By Rich Lowry
Tuesday, September 03, 2024
If elected, Kamala Harris is going to go for it.
Forget the flip-flopping to try to get to the center, the
irenic DNC address, the moderate tone and emphasis on a New Way Forward crafted
to be wholly unobjectionable.
All of that will be instantly inoperative as of January
21, 2025, if not right after Election Day.
We’ve all seen the movie before — a Democrat runs on a
centrist or centrist-sounding platform, then governs to the left as soon as he
assumes office. Bill Clinton, who cut his political teeth in cultural
conservative Arkansas, did it. So did Barack Obama, who swathed his program in
gauzy generalities. So, of course, did Joe Biden, who was supposed to be a
unifier above all else.
The recent history suggests that it is impossible for a
Democrat not to run this play, or, put another way, it’s the only play they’ve
got.
The limiting factor on a President Harris would be
control of Congress, especially if the Montana Senate race goes Republicans’
way. Unless something goes disastrously wrong for them elsewhere, Republicans
should have a Senate majority if they win the state, where Republican Tim
Sheehy has been running ahead of incumbent Jon Tester lately. But if something
does go wrong somewhere else or Sheehy stumbles, Harris easily could have
control of Congress.
What would check her then?
Whatever the limits of her capabilities as a politician
or leader, she is presumably not aware of them, or wouldn’t be inclined to let
them stop her. People who are elected president always develop a healthy
self-regard, if they didn’t have it already, since they have attained one of
the most exalted positions on the planet and one occupied by only several dozen
fellow Americans over the course of our 250-year history.
Harris won’t even have to believe her own press releases;
she’ll just have to believe her own press, which will be all about how historic
she is, how joyful she is, how impressive her victory was, and how she saved
democracy.
If you think the coverage is over the top now, just
imagine what would happen if she got to 270 electoral votes and vanquished
Donald Trump, perhaps bringing a final end to his presidential aspirations
(although that would remain to be seen).
Although Harris has been jettisoning her positions from
2019–20 and sounding as reasonable as possible, the fact is that what she and
her party are actively proposing is not exactly modest. Getting her
tax-and-spending plan through, on its own, would be huge. And her party is
committed to bypassing the filibuster for purposes of imposing a nationwide,
pro-abortion regime and passing sweeping “voting rights” legislation.
Once the legislative filibuster is significantly
breached, the irresistible temptation will be to find exceptions for every
other progressive priority, too. Notably, Harris is on the record supporting
“court reform,” which could entail de facto Court-packing. Certainly, if this
comes to pass, statehood for Puerto Rico and Washington, D.C., will be part of
the conversation, too.
We will be told that “history” demands nothing less, and
we — and, more important, Kamala Harris — will be told that by historians.
Inevitably, a President Harris would meet with
presidential historians, and inevitably, the presidential historians would tell
her she can only meet the moment by being as transformative as possible.
You aren’t a presidential historian who is invited to a
dinner at the White House to talk about a Democratic president’s prospects
unless you are inclined to advise that he or she is the next FDR or LBJ.
No one says, “Madame President, this whole thing was an
accident. You ran against a deeply flawed opponent who had lost the prior
national election, too, and your team kept you under wraps for fear you would
too flagrantly demonstrate that you aren’t up for this. I’d just keep your head
down, pursue a consensus agenda, and hope for the best.”
No one told Joe Biden that after he won the White House
in 2020 by default.
Axios reported at the time, “Hosting historians around a long
table in the East Room earlier this month, President Biden took notes in a
black book as they discussed some of his most admired predecessors. Then he
said to Doris Kearns Goodwin: ‘I’m no FDR, but . . .’”
Oh, the lack of realism and trillions of dollars weighted
on that simple conjunction.
“The chatty, two-hour-plus meeting,” Axios continued,
“is a for-the-history-books marker of the think-big, go-big mentality that
pervades his West Wing.”
In another report, Axios noted of Biden, “The
historians’ views were very much in sync with his own: It is time to go even
bigger and faster than anyone expected. If that means chucking the filibuster
and bipartisanship, so be it.”
The report continued, “Presidential historian Michael Beschloss told
Axios FDR and LBJ may turn out to be the past century’s closest analogues for
the Biden era, ‘in terms of transforming the country in important ways in a
short time.’”
It added, “He loves the growing narrative that he’s bolder and bigger-thinking than
President Obama.”
Harris would love the narrative that she’s bolder and
bigger-thinking than President Biden just as much.
Advice from historians aside, the Democratic mold
for governing is always FDR and LBJ, who enhanced the role of the state and
transformed the constitutional order, rather than, say, the more cautious JFK. Kennedy is the model for youthful
energy and style, not substantive ambition.
It’s also not a crazy calculation to believe that the
best approach to the window created by unified control of Congress is to jam
through as much as possible, since a president will probably get shellacked in
his or her first midterm regardless.
All of this means that 2025 after a Harris victory would
mean the most left-wing pair of governing partners in American history pushing
our government and society as far left as they plausibly (or implausibly) think
they can.
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