By James Heaney
Saturday, August 06, 2016
Many conservatives are trying to figure out how Ronald
Reagan’s conservative movement can best advance its aims in Donald Trump’s
Republican Party. Some believe the conservative movement must embrace Trump,
whether from principle or simply to secure a place for the movement in a Trump
administration. Others believe the conservative movement must reject Trump so
it can credibly lead its prodigal party back from the wilderness.
All sides are united in believing the Republican Party is
deeply corrupt (true enough), and that the only thing that can save the GOP is
the conservative movement.
The problem is, there
is no conservative movement. The “Reagan coalition” stopped existing as an
operational political force some time ago. The conservative movement cannot use
the Republican Party to advance its aims simply because, as a non-existent
entity, the conservative movement has
no aims to advance.
This will come as a surprise to many of you. After all,
37 percent of American adults describe themselves as “conservatives.” That’s
89.7 million Americans in a movement I’m saying doesn’t exist! Yet polls are
often misleading, especially regarding self-identification. Self-identified
labels—like “pro-life” and “conservative”—often have surprisingly little to do
with voters’ actual policy commitments. To identify a real political movement,
we have to dig beneath the label and find out what exactly holds the group
together.
Unfortunately, when we dig beneath the “conservative”
label to learn what ties bind the conservative movement together, we find
nothing at all.
A Current
Conservative Taxonomy
There are three factions within today’s Republican Party,
all of them deeply and structurally opposed to one another. All three call
themselves “conservative” and berate the other factions for their deviations
from “true” conservatism, but each defines “conservatism” according to their
own factional priorities.
The populists
are nationalist, nativist, and pro-American. They supported Trump almost from
the start, and they read Breitbart
and Drudge.
Because they consider giving voice to “Americans” the
defining characteristic of conservatism, populist conservatives see support for
illegal immigrants as an excommunicable offense, but are open to raising taxes
on the rich to keep middle-class entitlement programs running, and are largely
indifferent to (or “pragmatic” about) “culture war” issues like religious
liberty.
Going by presidential preference polls, populists make up
about a third of the Republican party. The other factions pejoratively refer to
the populists as “Know-Nothings,” among other things.
The establishment
is chiefly concerned with growing gross domestic product at all costs. They
supported Jeb Bush or John Kasich at the end of February, and they read the Wall Street Journal and the Financial Times.
Because they view “growth” as the defining characteristic
of conservatism, establishment conservatives see tax increases or even tax cuts
that do not flow directly to the pockets of so-called “job creators” as grave
heresies against conservatism, but they are eager to increase immigration and
happy, nay eager, to surrender to the
Left on “culture war” issues.
Although smaller than the other factions, the
establishment wields disproportionate clout through its well-heeled donor
class. The other factions pejoratively refer to members of the establishment as
“plutocrats,” among other things.
The grassroots,
which fights for a culture that protects life, liberty, and the family,
supported Ted Cruz or Marco Rubio by the end of February. They read the National Review, The Federalist, and First
Things.
Because they see “culture” as the central feature of
conservatism, grassroots conservatives obviously view so-called “culture war”
issues as essential. They see economic growth as just one aspect of the
movement (and do not take the establishment’s rigid view of how to achieve it),
and they take a more nuanced, even “pragmatic” approach to immigration than
either of the other two factions. Like the populists, they seem to make up
about one-third of the GOP. The other factions pejoratively refer to the
grassroots as “religious fundamentalists,” among other things.
Notice the problem.
Although all three factions describe themselves as
“conservative,” they are directly (often furiously) opposed to each other on
issues each camp considers essential.
What’s vital to grassroots conservatives is anathema to the establishment. The
cornerstone of establishment conservatism is an outrage to populists. The core
of populist conservatism is—at best!—alarming to the grassroots. On and around
it goes. They’ve all come up with nasty names for each other, because the three
wings of “conservatism” largely hate
one other.
Ragnarok for
Reaganism
It is not new to say there are different schools of
conservatism, nor is it new to find it’s tough to pin down a precise definition
of “conservatism.” But the depth of hostility between the three camps—that’s
new. An illustration: it is well-known that Republican voters (who largely
identify as “conservatives”) are historically unhappy with Trump. But polls
showed that, even if the nominee were someone else—Rubio, Cruz, Kasich, or
Bush—Republican dissatisfaction with any one of them would have been at a
historic high. No candidate had the
ability to unite the party, because the factions of the conservative movement
are no longer compatible.
The establishment, which was once willing to tolerate
grassroots cultural conservatism (to a point) for the sake of political
expediency, now openly opposes the grassroots on some of its central issues.
The populists, once willing to accept the promise that sweeping free trade
agreements would eventually benefit working-class whites, have lost their faith
in the almighty global market. In short, the three factions of “conservatism”
are now so divergent that, by-and-large, they simply cannot tolerate the core
principles or favored candidates of the other “conservative” factions.
