By Jonah Goldberg
Friday, May 08, 2026
My late brother, who would have turned 59 today, was
ridiculously smart.
He was not a great student in the academic sense (neither
was I!), but he hoovered up information, observations, experiences, and
conversations like few people I ever knew.
One of the insights I learned from Josh, who worked for a
time as a truck driver for a seafood wholesaler, was that the mob, or just
organized crime generally, thrived in the parts of the economy that are
dependent on time. I’ll give you two examples: fish and newspapers.
What do they have in common? They’re both highly
perishable. Ironically, that’s why old newspapers are often called “fish wrap”
and why we have terms like “yesterday’s news” and how it “isn’t worth the paper
it’s printed on,” so why not wrap a mackerel or some fish-and-chips with it?
In New York City, the mob dominated the seafood delivery
business because time was of the essence. If the mob demanded you pay an extra
unloading fee, or install a jukebox in your restaurant you didn’t want or
collect any of the revenue from, you could refuse, or even go to the cops. But
that takes time. And if the load of halibut and lobster you paid for sits on
the dock in the sun too long, you’re just as screwed as you would be if the
shipment had been stolen. And that assumes the cops would help anyway. It’s not
like the mob activity was a secret to the people running the city or state
government. More on that in a moment.
The same goes for newspapers. This is one of my absolute
favorite examples of self-interested media bias and dereliction.
The mobbed-up Newspaper and Mail Deliverers Union had a
stranglehold on the newspaper and magazine industry in New York for ages. The
very newspapers and reporters who loved to cover the mob declined to report on
the mobsters shaking them down. Only after the feds and the administration of
Mayor Rudy Giuliani cleared them out did it become a safe topic to report on.
In 2001, Tom Robbins wrote a great piece for the Village Voice about “The
Newspaper Racket” and the head of the union, Doug LaChance. Here’s how it
begins:
Five nights a
week, one of America’s best-paid truck drivers climbs into an 18-wheel tractor
trailer to deliver the world’s most famous newspaper.
Doug LaChance is
59 years old, and aside from two terms as president of his union and two
stretches in federal prison, he has worked steadily for The New York Times
for 41 years.
He has a lifetime
job guarantee there that pays him upwards of $200,000 a year, thanks to a 1992
contract that he personally negotiated with publisher Arthur Sulzberger Jr.
Some Times employees say, more than half jokingly, that Doug LaChance is
the second most powerful man at the nation’s Newspaper of Record.
In the early 1990s, Manhattan District Attorney Robert
Morgenthau filed racketeering indictments against the union. “Corruption in the
NMDU is so pervasive and extreme that it was necessary to take the
extraordinary step of charging the union itself,” Morgenthau said.
But throughout the multi-year investigation and trial,
New York newspapers barely covered it –except for Newsday, which, it
just so happens, used a different union to deliver its papers.
Before I get to my point, I should note that this is a
pretty useful way to think about the Strait of Hormuz mess. Pretty much
everyone understands that if time wasn’t an issue (or if ground troops weren’t
a red line), America could break Iran’s stranglehold over Hormuz. But the world
economy needs the stuff that goes through the strait—oil and gas, but also
helium, petrochemicals, fertilizer, aluminum, etc.—on a tighter timeline. Like
a seafood restaurant or newspaper vendor, countless industries can’t really
afford to wait for the U.S. blockade to break Iran’s will. Our pain points are
asymmetric. The Iranian regime is willing to endure a lot of kinetic whup-ass,
but the constituencies Donald Trump cares about—Gulf countries; the oil, gas,
bond, and stock markets; congressional Republicans; farmers; airlines; and some
elements of MAGA, just to name a few—are either starting to freak out or are
already fed up.
The Strait of Hormuz is kinda like the loading dock at
the Fulton Fish Market, and the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps is Paulie
Walnuts saying, “That’s a nice load of oysters on our truck. Be a shame if we
got a flat tire on the Cross Bronx Expressway. Maybe you want to buy some extra
insurance?”
California sclerosis.
The mob had effectively controlled the Fulton Fish Market
since the 1920s, when Joseph “Socks” Lanza of the Genovese crime family took over
Local 359 of the United Seafood Workers, Smoked Fish and Cannery Union in 1923.
The feds managed to get a court-appointed monitor, but the mob held on. Indeed,
that monitor, Frank Wohl, said in 1990 that the Fish Market remained a kind of
“sovereign entity where the laws of economic power and physical force, not the
laws of New York City, prevail.”
It wasn’t until Giuliani became mayor in 1994 that the
mobs’ generations-long hold was really broken. I think Giuliani has become a
tragic figure in the last decade, but he was an excellent mayor. No less than
George Will said in 2007 that Giuliani’s tenure was “the most
successful episode of conservative governance in the last 50 years.”
I don’t want to take anything away from Giuliani’s skills
at the time, but one of the reasons he was so successful was simply that he
wasn’t a Democrat. He wasn’t part of the machine that had controlled the city
for so long. The coalition that he was answerable to wasn’t dependent on, or
deferential to, the mob or to the quasi-mobbed-up pols, hacks, bureaucrats, and
unions that had simply accepted that the status quo was natural. The fresh
blood didn’t accept that “this is the way it’s always been.”
Which brings me to California in the 21st century,
possibly the most pathetic episode of progressive governance in the last 50
years. California’s problems aren’t identical to New York City’s problems prior
to Giuliani, but they are similar in important ways. The state Senate has been
run by Democrats since 1975. The Assembly has been controlled by Democrats
since 1996. Democrats have veto-proof majorities in both chambers. Arnold
Schwarzenegger was the last Republican governor and the last Republican to hold
statewide office in the state. He left office in 2011, but that date is
misleading because during his second term, he basically capitulated to
Democrats.
