By Jonah Goldberg
Wednesday, March 13, 2024
Donald
Trump’s domination of last week’s primaries made it official: He has
successfully routed the GOP establishment.
Some
would argue, with ample evidence, that this happened a long time ago.
Particularly in Congress, the party is divided into three sometimes overlapping
factions: Reaganites, pragmatists, and MAGA populists. Politicians from the
non-MAGA factions have been retreating, retiring, or reinventing themselves in
Trump’s image for years now.
If
Republican Sens. Mike Lee of Utah, Ron Johnson of Wisconsin, Tim Scott of South
Carolina, and Marco Rubio of Florida aren’t fully MAGA in their hearts, you
wouldn’t know it from their current public personas. Former Sens. Rob Portman,
Jeff Flake, and Bob Corker, along with former Reps. Paul Ryan, Eric Cantor, and
Liz Cheney, were either shown the door or fled for it themselves. And outside
institutions such as the Conservative Political Action Committee (CPAC) and the
Heritage Foundation have repositioned themselves as MAGA organs.
That
process has accelerated since Trump effectively locked up his third Republican
nomination for president. Over the past few months, Republican Reps. Mike
Gallagher of Wisconsin, Patrick McHenry of North Carolina, and Cathy McMorris
Rodgers of Washington have announced that they would be leaving Congress. And
Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, the last actual avatar of “the GOP
establishment,” declared last month he would not run to lead the Republican
caucus again.
The
takeover is culminating with the Trumpian captivity of the Republican National
Committee. There’s virtually no “Republican establishment” that isn’t
synonymous with the Trump establishment. Michael Whatley, the former head of
the North Carolina GOP, is the new national chairman, having earned Trump’s
favor as an unrestrained booster of his claim that the 2020 election was
stolen. Lara Trump, the former president’s daughter-in-law, is serving
alongside Whatley as co-chair. And Chris LaCivita, a top Trump campaign
adviser, will run day-to-day operations. On Monday, they began a wholesale
purge of staffers deemed insufficiently loyal.
Trump’s
son Donald Jr. agrees that it’s official. In an interview
with Newsmax Sunday, he said the old GOP establishment “no longer
exists. … People have to understand that America First, the MAGA movement, is
the new Republican Party. That is conservatism today.”
Now,
one can quibble over whether a political philosophy that traces itself back to
Edmund Burke and the American founding can be transformed by the installment of
Trump apparatchiks at the RNC. Trump himself might even agree with those
quibbles.
Trump
has previously described himself as a “nationalist,”
and he at least partly rejected the conservative label in an interview
with CNBC’s Squawk Box on Monday. “People say, ‘You’re
conservative,’ ” Trump said. “I’m not conservative. You know what I am? I’m a
man of common sense, and a lot of conservative policies are common sense.”
Whatever
we call him, what’s clear is that Trump thinks his team can go it alone. At a
recent Virginia
rally, he declared that MAGA “represents 96 percent, and maybe 100 percent”
of the GOP. “We’re getting rid of the Romneys of the world. We want to get
Romneys and those [like him] out.”
Normally,
general election candidates try to expand their coalitions. Primary election
exit polls—and the actual results—belie Trump’s claim that the party is now
almost pure MAGA.
“In
each of the six states with entrance and exit polls,” a CNN
analysis found, “a sizable minority of the GOP electorate identified
directly as a part of the MAGA, or ‘Make American Great Again,’ movement,
ranging from about one-third in California, Virginia and New Hampshire to
nearly half in Iowa.” Put another way, between half and two-thirds of those
primary-voting Republicans don’t identify as MAGA. Most will
still likely hold their nose and vote for Trump in November, but that’s not
proof that the GOP is totally Trumpian.
The
national GOP “establishment,” however, is now a wholly owned subsidiary of
Trumpism. That behooves a movement that has often been as concerned with taking
over the party as taking over the government. In Republican primaries, Trump
has tended to back loyalists with dim general election prospects over more
traditional Republicans with a better chance of actually winning House and
Senate seats. The MAGA movement seems convinced that a purer party dedicated to
Trump is for some reason better than one saddled with the remnants of the old
GOP coalition.
For
all practical purposes, their wish has been granted. That’s good for the
movement if Trump wins in November. But if he loses, they’ll have no one to
blame but themselves. After all, they’re the establishment now.
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