By Nick Catoggio
Tuesday, March 12, 2024
Any
successful revolutionary populist movement will eventually purge its political
enemies. And after it does, the new establishment it creates will be more
corrupt and more ruthless than the one it replaced.
Those
historical rules aren’t
hard and fast but the exceptions are rare. When a populist insurgency
takes charge, expect total consolidation of power—and chaos, of course—to
follow.
The
purge of the Republican Party by Donald Trump and his Jacobin base took longer
than it had to, nearly 10 years from start to finish. That’s because Trump
himself isn’t a revolutionary or even
much of an ideologue. He’s a narcissist, so he would have happily kept the
pre-Trump establishment intact forever as long as it agreed to blindly serve
his needs.
Which,
for most of those 10 years, it did. But some of his excesses proved so rotten
that even the old guard couldn’t help but flinch at key moments. His 2020 coup
attempt failed because too many Reaganites in government, most famously his own
vice president, refused to become accomplices to smashing the constitutional
order.
Now,
four years later, there’s chatter about the Republican National Committee
picking up part of the tab for his astronomical
and still mounting legal fees, some of which stem directly from the
aforementioned coup attempt. Trump’s campaign has said for
the record that it won’t tap the RNC for legal expenses, but he’s done
so before. And some leading
figures on the committee are gung
ho to keep the cash flowing.
Once
again, old-guard
conservatives are feeling queasy and might
stand in the way.
So,
at long last, the purge is here. Last week, with Trump’s support, the RNC chose
his own daughter-in-law and a “rigged
election” propagandist from North Carolina as its new
co-chairs. On Monday, mass layoffs of the committee’s staff began; around
60 employees are expected to be liquidated before the dust settles.
“Gutting a committee just before the election seems insane,” one former staffer
told the Washington
Post.
It
does, doesn’t it?
In
theory, it’s all about efficiency. “Under the new structure, the Trump campaign
is looking to merge its operations with the RNC,” Politico reported.
“Key departments, such as communications, data and fundraising, will
effectively be one and the same.” The group’s finance and digital teams are
even being moved
to Palm Beach, where Trump’s operation is headquartered, to facilitate
coordination.
It’s
not uncommon for a presidential nominee’s campaign and his party’s governing
organization to integrate in an election year, but the atmosphere around this
“merger” is different. For one thing, Trump’s Jacobin cronies are viewing it as
an ideological bloodletting, not a matter of downsizing and streamlining.
Some
are using the P-word. “We gotta see the building purged … All the building’s
gotta be purged—100% purged,” Steve
Bannon said recently of the RNC. One source close to the RNC
told The
Daily Beast he expected all 168 committee members—separate from staff—to
eventually be cashiered and replaced with “a full Trump 168” in true Politburo
style.
The
purges are likely to be followed by a binge, another thing that makes this
different from the usual election-year machinations. Despite promises from top
Trump strategist Chris LaCivita that the RNC’s coffers wouldn’t be raided to
pay the candidate’s legal bills, a resolution that would have barred that from
happening failed to
earn enough internal support to pass after it was submitted last week.
Some
members sound downright enthusiastic about funneling money to Trump, frankly,
reasoning that because his name is driving donations to the GOP he’s entitled
to the proceeds. “What … is my basis/argument for not paying Trump’s legal
expenses when it is money the Trump organization is bringing to the table?” one
RNC member asked CNBC.
Another argued that “The only mission of the Republican National Committee is
to elect our presumptive nominee Trump as the 47th President,” which is
an interesting concept of what a national political party is
supposed to do.
It’s
a purge, with all the ruthlessness and self-dealing to come that you’d expect
of ascendant populists feeding at the establishment trough.
Personally,
I think it’s great.
***
The
prospect of a revolutionary populist movement running a country into the ground
is a nightmare. It’s why I’m voting
for Joe Biden in November: The sort of purges, corruption,
and power
consolidation that a second Trump term would bring are poison to the
constitutional order.
But
a revolutionary populist movement running its own party into the ground? What’s
not to like about that?
My
organizing thesis of this era in politics is that there
is no “Trump problem” with the GOP. The actual problem is with the
Republican majorities in the leadership class and among the grassroots who
continue to support Trump no matter how loathsomely and illiberally he behaves.
Solving that problem is a diffuse challenge; defeating him in November is a
necessary but by no means sufficient condition for curing the party of its
“Trump enabler” affliction.
To
have any chance of convincing right-wing voters that they need a new direction,
the GOP will need to underperform up and down the ballot. And the surest way to
make that happen is to starve national Republican organizations of the funds
they’ll need to support party nominees in tight congressional and state races.
Having
Trump and his family loot the RNC to pay his legal bills would be just what the
doctor ordered.
