By Ahmet S. Yayla
Wednesday, April 19, 2017
‘We call on the authorities to launch a transparent
investigation into these alleged irregularities,” said European Commission
spokesman Margaritis Schinas after Turkey’s Sunday referendum to approve an “executive-style
presidency” for Recep Tayyip Erdogan. He got more: extraordinary judicial
powers and lifetime immunity. The polls resulted in 51.4 percent “Yes” against
48.6 percent “No” to approve the constitutional-amendment package, amid
allegations of fraud and ballot-stuffing.
The referendum took place in a chaotic and oppressive
political atmosphere far away from freedom of speech and free media. Invoking
the notorious “state of emergency” rule, Erdogan had already started to crush
his opponents and the free media after the December 2013 police operations
targeting his son and his close circle for corruption and money laundering. His
full-court press accelerated after the July 2016 coup attempt. Since then, 231
journalists have been put in prison, and many media outlets have been shut
down, confiscated by the state, or forced to write or broadcast favorably. As a
result, Erdogan now controls 95 percent of the media and keeps going after any
journalists brave enough to criticize him.
And not only the media, but anyone who was deemed
opposition, paid a hefty price. In present-day Turkey, particularly after the
coup attempt, more than 150,000 government officers, including doctors,
teachers, academics, judges, police and military officers, were fired from their
jobs. Some 50,000 state employees were imprisoned, and 113,000 others were
detained from a week to a month without any charges.
Thousands of private businesses have been shut down, and
personal bank accounts confiscated. All these extreme measures under the “state
of emergency” rule made sure that the opposition did not have a credible voice
for the referendum. Voters were not aware of what they were voting for, apart
from the “executive-style presidency being granted to Erdogan.” For example,
many were not aware the Yes vote also meant extraordinary judicial powers and
lifetime immunity for Erdogan. Seeing all these on site, Human Rights Watch
Turkey director Emma Sinclair-Webb addressed the situation in a press release
on Monday, stating that “the campaign took place in a climate of unprecedented
political repression.”
The ruling party and Erdogan’s supporters also made sure
the opposition could not carry out political campaigns for their causes. Many
opposition rallies were canceled by the state, and many demonstrators were
beaten. The media coverage of the No vote was less than 5 percent compared to
the Yes vote. Additionally, the second major political opposition party (HDP)
saw almost all its parliament members and local mayors arrested before the
referendum. Not only were the HDP members restrained from campaigning, but they
could not monitor the elections and voting irregularities, particularly in the
south and east of Turkey, where there was an inexplicable surge of Kurdish Yes
vote. Hence, the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE)
declared the results questionable, claiming that it was not a free and fair
election and the referendum took place on an unlevel playing field. According
to the OSCE press release, “the referendum did not live up to Council of Europe
standards.”
Myriad voting-fraud allegations have surfaced, often with
cell-phone video recordings published in different social media mediums. The
most serious allegation was that the Supreme Election Board (YSK) had accepted
1.5 million illegal “unstamped ballots” in contravention of the election law, a
move clearly changed the outcome as almost all the unstamped ballots were
reported to be Yes-stamped. The OSCE challenged this ruling, stating that “the
[Turkish] Electoral Board issued late changes to rules which undermined
safeguards, went against laws.” The YSK director, Sadi Guven, a judge, who
oversees the elections with ultimate authority over the referendum, stated that
he had to take this decision because of the immense pressure coming from AKP
members. The main opposition party leader, Mr. Kilicdaroglu, officially
declared that the CHP does not recognize the referendum results.
Moreover, the HDP claimed in a press statement that there
was at least 4 percent manipulation in the outcome, citing irregularities in
the south and east of Turkey, where many Kurdish Turks live. In fact, there was
an unforeseen surge in the Yes vote coming from that region, where almost no
political party representatives other than the AKP could monitor the vote
casting and the ballot count due to the political oppressions cited. The level
of voting fraud was better understood as the results were made public. For
example, the results of the 60 ballot boxes counted in a neighborhood in Sanliurfa,
a southern border city, surprised everybody with 13,067 Yes and 58 No votes.
Later, it was revealed that only one person signed for all those Yes votes, a
smoking gun.
Though Erdogan won the elections, he felt the need to
call world leaders to get immediate validation of the results, which was
unprecedented. Strangely enough, the first congratulations came from Hamas and
some other Salafist terrorist groups.
These results are further polarizing Turkish people, with
the referendum victory in question and half of the country opposing Erdogan. On
the other hand, Erdogan clearly
knows that he cannot rule the country on democratic values unless he represses
the opposition. It is expected that Turkey will continue its anti-Western
rhetoric and continue to distance itself from the democratic values to be able
to sustain this one-man rule.
All observers agree that Erdogan, in order to stay in
power, will continue to radicalize his country. Recently, pro-Erdogan daily Yeni Safak’s editor-in-chief wrote that
after Erdogan gets the referendum, a new era starts; “Turkey should stop
fighting the Islamic State and arm itself with nuclear weapons.”
Some argue that Turkey currently is marching toward a
Sunni version of the Iranian Islamic State, with elements from the Muslim
Brotherhood and Salafism in front of the whole world through a rigged democratic
process.
It is crucial that NATO decision-makers recognize that
Turkey has become a threat to the region’s and the world’s security with these
new constitutional amendments. The West has long been hesitant to counter
Erdogan with his ill-intended policies and intentions. However, even today
might be too late to reverse the course and protect innocent lives both in
Turkey and abroad.
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