By Kevin D. Williamson
Tuesday, May 11, 2021
Every now and then, the world pauses briefly to
say, “Hey, dummy — pay attention.”
Seventeen states and — oh, glorious irony! — the District
of Columbia have declared states of emergency after the closure of the Colonial
pipeline, which brings fuel from Gulf Coast refineries to eastern cities.
Gasoline prices already are rising and are expected to rise sharply in the
immediate future. Atlanta’s Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport, fresh off
the indignity of losing the title of world’s busiest airport to Bai Yun
International in Guangzhou, is nervously watching its fuel stores, as are other
airports (including Charlotte Douglas and Raleigh-Durham) served by the
pipeline. The population centers of the East Coast are at risk of significant
disruption to everything from deliveries to travel — because almost half the
fuel used in the most densely populated part of the country travels through a
single pipeline that runs from Houston to Linden, N.J., currently out of
service after an apparent act of extortion through cyberterrorism.
“Hey, dummy — pay
attention.”
President Joe Biden is no friend of pipelines.
Practically his first act in office was unilaterally stopping a
multi-billion-dollar pipeline project that already was under way. Biden
proposes to be President Infrastructure, so long as expanded welfare benefits
and subsidized childcare for two-income professionals in Washington qualify as
“infrastructure,” while his administration micturates from a great height
upon actual infrastructure — e.g., the pipelines, refineries,
and transportation networks that connect our workers and factories and trucks
with the actual fuel our economy runs on, as opposed to the
imaginary unicorn-juice economy that exists in the fantasy world of President
Biden, Senator Bernie Sanders, Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, et al.
Even if you believe, as President Biden says he does,
that the United States must be coerced by federal bayonets to accept a
radically different economic model that forgoes fossil fuels, abandoning the
fossil-fuel infrastructure before that transition has happened — indeed, before
some of the necessary technologies that might one day enable such a transition
even have been developed — is insanely irresponsible. It makes Americans
hostages to a narrowminded and moralistic ideology. If you believe, as I do,
that under any reasonably responsible policy fossil fuels — especially natural
gas — will be part of the mix for the foreseeable future, then preventing
environmentally responsible investment in and development of the necessary
infrastructure is radical misgovernance.
It is difficult to say what, if anything, President Biden
actually believes about this. It may be the case that he himself does not know;
he is a wind-tester, not a thinker. But the so-called environmentalists who
apparently have his ear and who dominate Democratic policy-making circles
believe, in short, that there is no such thing as environmentally responsible
development of traditional energy infrastructure — which is why they fight
every pipeline, every refinery, every effort to move fuel via rail, every
depot, every shipment terminal, etc. Think of this as the Elizabeth Holmes
model of activism and the Theranos model of alternative energy: The underlying
product not only isn’t yet viable, it does not actually exist — but the Green
New Deal types believe that if they can just have their way and get what they
want on a day-to-day basis right now, then at some point in the future when the
finances are sorted out they can magic into existence the goods and services
that will justify their earlier demands and promises.
“Hey, Dummy — pay
attention.”
We know that this is going to be a problem — because it
was a problem just a few years ago, when the pipeline in question was shut down
because of flooding associated with Hurricane Harvey. Gasoline prices spiked,
and, in some cities — including cities in Texas, the heart of energy country —
the pumps at gas stations were shut off for lack of fuel. When the fuel stops
moving, then people and goods stop moving in short order. A relatively brief
interruption in one pipeline can have severely disruptive effects. To my mind,
that means: lay more pipe.
And there are other pipelines that serve some of the
areas that depend on Colonial — but not with sufficient capacity to replace
what has been taken offline. And so we face the age-old question of pricing
risk: Would we rather have more capacity than we usually need
and bear the expense that goes along with that, or would we
rather have less capacity than we sometimes need
and bear the risk that goes along with that?
When an unusual but by no means unprecedented storm
caused Texas’s electricity network to collapse in February — that was less than
90 days ago but has, of course, vanished almost entirely as a matter of public
interest — the distinct impression I got was that many of my fellow Texans
experienced that interruption as a severe hardship. It killed 111 of them. A widespread
disruption in the fuel supply would have effects of similar magnitude and
character — in fact, given that we rely on natural-gas pipelines to feed many
of our electricity plants, an interruption in the fuel supply could have, in
some cases, precisely the same effect.
“Hey, Dummy — pay
attention.”
When it comes to energy, more is more. That doesn’t mean
that we abandon air quality or clean-water regulation or drill for oil in the
middle of Central Park — it means that abundance is the end goal, and that
responsible environmental management is a requirement that conditions that
goal. Unless you are in thrall to anti-capitalist (and, ultimately, anti-human)
ideology, this is a manageable problem — complex and requiring a great deal of
specialist knowledge and political negotiation, but manageable. As we have seen
in the case of fracking — opposition to which is pure Kulturkampf with
almost nothing to do with genuine environmental concerns — Americans are, in
spite of ourselves, capable of creating a situation in which industry,
regulators, and communities work together in a reasonable productive and
beneficial way. There are more and less environmentally and socially
responsible ways to develop a more robust energy infrastructure with sufficient
redundancy — i.e., a situation in which a cyberattack on a single pipeline
won’t leave a big chunk of the population suddenly vulnerable.
The temporary shutdown of Colonial probably will not be a
catastrophe. And COVID-19 could have been 20 times more lethal than it is. But
we will only get so many dry runs in the form of relatively manageable
challenges. Either we will have the resources — physical, financial, and social
— to meet future challenges, or we won’t. Either we will have excess capacity
or we won’t. Either we will have fortified our infrastructure or we won’t. If
we want to make our energy infrastructure less vulnerable to disruption, then
we know how to do it.
And if we want to make our public finances less
vulnerable to disruption . . .
“Hey, dummies — pay
attention.”
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