By Jonah Goldberg
Wednesday, March 4, 2015
Any chef will tell you that you need great ingredients to
pull off a great meal. Less discussed but just as true: You need to cook the
ingredients in the right order.
Wisconsin governor Scott Walker has nearly all of the
right ingredients to win the GOP nomination. He is popular among both
anti-establishment activists and the big donors of the establishment. He has
working-class appeal (desperately needed for the GOP), and he’s battle-tested
in his home state — a state many believe the Republicans could finally pick off
in a presidential election.
The question is whether his timing is off. In countless
discussions I had at CPAC, the Conservative Political Action Conference — as
well as among people I’ve talked to who attended the Club for Growth meeting in
Florida last weekend — the concern for friends, and the hope for foes, is that
Walker is peaking too soon.
That the Wisconsin governor is not ready for prime time
is rapidly becoming conventional wisdom. At an off-the-record yet widely
reported donor event in New York City (the one where Rudy Giuliani accused the
president of not loving America), Walker avoided concrete or specific answers
on nearly every major issue not squarely in his Wisconsin comfort zone.
At the Club for Growth event, the moderator interviewing
Walker told him point-blank that “the feedback” from that N.Y. event “was that
you were not prepared to speak about foreign policy.”
On Saturday, the Washington Examiner’s Byron York asked
Walker where he came down on the fight over funding for the Department of
Homeland Security and about the larger question of immigration policy. Walker
replied with a gale of word fog.
Walker’s defenders, and they are legion, will tell you
that he never planned on being a top-tier candidate this soon. It’s a sign of
his broad appeal, the grassroots hostility to a Jeb Bush coronation, and the
liberal media’s fear of Walker’s potential that he’s being put under the
microscope so early.
Walker said as much to York, “We had no idea that after
that Iowa summit there would be that kind of acceleration to the race. But
we’re here, and we’re not going to complain about it.”
All of that is undoubtedly true to one extent or another,
and Walker’s reply is a good one. But so what? He’s still facing the challenge
of being the front-runner before he is ready.
It’s a bigger problem than it might seem. Walker planned
on defining himself to the country on his timetable. With that plan in ashes,
he’s facing a liberal news corps and a Republican field of competitors
hell-bent on defining Walker if he won’t. From the media, that means lots of
questions about President Obama’s religion, Walker’s views on evolution, and
other ridiculous gaffe hunts.
Walker has been “punting” — his word — on such questions,
but also on more serious topics. That is a fine tactic when few are paying
attention. Other candidates have been punting on various issues too, but no one
knows or cares because they aren’t the front-runner. When you’re in the
spotlight, punting stops being a way to avoid giving an answer and instead it
becomes the answer.
Walker is in danger of being the guy known for not having
a good — or any — answer to tough questions. That’s particularly poisonous for
him, given that he is running on leadership and truth-telling.
Of course, it’s not all downside. Being unfairly targeted
by the media also has the effect of boosting your name and, more important,
causing the rank and file to rally to your defense. For example, New York Times
columnist Gail Collins attacked Walker for higher-education cuts that occurred
before Walker took office. And the hard Left is frequently concocting attacks
they then have to retract.
But Walker cannot afford to become merely a culture-war
avatar of grassroots resentment against the “lamestream media.” That’s the
route to a radio show, not the White House. His path to the nomination still
hinges on being the most acceptable alternative to establishment front-runner
Jeb Bush and to anti-establishment heroes Rand Paul and Ted Cruz. If he can’t
thread that needle, Senator Marco Rubio will be happy — and well-prepared — to
step in.
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