By Noah Rothman
Monday, September 09, 2024
On the eve of what might be the only debate between
Kamala Harris and Donald Trump, it is easy to forget that general-election
debates have historically not mattered much. The June 27 debate in
which Joe Biden melted into a doddery puddle before our very eyes is the
exception that proves the rule. Given the proximity to November’s vote, the
closeness of the election, and the commitment among partisans to their
respective candidates, Tuesday’s debate is unlikely to alter the political
landscape.
That’s a safe bet given how mediocre both Harris and
Trump are as debaters. Their mediocrity is, however, distinctive.
Trump starts off strong. Indeed, I believe that it wasn’t
just Biden’s rambling, disjointed answer to a question about the national debt,
which culminated in the president’s inexplicably declaring that we had “finally
beat Medicare,” that set the tone for the rest of the debate. It was also
Trump’s searing rebuttal that did Biden in. “I really don’t know what he said
at the end of that sentence,” Trump replied after a smartly timed beat. “I
don’t think he knows what he said either.” That was one of several moments in
that encounter in which Trump rattled off one or two sharp, dismissive, or
record-correcting sentences that landed perfectly.
Yet the discipline Trump displays at the outset of his
remarks soon dissolves into the fog of his own muddled thinking. Within a
sentence or two, Trump retreats into the shorthand decipherable only to the
MAGA faithful. He rails against “third-rate” venues that criticize him without
naming them. He cites “Russia, Russia, Russia,” as though you’re supposed to
understand that that bullet-point distills years of controversy and
investigations into the former president’s supposed collusion with foreign assets.
That was “was made up, just like the 51 intelligence agents are made up, just
like the new thing with the 16 economists are talking,” Trump continued . . .
Huh? Only those who follow electoral politics at a granular level understood
the open letters Trump touched on, and who knows if they have the requisite
command of the facts necessary to contextualize them.
Trump doesn’t make arguments. He makes references. And
although Trump is a skilled rhetorical pugilist with a showman’s affect, he
loses his audience when he retreats into his grievances and the shorthand that
he uses to describe them.
Harris has the opposite problem. When speaking
extemporaneously, she sets off in the directionless pursuit of a thought worthy
of expression. The vice president so often sounds like a flighty, new-age,
self-help guru because she has embarked on a journey of discovery, the ultimate
destination being a cogent statement somewhere over the horizon. She usually
gets there, but she can do a lot of damage to her own brand in the interim.
That bad habit is why Democratic debate watchers in 2019 were treated to
sentences such as “So part of how I believe we’re going to win this election
is, it is going to be because we are focused on the future, we are focused on
the challenges that are presented today and not trying to bring back yesterday
to solve tomorrow,” in response to a question as straightforward as “How would
you pay for that?”
Harris has another vulnerability, albeit one that
masquerades as a strength. In 2019, she thrilled Democratic audiences when she
accused Joe Biden of cozying up with southern segregationists and opposing
forced busing programs. Her attack implied that Biden had racial hostility in
his heart. But when she was later pressed to make her implicit accusation
explicit, Harris declined. In much the same way that she could never
substantiate the allegations she leveled against Brett Kavanaugh in his
confirmation hearings, Harris has no follow-through. Ultimately, in the days
that follow her attacks, the sting wears off because she either cannot or will
not prosecute her own charge.
After his strong start, Trump reliably rockets off into
orbit, leaving his audiences to ponder his meaning. After her weak start,
Harris eventually finds her way to comprehensibility, but not before
undermining her self-set image as a skilled prosecutor. We can expect to see
both tendencies on display tomorrow night.
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