By Michael Brendan Dougherty
Thursday, November 23, 2017
I’m thankful for many things this year. We survived it,
for one. I wasn’t entirely sure of that outcome given my low opinion of our
president’s character and mental stability. But we’ve far and away cleared the
lowest expectations for Donald Trump’s America. Trump’s relatives haven’t been
given Supreme Court appointments. Most of the people of Seoul, South Korea, are
still alive. The U.S. Navy Seals haven’t been rebranded the “Trump Seals.” All
good things.
In fact, it’s better than that. In all the places where
Trump’s policies seem most amateurish or lacking in thought, he’s been inactive
or stymied. The U.S. hasn’t left NATO to die in a heap. The U.S. is still
experiencing some salutary economic trends. The Republican Congress is still a
do-nothing Congress, but that’s fine by me considering what they’ve been
contemplating doing. Trump’s governance looks chaotic, but that is just one
man’s constant war for the news cycle. The states, the courts, and even public
opinion work against his excesses. America is, despite it all, working.
And here’s another thing for which I’m thankful: We’re
not Europe.
Look at the politics across the Atlantic right now.
Nothing looks stable or solid. In the United Kingdom, the Tories squandered
their strong and stable government in an unnecessary election this year. Ever
since, Theresa May’s Tory cabinet ministers have been sniping at each other in
a way that makes Brexit seem less exciting. It’s been so petty and disorganized
that you begin to think, if this is the kind of government Britain produces
natively, maybe they’d be better off without sovereignty, or democracy. Bring
on the Continental technocrats.
But, wait a minute. How are the Continent’s technocrats
doing? Not so great. As late as this September, the great and good of the
European liberal order had a plan. The plan was that Emmanuel Macron, having
broken the traditional parties of France, would break all the rules of French
politics and be able to pass long-hoped for labor-market reform. And then
Germany, led by Angela Merkel, would suddenly and inexplicably develop the
political desire and will to completely reform the European Union and fix all
the flaws in it that have irritated people and led to the rise of socialist
movements and nationalist populisms. She would then become the leader of the
Free World.
How’s that working? Emmanuel Macron’s government is
basically failing to do anything. Macron is trying to rebrand. His favorable
ratings are sinking into Trump territory, and the public has labeled him a
“president of the rich.” And Angela Merkel’s future is suddenly in doubt again.
Months after the German election, Merkel has been unable to form a coalition
government in Germany. The rise of the Alternative for Germany party was
expected to only embolden her; instead, it has totally hobbled Merkel’s ability
to govern. And she may find, like Theresa May, that forcing elections on an
election-weary people will lead to disaster.
It’s not just the big countries. Leo Varadker was made
taoiseach of Ireland by Fine Gael party insiders. His nation has the most to lose
from Brexit, and its economic interests rank low on the list of priorities in
London, Berlin, and Paris. In fact, many in Europe would like to see Ireland
humbled for doing dodgy tax deals with American tech companies. Varadkar should
be working fanatically to create ready-made solutions for the overwhelmed
government in Britain to adopt. Instead, he says that he won’t help, in the
hope that Brexit just won’t happen. Oh, and the Irish political class is
preparing itself to finally accept Sinn Fein into potential coalition
governments.
It’s getting so desperate in Europe that Italians are
thinking of returning to Silvio Berlusconi for a modicum of stability. It’s
like a drunk leaning on Boris Yeltsin to steady himself. All the popular
leadership in Europe seems to be coming from the economically dependent Central
European nations.
All in all, the picture is starting to look like this:
American institutions and politics are slowly learning how to handle the
unstable element of a demagogic and self-obsessed president. European politics
are utterly falling apart at the first sign of real dissent from the narrow
“European agenda” of tighter integration and ever-freer movement of capital,
goods, and people.
I’ve spent a good part of this month in Europe. But this
week, I’m thankful to be in America.
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