By Rich Lowry
Tuesday, August
10, 2021
A trillion dollars used to be a lot
of money, even in Washington. Now, a trillion-dollar spending bill is a trifle
barely worth arguing over and the stuff of bipartisan consensus.
Oscar Wilde famously said that nothing
succeeds like excess, but even he might blanch at the shameless profligacy that
is America’s new normal.
In their wisdom, Senate Republicans
decided to help President Joe Biden pass a portion of his blow-out fiscal agenda,
a $1.2 trillion infrastructure bill that is a prelude to an even bigger, vastly
more consequential $3.5 trillion reconciliation bill.
The infrastructure bill itself is, as
fiscal analyst Brian Riedl of the Manhattan Institute notes, “one of the
largest non-emergency spending bills of the past 50 years.”
Republicans told themselves that only
about half, $550 billion, is new spending, and that, by going along, they can
take the heat off of Democratic moderates Kyrsten Sinema and Joe Manchin, who
are being constantly pressured to ditch the filibuster.
Perhaps, but there’s no doubt that the GOP
has blessed — and lent a bipartisan imprimatur to — a portion of the
president’s hoped-for historic spending spree. In so doing, they have taken at
least a little ownership of an agenda they should want no part of.
Republicans will have much less influence,
and perhaps none, on the next spate of spending, which is the so-called soft
infrastructure (a.k.a., a wish list of progressive social programs) after the “hard”
infrastructure in the bipartisan bill (roads, bridges, rail).
Under the reconciliation process, tax and
spending bills evade the filibuster in the Senate, so Democrats can pass
whatever they want so long as they hold all 50 of their senators.
The sheer numbers here are jaw-dropping.
Including the $1.9 trillion so-called COVID-19 relief bill from earlier this
year, Biden wants to spend nearly $6 trillion in three measures passed within
months of one another. In 2019, by point of comparison, the entire federal
budget was $4.4 trillion (and at the time, President Trump wasn’t exactly
tightening the country’s fiscal belt).
The tide of new spending will add to
already extraordinary levels of red ink.
The White House projects that the U.S.
debt will reach 109.7 percent of GDP this year, higher than at the end of World
War II, when we had abandoned all fiscal restraint to win an existential
struggle against two expansionistic totalitarian empires.
The Senate instructions for the
reconciliation bill say that only half of it has to be paid for. Democrats will
claim a dog’s breakfast of purported savings and painless revenue increases,
but the bulk of the new dollars will have to come from a tax increase that
easily could rank as one of the biggest ever.
The parameters of the reconciliation bill
were crafted by the socialist chairman of the Senate Budget Committee, Bernie
Sanders, and it shows.
The priorities read like crib notes from
his old presidential campaigns. The bill would add new government programs for
the young and the old, from universal pre-K to tuition-free community college,
to family and medical leave, to expansions of Obamacare and Medicare.
It would make a big nod to the Green New
Deal with a slew of new “clean energy” initiatives, including “smart
agriculture” and “environmental justice,” and the creation of a Civilian
Climate Corps, a climate-alarmist homage to FDR.
It is a sign of the insane ambition of
Biden’s Democrats that they hope as well to include a sweeping amnesty for
illegal immigrants in the bill, a measure that is sure to be struck by the
Senate parliamentarian on procedural grounds.
Relatively moderate Democrats in the
Senate and the House, where the party also has little margin for error, have
grumbled about the size of the reconciliation bill. It will be up to them to
decide whether the party steps back from the precipice or goes all-in on
Biden-Sanders fiscal radicalism.
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