The conclusion is as difficult as it is inescapable: the
“conservative” movement no longer has either clear first principles or clear policy prescriptions on
virtually any issue, from domestic
surveillance to overseas military operations to taxation to policing to
immigration to marriage. Self-identified “conservatives” with strong
conservative credentials and large followings openly contradict one other on
nearly all of them. Schisms over one or two major issues are routine within
political movements, and are usually self-healing, but this isn’t a schism;
this is a shattering.
Conservatism is not a political movement. It’s the memory
of one. The Reagan coalition has fallen, and there is no sign it is ever coming
back. “Conservatism,” insofar as it persists, is now a mere tribe, incapable of
mobilizing for anything besides stopping the liberal tribe, which it pretty
consistently fails to do anyway. Conservatism is dead.
Wake Up and Smell
the Ashes
I have always identified as “conservative,” and maybe you
do, too. For you and I, then, this is an especially strange moment. We didn’t
“leave” the conservative movement; we simply find there is no conservative
movement left to leave.
It is like we woke up one morning to find that our house
was demolished while we were asleep. Meanwhile, our housemates are still
wandering around in the ruins as though everything were normal, showering with
the hose and eating breakfast on a table of rubble, homeless but oblivious.
Heading down to the city planner’s office, we learn the house was condemned
months ago, but our housemates couldn’t agree on a contractor to come in and
fix the problems. As a great conservative president once said, “A house divided
against itself cannot stand.” So it didn’t.
There’s nothing for it: we need a new house. And new
roommates. This presents a great challenge to us. Yet it also presents a great
opportunity to return to the lost roots of conservatism.
When the modern conservative movement started out under
the political leadership of Barry Goldwater and later Reagan, it was built on
centuries-old principles handed down by men like Edmund Burke and Alexis de
Toqueville. In 1953, the great intellectual, Russell Kirk, summarized those
central premises of conservatism.
In his “six canons,” Kirk articulated a conservativism
that embraces “a transcendant order, or body of natural law,” because
“[p]olitical problems, at bottom, are religious and moral problems.”
Conservatives, Kirk said, reject “uniformity, egalitarianism, and utilitarian
aims,” even as they recognize “ultimate equality in the judgement of God and…
before courts of law.” They maintain the importance of property rights against
Leviathan government, and distrust “sophisters, calculators, and economists who
would reconstruct society on abstract designs.” Finally, a Kirk conservative is
prudent, recognizing “that change may not be salutary reform: hasty innovation
may be a devouring conflagration, rather than a torch of progress.”
The modern “conservative movement” has lost touch with
these essentials. The establishment builds entire fiscal plans out of the
“abstract designs” of “calculators and economists,” and the Wall Street Journal editorial board
wouldn’t recognize a “body of natural law” if that body hauled back and punched
L. Gordon Crovitz in the nose. Even if they did take notice, the Journal and its Acela Corridor buddies
would find it gauche in the extreme
to actually speak out loud about political problems in fundamentally “religious
and moral” terms.
The populists, for their part, often preach about
problems in highly charged moral language, but their only common theme is
outrage, and their chosen avatar is Trump, the serial adulterer. Moreover,
their desire to burn down all our political institutions is the very definition of the “devouring
conflagration” Kirk warns of.
Conservatism has failed, then, partly because a large
swath of the “movement” has lost touch with its central ideas. The very word “conservative”
has been badly damaged. Corrupted and polarized, the label has become little
more than a tribal marker, and alienates many voters who would otherwise
naturally align with Kirk’s principles.
By Any Other Name
Yet those core, conservative ideas, plainly stated and
honestly championed, are still popular across a wide swath of American society,
including large groups of voters who wouldn’t be caught dead identifying
themselves as “conservative.” (I think here of black economic moderates,
various first- and second-generation immigrant groups, white union Democrats,
and others.)
The same can be said of many “grassroots” conservative
ideas; Ben Domenech is right to be shocked that no major presidential candidate
this year supports major abortion restrictions, even though Americans overwhelmingly do. That means there is
still hope for the canons of Burke and Kirk. But our hope, ironically, no
longer lies in the so-called “conservative” movement, nor in the Republican
Party it animates. We need to build a new house.
For example, it is not impossible to imagine a new
coalition that makes “human dignity” its watchword. The coalition would guard
the life, liberty, family, and property of every individual—in the womb, on the
deathbed, and everywhere in between (school, poverty, church, parenthood, the
factory floor, and beyond). Likewise, the coalition would stand fast against
the twin heads of Leviathan—Big Government and Big Business—by rebuilding an
ownership society with strong, healthy, and independent local institutions.
With these principles, a new coalition could draw
supporters from both Right and Left—libertarians, traditionalists, minorities,
the Christian Left, and more—so the media would probably not label it
“conservative.” Yet, in the truest sense of the word, conservative is exactly
what that coalition would be.
This is only one vision of a conservative future after
the conservative movement. There are many others out there. Some are good. Some
are not. But we cannot properly debate how to rebuild unless we recognize the
full scope of what’s been destroyed: a movement that dominated American
politics for decades, that gave us “morning in America,” Antonin Scalia, the
Iraq War, and, for many of us, our first political identity. It will be greatly
missed.
Conservatism is dead. Long may it live.
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