By Noah Rothman
Tuesday, August
24, 2021
America has been held hostage before. In
1976, TWA Flight 355 was taken over by Croatian nationalists, and a New York
City police officer lost his life in an effort to resolve it. The 1985
hijacking of the Achille Lauro by militants with the Palestinian Liberation
Front ended only following American military intervention. Most famously, the
vanguard of the Islamic revolution in Iran took 52 Americans hostage for 444
days. These traumatic episodes pale in comparison to what the United States may
now be facing in Afghanistan. America may now be in the middle of the largest
hostage crisis in its history.
On Monday, the Biden administration
announced that it had ferried at least 37,000 people out of the increasingly
inhumane conditions that prevail in Hamid Karzai International Airport—the last
remaining bastion of Western influence in Afghanistan. That’s no small feat.
But insofar as you can call the herculean conscription of both civilian and
military forces into the effort to evacuate Americans and their partners from
behind Taliban lines “easy,” that was the easy part. The clock is ticking down
to zero hour, and the United States will not meet its deadline.
“We’re going to get everyone that we can
possibly evacuate evacuated,” Defense Sec. Lloyd Austin promised late last week. “And I’ll do that as long as we possibly can until the clock runs out
or we run out of capability.” That “clock” had been set not just by the
president, who has insisted that the United States would remove all vulnerable
Americans and U.S. allies from Afghanistan by August 31, but the Taliban. “It’s
a red line,” said Taliban representative Suhail Shaheen. “If the U.S. or U.K. were to seek additional time to continue
evacuations, the answer is no. Or there would be consequences.”
In the effort to speed things along, the
United States has reluctantly begun executing special forces operations
designed to exfiltrate Americans outside of the airport, even at the risk of
inflaming tensions with the Taliban and their State
Department-designated terrorist allies who are providing for our “security.” Simultaneously, American
forces are reportedly
turning away Afghans eligible for evacuation and
relocation. But even abandoning our allies to prioritize Americans will not cut
it. As of Monday, only about 3,300 of the estimated 10 to 15,000 Americans who were trapped in
Afghanistan when Kabul fell have been ferried out of the country. Even at this
unsustainable pace, the American mission in Afghanistan will not be over by
August 31. And everyone but the Biden White House seems to know it.
“Given the number of Americans who still
need to be evacuated, the number of SIVs, the number of others who are members
of the Afghan press, civil society leaders, women leaders—it’s hard for me to
imagine all of that can be accomplished between now and the end of the month,”
said U.S. House Intelligence Committee Chairman Adam Schiff on Monday. A number of prominent
federal legislators are demanding that the
administration commit to a longer operation, and they are joined by British
Prime Minister Boris Johnson. He will use the occasion of an emergency G7 summit on Tuesday to
pressure Biden to “ensure safe evacuations, prevent a humanitarian crisis and
support the Afghan people to secure the gains of the last 20 years.”
Joe Biden finds himself in a trap of his
own making. U.S. forces operate out of Kabul’s airport at the pleasure of the
Taliban. At any point, what Biden called a “ragtag” group can disable the
airport and reengage in combat with the American forces they’ve so far allowed
a narrow berth. Biden is determined to avoid that outcome. The only alternative
to such a disaster would be to bribe the Taliban into submission. It’s an
option the president has already foreshadowed. “The Taliban has to make a
fundamental decision,” Biden said on
Sunday. To be successful, they are “going to
need everything from additional help in terms of economic assistance, trade,
and a whole range of things.”
The Taliban, Biden said, is “seeking
legitimacy to determine whether or not they will be recognized by other
countries.” No doubt, all these carrots are being dangled before our captors by
CIA Director William Burns, who was this week dispatched to
Kabul likely to negotiate an extension of
our mission there.
The message from the Taliban couldn’t be
clearer: Your money or your lives. And there are thousands of Americans in
Afghanistan from which the Taliban might choose to make a few examples. As
the heartrending
audio received by Rep. Carol Miller’s office
attests, the Americans trapped behind enemy lines believe they are abandoned by
their government to the mercies of a vengeful Islamist militia. As one staffer
at the abandoned American
embassy admitted, “it would be better to die under the
Taliban’s bullet” than to face the brutality of a likely unsuccessful effort to
reach American service personnel on their own. Our citizens and friends are
resigning themselves to a terrible fate.
America’s humiliation in Afghanistan did
not end with the fall of Kabul. It is only just beginning.
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