Granted,
right-wing donors are free to bypass the national committee and give to
individual Republican campaigns if they choose. “I suspect if people thought a
contribution to the RNC was going to legal bills that have nothing to do with
the 2024 cycle they might be less likely to contribute to the RNC,” committee
member Henry
Barbour reasoned, understandably. But that’s the beauty of having Lara
Trump in charge of the committee and soliciting cash. It’s one thing for a
wealthy conservative to tell Ronna McDaniel “no” when she calls up and asks for
a million dollars. It’s quite another to say so to a member of the royal family
itself.
Especially
knowing how
vindictive the king can be toward those who’ve crossed him: Trump is
running a campaign overtly based on
“retribution,” for cripes sake. Imagine what might be in store for
your business in terms of new regulatory burden or security government
contracts if you turn down a request for cash from his daughter-in-law and then
find him back in power next year. She’ll remember. And she’ll remind him.
Intimidation
will ensure that the new RNC receives many more contributions from reluctant
right-wing donors than it otherwise would, and odds are good that those
donations will end up being diverted to lawyers or to buying golden toilets at
Mar-a-Lago than to Republican candidates struggling in congressional races.
And
insofar as the RNC does reserve funds to help GOP candidates down ballot, the
dilemmas it’ll confront now that it’s a wholly owned subsidiary of Trump Inc.
will be thorny. If MAGA nemesis Larry Hogan ends up within striking distance of
a momentous upset in Maryland’s Senate race in October, will the RNC come to
his aid for the sake of growing its majority? Or will the logic of
“retribution” require it to cut him loose in the name of satisfying one
of Trump’s grudges?
If
a conservative House candidate and a Trump-endorsed populist House candidate
are each running neck-and-neck with Democratic opponents down the stretch, how
would the RNC choose to ration its dollars between them? Would the candidate
with the best chance of winning get the money, or the candidate whom Trump
likes best?
All
of that will lend an extra dimension to the recriminations between different
factions of the right if the GOP underperforms again this fall, I’m happy to
say. It’s what this rotten party deserves for its foolishness and cynicism
since 2015. Poetic
justice, literally.
***
The
prospect of the Trump family squandering untold millions in campaign funds
isn’t the only reason to appreciate the freshly purged RNC, though. If I’m
right that the entire GOP, not just Trump himself, should be discredited in the
eyes of those tempted to support it, a MAGA takeover of the party’s governing
organization is a nifty way to accelerate that process.
Partisan
conservatives have spent nine years distinguishing between
the GOP and the man who leads it. It’s the essence of anti-anti-Trumpism and
the antithesis of my point that there is no “Trump problem” on the right.
Whatever one might think of his personal fitness for office or lack thereof,
those conservatives will say, it’s not the case that the Republican Party writ
large is unfit to wield power.
That
argument grew ever more specious as the broad American right became dogged
apologists for Trump’s degeneracy in all its forms, but it is true
that the GOP as an institution has maintained some formal distance from its
leader throughout this era. And why wouldn’t it, given how unpopular Trump is
with most Americans? There’s a reason why a member
of the Romney family led the RNC for seven years, why “Potemkin”
presidential debates involving Reaganite candidates were held last
year, and why a person as smart and relatable as Katie Britt is
being eyed as Trump’s running mate. The party craves fig leaves of normalcy to
disguise from undecided voters how freakishly abnormal it’s become.
Wouldn’t
it be better, for the country and for the cause of truth in advertising, to
have its abnormalcy finally laid bare? Well, the new leadership at the RNC does
that.
You
could hardly ask for a better tandem for the job than Lara Trump and Michael
Whatley, the new co-chairs. The symbolism of a Trump replacing a Romney in a
Republican leadership role speaks volumes, but Lara isn’t even royal by birth
like Ivanka and Don Jr. She’s a Trump by marriage, with no real background in
politics; installing her atop a major party smells of a monarch deeding some
fiefdom to a minor in-law, partly out of lordly magnanimity and partly because
that in-law will be easily controlled. “She’s not there to be an asset to the
RNC, she’s there to be Trump’s eyes and ears,” one former Trump campaign
official said to The
Daily Beast.
The
anti-anti-Trump fallacy that there’s some meaningful distinction between Trump
and his party was always thin, but the elevation of Lara Trump makes it all but
imperceptible.