And California is a hot mess.
In 2019, Gov. Gavin Newsom announced a “Marshall Plan” to
fight homelessness. Since then, the state has spent—I defecate you negatory—$37
billion on housing and homelessness-related policies. The result: a massive increase in homelessness—24 percent since the
launch of the “Marshall Plan” (and a 60 percent increase since 2015)—with a
2024 estimate of 187,000 homeless people living in the state. I’m not a math
guy, but that means California spent roughly $198,000 per homeless person.
And those are just the budgetary costs. Homelessness
imposes other costs, and not just to the homeless. Businesses shutter because
of homelessness. Neighborhoods suffer. People leave because of the damage to
quality of life and perceptions of safety.
Obviously, homelessness involves a lack of housing, but
the reason a lot of people are homeless has to do with mental illness
and drug abuse. The reason a lot of non-mentally ill, non-drug-addicted people
can’t afford a home is because housing is so frickin’ expensive in California. Only 15 percent of Californians can afford to buy a house
at the median price. In 2012 56 percent of Californians could.
I was recently in Los Angeles, where gas was about $6.50
a gallon and diesel was nearly $8. Prices are high all over, but California
consistently has fuel prices about a third higher than the national average.
That was true before the Iran war, and it’s true now. Why? Well, a bunch of
reasons. California requires a special blend for its gas that basically only
California refineries make, and California hasn’t opened a new major refinery
since 1969, while several have closed. California has crazy
high gas and diesel taxes. California is basically not part of the U.S. gas
market, both because of the special blend it requires and because there isn’t a
single pipeline that crosses the Rockies. Can you imagine trying to get a
permit for a pipeline into California? That’s why the state relies on maritime
imports more than any other state, save for Hawaii, of course.
If California were a country, it would have the fourth
biggest economy in the world. And yet on a cost-adjusted basis, it has one of
the highest poverty rates in the U.S.
And don’t even get me started on California’s high-speed
rail project, which is now projected to cost $126 billion. It was approved in 2008 for
a cost of $33 billion, and as of now even the first phase won’t be operational
until 2033. I’ll believe that when I see it.
I could go on for a while. But just consider this: No
less than Nicholas Kristof recently pointed
out that “a black kid in Mississippi is two-and-a-half times as likely to be
proficient in math and reading by fourth grade as a black kid in California.”
The reason the legendarily bleeding-heart progressive
journalist pointed that out? For the same reason I am: Democrats have had
complete control of California for a very long time, and they’ve screwed things
up royally.
Now, I am happy to argue that California is a mess
because the progressives who control it have bad ideas. And in some cases, I
think that’s definitely true. The soft-on-shoplifting nonsense in major
California cities is so profoundly stupid it’s difficult to express my contempt
adequately.
But another reason California is a mess has less to do
with ideology than human nature. Democrats have been in power too long. The
lack of competitive elections is a disaster for the state. It produces
politicians like Newsom, Kamala Harris, Eric Swalwell, Katie Porter, Xavier
Becerra, Dopey, and Sneezy. They know how to speak fluent progressive, but they
don’t know how to govern outside their bubble. One reason Harris was such a bad
presidential candidate is she never developed any muscle memory fighting the
left. To get ahead in San Francisco and California politics meant pleasing, or
at least placating, the left and demonizing the right. She couldn’t speak to
normie, never mind center-right, voters because she never learned the language.
That’s why she picked Tim Walz, because for a left-wing San Francisco Democrat,
a white guy in flannel who knows which end of a rifle the bullet comes out of
is a right-winger.
I think my cred as a Trump critic is pretty solid, but
Trump is not responsible for California’s problems. Nor are Republicans or
conservatives. These are all problems created by Democrats. As a gubernatorial
candidate, Katie Porter claims she can tackle high gas prices and unaffordable
housing because she drives a minivan and has a grown kid sleeping on her couch.
When has she ever opposed any of the California policies that have led to high
gas prices and unaffordable housing?
You don’t have to be a Marxist to understand that the
political class, lacking meaningful competition, will become entrenched in the
status quo and subservient to vested interests. Indeed, a Marxist would mess up
the analysis by looking too hard at monied classes. But the rich don’t dominate
California or define the politically possible. Unions, government workers,
activists, and trial lawyers do. If the “billionaire class” ran California, the
Service Employees International Union wouldn’t have gotten a wealth tax on the ballot for this November. If Hollywood
moguls ran California, the film and television industry wouldn’t be bleeding
out the way it is today. If Silicon Valley billionaires called the shots, why
have Mark Zuckerberg (Meta founder and CEO), Larry Page and Sergey Brin (Google
founders), and Peter Thiel (PayPal co-founder) fled the state? Why did Elon
Musk move SpaceX’s headquarters to Texas?
Look, it takes two to tango. The California GOP has been
a hot mess for a very long time. And in its rump-party condition it’s become
crazier. I keep saying that I want the Democratic Party to become sane, because
I’ve reached the conclusion that you can’t have just one sane party in a
two-party system. California is a perfect example of the problem. The
California GOP has become crazy because of its powerlessness, and the
California Democratic Party has become corrupted by having too much power.
Simply throwing the Democrats out of power would do more
for the state than enacting the top 10 progressive priorities. Whenever one
party is in power for too long, dirt piles up in their blind spots. The dirt
piles are so high, all it would take is someone with a modicum of will and
seriousness to grab a broom and start sweeping. Simple fixes to zoning, labor,
and environmental rules would have massive returns on investment. That’s what
Rudy Giuliani proved in New York City.
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