By Christopher Jacobs
Friday, November 10, 2017
Believe it or not, an incredibly powerful article about health
policy mentions the word “medical” once only in passing, and “health” not at
all. On Thursday, Politico ran a
feature article on the University of Michigan, and how it—and many other
prominent public universities—face a “crisis of confidence.” In seeking to
attract affluent, and frequently out-of-state, students, these institutions
have shunned working-class families, many of whom no longer feel welcome, or
try to apply.
The crisis of confidence stems largely from public
universities’ financial strategies. That’s where health care comes in, in a big
way. Medicaid’s constant, inexorable growth in state budgets has left less
money for education of all types, not least higher education. As Medicaid
spending has risen, state funding of public universities has declined, leading
them to raise tuition and increase their percentage of out-of-state students to
help balance the books. At the end of this fiscal game of “Musical Chairs,”
many children from working-class families can’t find a proverbial seat at a top-tier
institution.
Call it the seedy underbelly of Medicaid’s exponential
growth. No one has said so in as many words—no one dare would—but the effect
amounts to the ruling class telling the working class the following: “Because
we’re spending so much of our state budget on Medicaid, we’re limiting your
access to quality education. We’re restricting your ability to get a good job,
earn a better living, rise and improve your station in life, and achieve more
than your parents ever felt they could. But, hey, many of you will get ‘free’
health care thanks to the Medicaid expansion. So have a nice life.”
Numbers Don’t Lie
A review of state budget expenditure reports puts the
effects in stark relief. In fiscal year 1987, Michigan spent 9.7 percent of its
state budget on Medicaid, and 8.5 percent on higher education. Nearly three
decades later, in fiscal year 2015, Michigan spent a whopping 30.2 percent of
its budget on Medicaid, and 4.3 percent on higher education. The state more
than tripled the share of the budget devoted to Medicaid, while cutting the
share of spending on higher education in half.
The national spending numbers tell a similar story. In
fiscal year 1987, states spent an average of 9.8 percent of their budgets on
Medicaid, and 11.1 percent on higher education. In fiscal year 2015, states
spent an average of 28.2 percent on Medicaid, and 10.1 percent on higher
education. Here again, higher education spending declined, even as Medicaid
spending nearly tripled. While in 1987, states spent roughly half as much on
Medicaid as they did on primary and secondary education, Medicaid has long
since supplanted K-12 education as the top spending item in states’ budgets.
The Medicaid Payment and Access Commission (MACPAC) has a
chart showing the way in which Medicaid spending has grown over time. Although
their graphic doesn’t include it, one could easily insert two intersecting
lines showing how the share of state spending on K-12 education and higher
education has declined even as Medicaid spending has risen.
How This Affects
Americans
In Michigan, universities have taken it on the chin more
than in most states. Primary and secondary education comprise a relatively
large percentage of the state’s budget, making the share of spending on
post-secondary education (4.3 percent) less than half the national average. Politico explains the effect on the
University of Michigan and its students:
In the late 1960s, the state
covered 70 percent of instructional costs. By the late 1990s, state support
covered less than 10 percent of instructional costs, which were largely
unchanged when adjusted for inflation. The trend has persisted. One recent
report found that, since 2002, state support for higher education in Michigan
has declined 30 percent, when adjusted for inflation.
The university, like nearly every
other state school in the nation, leaned on tuition to make up the difference.
In-state tuition rose, but university leaders also focused on another, more
lucrative, funding stream: out-of-state students, many of them elite students
from wealthy families who couldn’t get into the Ivy League. Michigan was the
next best thing.
“The university had no choice but
to increase out-of-state enrollments of students paying essentially private
tuition levels,” [former University of Michigan President James] Duderstadt
said. Tuition rose to $14,826 a year for Michigan students; room and board adds
about $12,000. In the 1970s, tuition was less than $600 per year. Out-of-state
students, who now pay $47,476 per year, make up roughly half of the student
body at Michigan, up from 30 percent in the late 1960s.
But as tuition rose, wages
stagnated. The median family income in Michigan in 1984 was $50,546, in 2016
dollars. In 2016, it was $57,091. The working class was priced out.
A Poverty Trap?
The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) has indicated its
belief that Medicaid itself discourages work. Specifically, CBO wrote that
“expanded Medicaid eligibility under [Obamacare] will, on balance, reduce
incentives to work.” Because an extra dollar of income could cause
beneficiaries to lose access to Medicaid, costing them hundreds, even thousands,
of dollars in insurance premiums and co-payments, some individuals will avoid
work to keep their incomes below eligibility caps.
However, few have examined the way in which Medicaid can
keep people in poverty not just from its direct effects (i.e., discouraging
work), but by its indirect effects—the opportunity cost associated with state
spending. Every dollar a state spends on Medicaid represents a dollar not spent on rescuing a student trapped
in a failing school, or on scholarships for working-class families to attend
top-tier universities.
Also, given the ways in which Politico framed the University of Michigan’s strategic and
budgetary decisions as exacerbating inequality, it’s worth pondering to what
extent Medicaid—which liberals claim reduces inequality—in reality, by
resulting in cuts to education funding, worsens it. People forget about these
opportunity costs, but they exist. Without even mentioning the word Medicaid, Politico delivered a stark reminder of
the implications of this sprawling entitlement. Advocates who support the
ever-growing nature of Medicaid should take heed.
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