By Ben Shapiro
Sunday, April 16, 2017
The president who proclaimed that he was a rock, he was
an island, sure seems to be shifting a lot.
Donald Trump has now flip-flopped on Chinese currency
manipulation (he no longer believes it’s happening); North Korea (he now says
the Chinese don’t have the power to oust Kim Jong Un); Syria (Bashar al-Assad
must now go); chemical-weapons use (Assad is now a “butcher”); the
Export-Import Bank (he suddenly favors it, after a campaign spent opposing it
it); NATO (it’s no longer “obsolete”); and Fed chair Janet Yellin (he once
thought her a nefarious operator; now he thinks she’s great).
White House press secretary Sean Spicer, when asked
recently to explain all these dizzying about-faces, said, “If you look at
what’s happened, it’s those entities or individuals in some cases — or issues —
evolving toward the president’s position.” In other words, reality changed to
reflect Trump, as the planets circle the sun.
Okay, then. But what’s really going on? There are two theories.
The first theory: Reality hit Trump like a freight train.
His campaign rhetoric simply couldn’t stand up to the light of day. It was one
thing to jocularly dismiss human-rights atrocities as none of America’s
business while speaking to crowds in rural Ohio, but the leader of the free
world typically feels the weight of responsibility when pictures of dead
children crop up on the television.
The second theory: Trump has fallen prey to nefarious
actors bent on hijacking his presidency. Those who brought him to the White
House are being systematically sidelined by these clever operators. After
President Trump decided to bomb Syria in response to Assad’s use of chemical
weapons on his own people, many of his most ardent supporters leaned heavily on
this theory. “Trump’s Syrian misadventure is immoral, violates every promise he
ran on and could sink his presidency,” Ann Coulter wrote. She also blamed those
surrounding the president — rather than the president himself — for the
decision: “Left to his own devices, uncontaminated by Washington group-think,
Trump gets it right.”
The most plausible scenario? Both theories are correct.
Trump doesn’t have a fully formed ideology. This was seen
by his supporters as a plus: Because he wasn’t in thrall to any one notion of
the world, their thinking went, he would approach each issue with an open mind,
never bound by ideological rigor. He could be a freewheeling pragmatist.
Unfortunately, even those who lack an ideology have a
worldview, and Trump’s is essentially self-centered: What is good for his
popularity is good for the world. This, it should go without saying, leaves him
subject to co-option by those with a more ideological bent. When reality hits
him in the face, he reacts spontaneously — and in doing so, he aligns with
movements that have long pre-existed him, and that cheer him along. Spurred by
that applause, he is drawn into the orbit of those ideologues who supply it.
That’s precisely how Trump ended up in the camp of the
nationalist-populists during the election cycle. He articulated a knee-jerk
sentiment about illegal immigration, Steve Bannon and the Breitbart crowd cheered, and so he doubled down on that sentiment.
(He admitted as much himself during the campaign, stating that he simply
invoked the border wall every time crowds began to get bored.) It’s the likely
reason for his the warmth he showed toward Vladimir Putin before the Syria
strike once again soured U.S.–Kremlin relations: Putin had been quite warm
toward him and his allies, and Trump enjoyed the approval.
This is the Trump pattern: react, wait for applause, and
then cater to those clapping.
That’s apparently how he came to his decision about
striking Syria. Just days before the sarin-gas attack, the official
Trump-administration position was that Assad did not need to go. Then,
according to Eric Trump, his sister Ivanka influenced their father into action:
“Ivanka is a mother of three kids and she has influence. I’m sure she said:
‘Listen, this is horrible stuff.’ My father will act in times like that.” The
resulting decision received widespread applause, which obviously thrilled
Trump, as his description of President Xi Xinping’s reaction to the news made
clear:
“I was sitting at the table. We had
finished dinner. We are now having dessert. And we had the most beautiful piece
of chocolate cake that you have ever seen. And President Xi was enjoying it,”
Trump said.
“And I was given the message from
the generals that the ships are locked and loaded. What do you do? And we made
a determination to do it. So the missiles were on the way.”
“And I said: ‘Mr President, let me
explain something to you . . . we’ve just launched 59 missiles, heading to Iraq
[sic] . . . heading toward Syria and
I want you to know that.’”
“I didn’t want him to go home . . .
and then they say: ‘You know the guy you just had dinner with just attacked
[Syria].’”
Asked how the leader of China,
which alongside Russia has repeatedly blocked UN resolutions targeting the
Syrian dictator Bashar al-Assad, had reacted, Trump said: “He paused for 10
seconds and then he asked the interpreter to please say it again — I didn’t
think that was a good sign.”
“And he said to me, anybody that
uses gases — you could almost say, or anything else — but anybody that was so
brutal and uses gases to do that to young children and babies, it’s OK. He was
OK with it. He was OK.”
To recap: Trump was awakened to reality by Ivanka, he was
reassured by those who cheered the resulting decision, and he sees himself as
more powerful and successful because that applause crossed international lines.
What does that mean? It means that it would be deeply naïve
to suspect that Trump has turned permanently to the right. He has instead
turned to Jared Kushner and Ivanka Trump, both of whom have strong opinions
about politics, and both of whom have generally lived their political lives on
the mainstream left. Trump spent the campaign telling crowds of big-government
nationalist-populists what they wanted to hear; now, his only feedback loop
consists of his family and the media. His nationalist-populist base is outraged
that he has supposedly abandoned his principles, when in reality he’s only
reacted to events, and, in doing so, abandoned their principles.
Practically speaking, this means that Bannon is out while
Jared and Ivanka are in. It means that nationalist populism is out while
human-rights policing is in. It means that Trump will rush from issue to issue,
reacting without a plan, and then looking for those who cheer him to provide an
ideological framework that fills in the gaps. It means that anything can
happen, from single-payer health care to a preemptive strike on North Korea.
Pragmatism is merely code for “doing whatever I want.”
And what Trump wants may not be what his supporters thought they were getting.
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