By Rich Lowry
Friday, August 27, 2021
California governor Gavin Newsom is a princeling of
progressivism who has ascended to the summit of political power in one of the
bluest states in the country, and yet is in real danger of suffering a
humiliating defeat.
In a few weeks, he could be recalled and, after
a lifetime of political striving, replaced by a conservative talk-radio host
who has thought about holding elected office for about five minutes.
Recall is a blunt instrument. There’s no denying that it
is bizarre that Larry Elder, the leading alternative candidate, could
replace Newsom after getting less than 20 percent of the vote. The way the
recall works is that voters are first asked whether or not to recall Newsom. If
a majority says “yes,” he is gone. Then, whichever candidate gets the most
votes on the replacement ballot, even if it’s a small plurality, becomes
governor.
Recall is a well-established feature of the California
system. It has been in the state’s constitution since 1911, and, of course, was
used most recently when Gray Davis was recalled and replaced by Arnold
Schwarzenegger in 2003.
Efforts to portray it as undemocratic and
unconstitutional make no sense. The recall is decided by the thoroughly
democratic method of seeing what and who gets the most votes. Newsom supporters
have the power to stop his ouster simply by outvoting, even by one ballot, the
supporters of the recall.
If there is no credible Democrat among the replacement
candidates, that was a deliberate strategic choice of the party to make the
recall a contest between an impeccably progressive governor and a motley group
of Republicans. The calculation may pay off, but it is a risk that makes the
Elder scenario plausible.
The bottom line is that recall is an escape valve in a
state with an entrenched political monoculture. It is the only plausible tool
available to deliver a well-deserved personal rebuke to Newsom and an
unmistakable message to the state’s political establishment that it is failing.
Newsom inherited a state in decline. Once a mecca for the
middle class and strivers of all kinds, California has become an
economic-inequality machine with an outrageously high cost of living and a
steady exodus of residents and companies.
Newsom is the governor by and for all the forces that
created this debacle. His Democratic predecessor, Jerry Brown, was a
substantial figure with an independent streak. Handsome and slick to a fault,
Newsom has, in contrast, risen without a trace, to paraphrase a famous line
about British TV interviewer David Frost. From San Francisco mayor to
lieutenant governor to governor, he’s wedded his ambition to a progressive
elitism that can seem out of touch even in liberal California.
He wouldn’t face a recall if it weren’t for his instantly
notorious dinner at French Laundry. This isn’t the most significant of his
lapses, but breaking his own coronavirus rules at one of the finest restaurants
in the country — the wine bill reportedly came to $12,000 — was going to
engender a fierce reaction. Especially after Newsom ordered far-reaching and
extensive lockdowns that were arbitrary (no outdoor dining — except for people
making movies!) and economically damaging.
Meanwhile, schools in the state were often closed, a
significant blow to learning and a particular burden to parents without the
means to find alternatives.
He has effectively done nothing to fight the twin crises
of wildfire and drought (environmentalists oppose forest management and
building new dams), and there’s a pervasive sense that disorder and
homelessness in the state’s big cities are intolerably degrading the quality of
life.
Newsom’s strategy is an unimaginative blunderbuss
approach — raising ungodly amounts of cash from billionaires and special
interests, and bludgeoning recall proponents as dangerous insurrectionist tools
of former President Donald Trump.
This may well work. Still, the polls have had the recall
shockingly close, evidence that even in California there’s such a thing as a
progressive being too off-putting and going too far.
No comments:
Post a Comment