Whatley
is the “serious” member of the new partnership, having led the North Carolina
GOP, but his claim to national leadership derives from the buffoonery to which
he was willing to stoop to earn the king’s favor. He pushed
conspiracy theories after the 2020 election and seems to have convinced
Trump that the reason he won North Carolina that year was because
Whatley made sure observers were at the polls to deter cheating. It’s plain as
day why his patron wants him in charge of the RNC in 2024: When, not if, Trump
reacts to another defeat in November by launching Stop the Steal 2.0, he
expects aggressive institutional support from his party this time From
reporting in the New York Times:
Mr. Trump’s selection of Mr. Whatley sums up
the former president’s vision for the new RNC. He wants it to share his
obsession with the false idea that President Biden and Democrats stole the 2020
election from him and are working to do it again in 2024. Mr. Trump believes
Mr. Whatley is more in sync with his views about voter fraud than Ms. McDaniel,
and he has insisted that Mr. Whatley will stop Democrats from “cheating” in
November, according to two people who have spoken to Mr. Trump and who insisted
on anonymity to discuss private conversations.
…
If there’s another tight race in swing states
this fall, the RNC will be far more active after Election Day than it was in
2020, said Steve Bannon, the far-right podcast host and former chief strategist
to Mr. Trump.
The
Trump-era GOP is a party by and for cranks. Isn’t it for the best that it’s
finally acknowledging that fact frankly by elevating someone lowbrow and
conspiratorial to lead its national committee?
The
more candid the RNC becomes about the right’s true nature, the harder it gets
for partisan conservatives to make persuasive excuses for remaining partisans.
Republican politics in 2024 is half-racket, half-paranoia: The Lara
Trump/Michael Whatley alliance covers both parts of the equation beautifully.
***
There’s
one more reason to like the RNC purge. It’s a flashing neon sign to “Nikki
Haley Republicans” that the party doesn’t want them anymore.
Haley
had been confronted about that in interviews before leaving the race. “Isn’t it
possible the party has moved, and the party is about Donald Trump and not what
you’re describing, which might be the party of yesterday?” CNN asked
her in an interview last month. “It is very possible,” the former governor
replied, deadpan, as if there remained a shred of doubt. A week later, on Super
Tuesday, whatever shred that was left was gone.
So
long as there was a formal distinction between Donald Trump and the RNC, Haley
could semi-plausibly say that the GOP is bigger than the man who leads it. But
as it became clearer during the campaign that the committee had a favored
candidate, she began to speak up more forcefully about the fact that, come to
think of it, there isn’t much of a distinction between the two
anymore.
When
rumors circulated in January that the RNC might declare Trump its presumptive
nominee after his victories in Iowa and New Hampshire, she accused the group
of not
being an “honest broker.” A month later, after news of the
Trump-Whatley arrangement broke, she complained more
pointedly: “Are we gonna let him just take over the party that’s gonna control
the convention, too? At what point do we not see the problem? We don’t have
kings in this country.”
A
few days after that, she said she no longer felt bound by her pledge earlier in
the campaign to support the eventual Republican nominee. Why? Because, she
said, after the change in leadership, “the
RNC is now not the same RNC” to which she had made that pledge.
She’s
a Republican, not a Trumpist. The point of the purge at the RNC this week is to
drive home to conservatives like her that there’s no longer a difference
between the two. If
you want to be one, you have to be the other. The powers that be—the
new Republican establishment—are admirably blunt about it, too:
Many
times in this newsletter I’ve used the analogy
of a hostage crisis to explain the relationship of populists and
conservatives to the institutional GOP. Eight years ago populists took the
party hostage and threatened to kill it by boycotting elections going forward
if their man, Donald Trump, didn’t get his way. Most conservatives responded by
laying aside decades of their own rhetoric opposing appeasement of brinkmanship
by hostile malefactors and appeasing the hell out of those populists, dutifully
supporting Trump and his handpicked populist nominees down ballot at every
turn.
And
so, for eight years, the crisis persisted.
The
RNC purge feels like the end of that crisis inasmuch as the hostage, the
Republican Party as an organizational entity, is now willingly cooperating with
its captor. It’s political Stockholm syndrome. Which raises the question: Why
would Nikki Haley and “Haley Republicans” continue negotiating with those
captors to try to save the hostage?
The
hostage doesn’t want to be saved anymore. The crisis is over. There’s nothing
to go back to apart from insanity
like this. Just walk away.
Walk
away and savor the absurdity of a national political party being led by people
who are more keen to purge ideological heretics from their own ranks—in an
election year!—than to build a coalition that can reclaim governing power and
wield it effectively. Maybe that’s where the historical analogy with other
revolutionary populist movements breaks down: Say what you will about the
Jacobins, at least they wanted to win.
Whether
Trump’s Jacobins win or lose, Haley Republicans will be better off for having
departed before the election. They won’t want their fingerprints on the unholy
illiberal mess of a second Trump term, assuming he prevails against Biden this
fall. And if he doesn’t prevail, it’s best that only populists are left in the
GOP afterward so that, as Jonah
Goldberg astutely noted this morning, they’ll have no one but
themselves to blame for their electoral failure. They want a Trumpist party?
Give it to ‘em. Finish the purge.
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