By Noah Rothman
Monday, April 01, 2024
A yearlong investigation conducted by the Insider along
with journalists from the German publication Der Spiegel and CBS’s 60 Minutes culminated in a series of explosive
reports on Sunday night. These outlets simultaneously revealed extensive
evidence in support of the claim that the debilitating malady known as “Havana
Syndrome” is almost certainly a byproduct of directed-energy weapon attacks,
and Moscow is more likely than not to be responsible for those attacks.
The earliest cases of what American health officials have
euphemized as “anomalous health incidents” (AHIs) that dominated the headlines
in late 2016 and early 2017 were suspiciously local to the new U.S. diplomatic
mission in Havana. But those weren’t the first such incidents, according to the
new reports, which said that U.S. officials experienced symptoms now associated
with AHIs as early as 2014 in both Germany and Ukraine. Indeed, in Tbilisi,
Guangzhou, Hanoi, and Tashkent, AHIs dogged American intelligence agents
associated with the U.S. station in Ukraine. “The cluster of Havana Syndrome
cases that emerged from veterans of the U.S. Embassy in Kyiv was so worrisome
to one of its number that he opted to resign from the CIA altogether rather
than risk becoming a fourth victim,” the Insider’s report read.
The dispatches set out in excruciating detail the
development of directed-energy weapons by Russian military intelligence’s Unit
29155. It identifies by name the Russian agents likely associated with this
unit of the GRU, and it places some of them in proximity to the targets of
possible attacks. But the U.S. government has been coy about the attacks’
origins. As late as spring 2023, the Office of the Director of National
Intelligence insisted it was “very unlikely” that Havana Syndrome was the
result of enemy action. Some U.S. diplomatic and intelligence officials
regarded this as a “betrayal,” motivating them to speak out publicly — some on
the record — about their experiences and suspicions.
The Insider concludes with some informed
speculation. Why has the U.S. not gone public with its view that Moscow is the
architect of this campaign? Perhaps because “releasing the full intelligence
around Russian involvement might be so shocking as to convince the American
people and their representatives that Moscow has committed an act of war
against the United States.” That’s not hard to believe. When the Obama
administration embarked on the effort to bring Cuba in from the cold, its
officials knew full well that Russia would try to disrupt the initiative. “The
Russians would have every interest in f***ing with us in Cuba,” said Ben
Rhodes, Obama’s deputy national-security adviser, at the time. A New Yorker dispatch details the degree to which
Russian assets harassed Obama officials, seemingly with that outcome in mind.
The Trump administration adopted a firmer line toward
Cuba but not toward Russia. On September 1, 2017, State Department
spokeswoman Heather Nauert announced that 19 American diplomatic personnel had
been debilitated by “sonic harassment attacks” (it was later learned that CIA
personnel, too, were affected). Over the coming weeks, the Trump
administration’s diplomatic staff, along with their Canadian counterparts,
withdrew their representatives to their respective Cuban missions. Trump
expelled Cuban Foreign Service officers from the U.S. and publicly accused the
Cuban government of complicity in these attacks. Still, few Havana hands
believed Cuba alone could be responsible for the sophisticated attacks.
The consistency across the Obama, Trump, and now Biden
administrations in deflecting blame away from Moscow supports the Insider’s
suspicion that pointing the finger at Russia would raise discomfiting questions
about how the West should respond to these crippling attacks on American
government officials. These are serious questions for serious policy-makers.
But while we are awash in the former, we are unfortunately bereft of the
latter.
To all this relatively comprehensive reporting, Senator
J. D. Vance could summon only abrasive sarcasm. “Feels like a lot of
journalists have lost their minds,” he
wrote in response to one of the authors of the Insider report.
Puerile sneering may be the coin of the realm on social
media, but this hardly constitutes a rebuttal to the facts in evidence. It’s a
particularly odd posture for a self-described proponent of an “America first” foreign policy to adopt — at least, if you
accept the phrase’s value proposition at face value. Critics of the premise
promulgated by Vance and his allies maintain that “America first” contains the
logic for humiliating retrenchment and servility in the face of attacks on
Americans and U.S. national interests. It is the language of retreat coded in
superficially patriotic language.
If Vance’s first instinct upon contact with serious allegations that a hostile foreign power is targeting U.S. government personnel with violence is to bury the charge under a mountain of snark, he has confirmed his critics’ suspicions.
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