught how to do this in central banker school.”
“It’s not just what he did on Sunday, it’s what he didn’t
do until Sunday,” Furman added. Despite Trump’s very public attacks and calls
for Powell to cut interest rates, Powell “had not taken the bait. He had said
very, very little about this, and that made when he eventually did say
something that much more powerful.”
Furman observed that, before Powell’s remarks, perhaps
the most important speech made by a central banker in the last 25 years was
European Central Bank President Mario Draghi’s 2012 speech vowing to do
whatever it takes to preserve the euro. “That was very impressive, very
important, but also sort of straight out of textbook central banking, which is,
in a panic, you make a speech and you promise to do a lot and hope you don’t
need to do a lot, because the promise itself works,” Furman said. “Jay Powell
just wrote a whole new chapter in the book that future central bankers will be
studying on how to deal with these types of assaults.”
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