By Jeffrey Blehar
Tuesday,
October 15, 2024
The
vibes are petering out for Harris at
the worst possible time for her campaign: right before it ends. The first and
most obvious predicate to this observation is that, in a campaign that has been
fought to a draw nearly all season (except for that brief swooning moment when
the bottom began to truly fall out for Joe Biden), all of us in the media
commentariat — nay, not even Nate Silver himself is exempt, truly none of us
are free of sin — have been playing something of a “vibes” game over this
coin-flip race.
For
in 2024, bewilderingly few of the old predictable inflection points — debates,
press conferences, major media interviews — have existed as guideposts to help
us reckon with the course of the race. We have nothing but the polls (polls
nobody quite trusts, regardless of what we publicly aver, recalling the misses
of 2016 and 2020) to measure against an unprecedented series of political
“black swan” events: A legendary debate disaster reveals a conspiratorially
hidden condition; a candidate, after having all but secured the official
nomination, is forced out in an internal coup to be replaced by his
ill-equipped and cipherous understudy; the Republican ex-president opponent is
nearly assassinated, more than once. What does it all add up to? Only
fools are certain. (“Smart” people like me flatter themselves for eschewing
certainty and instead embrace uninformed hunches.)
But,
for now, the most recent polls have turned against Harris — she is in fact
becoming less popular over time — and thus the mood among Harris partisans has
gotten grim. This plane doesn’t feel like it’s going to land without
disintegrating on contact with the ground. And so emergency glass is being
smashed and panic buttons stabbed across the Democratic coalition: Bill Clinton
returns from the dead to rally voters in the Sunbelt, Barack Obama trots out
and lectures black men in a huff in
Pittsburgh, and Kamala Harris reads from a teleprompter to challenge Donald
Trump’s physical fitness — all of them desperately searching for the
disappearing working-class male Democratic voter.
Men
Are from Mars, Women Are from Venus, ‘Men for Kamala’ Are from Some Alternate
Dimension
Hollywood
has been doing its part, too, although I suspect that the Harris campaign and
the rest of the media wish they would have left well enough alone. By this
point I hope you have all seen the series of third-party pro-Harris
advertisements scripted and shot by one of Jimmy Kimmel’s former head staffers.
You know the ones I’m talking about, right? In which men boldly
explain to the camera how they’re (1) really, totally, I promise 100 percent
heterosexual flank-cut slabs of authentic unpretentious dudeliness, which means
they’re (2) man enough to support Kamala Harris and Tim Walz in 2024, and What’s
your problem, undecided male voter?
It’s
a failure so spectacular and unwittingly revealing as to defy adequate
description, which of course means that I am now going to attempt to describe
it for you. “I’m a man,” says one actor, who might have made you genuinely
wonder, as the shot intercuts several very non-rural, non-conservative-looking
guys repeating the phrase. “I’m man enough to enjoy a barrel-proof bourbon,”
says one. (“Neat,” adds another dude, because apparently only effete
Republicans put ice in their drinks.) “I’m man enough to cook my steak rare,”
proudly adds another, cognizant of the dangers real men undertake when dining
at upscale restaurants. A faux weightlifter fixes us with a steely gaze and
says he’s “man enough to deadlift 500 and braid the sh** out
of my daughter’s hair.” (My suggestion: Aim more realistically for maxing out
at 100 lbs first before you get to “braiding the sh**” out of anything, kiddo.
Start with your sneakers.)
A
large man lisps, “You think I’m afraid to rebuild a carburetor? I eat
carburetors for breakfast.” (Carburetors have not been standard in engines for
nearly 30 years, since they were replaced with fuel-injection systems in the
early 1990s, and if he truly eats them for breakfast, then this explains his
present frame.) “I ain’t afraid of bears,” says another, reminding us
inevitably of the mistake women made en masse on social media last
year. And then this hectoring chorale of self-described men gets to the point:
“I’ll tell ya another thing I’m sure as sh** not afraid of: women.” Yup, real
men may not eat quiche, but they do vote
Kamala, and these guys are the living proof of it — why, just look at how
dudely all of them are.
It’s
such a marvelous misfire that, at first, I was convinced it was a dark “op” by
the smartest and most savagely effective pro-Trump memetic forces on the
internet. I mean, how much clearer could the joke have been? The Harris
campaign is bleeding male voters of all races and classes outside of educated
middle-class and elite suburbia, and here comes a brilliant 30 Rock–style
ad to twist the knife, like Steve Buscemi trotting on camera and jocularly
announcing, “How do you do, fellow male bumpkins? Why aren’t you voting
for Kamala Harris like the rest of the country rubes in the ad?”
But
no — and, my God, I cannot believe this is true — they meant it
sincerely. As my colleagues have already
gleefully noted, I underwent a horrible epiphany about it live on Twitter
on Friday afternoon, starting from “Clearly this is a right-wing op meant to
savage Kamala” to hedging my bets with “God help them if it wasn’t,” and it
finally dawned on me that My God, they meant it for real. I was left
pondering the same question anyone else would when watching Jimmy Kimmel’s
former head writer and a bunch of out-of-work Los Angeles actors simulate
masculinity: Are there any remaining normal heterosexual males making branding
decisions in the Democratic coalition? Are these writers and actors only
working for themselves, pathetically imagining their own idealized “normal male
Kamala supporter,” because they’re having such trouble finding any normal ones
in daily life?
Tim
Walz, Relatably Normal Gun-Owning American Male
The
same people behind the “Men for Kamala” ad also came up with one for
vice-presidential nominee Tim Walz, and I will inflict upon you only the link for this one, since Walz was out there this weekend making
cringeworthy images for himself without help from his Hollywood friends.
Yes,
Walz went pheasant hunting with shotgun in hand,
and, like almost everything else that he has attempted during this campaign
season, it didn’t go so well. If you’ve lived long enough you’ve seen
variations on this old political ritual before, in which a politician throws on
garish camo and a vest and “hunts” for the benefit of the cameras to prove to
“the folks” what an everyday regular Joe he is. I recall similarly unconvincing
attempts by John Kerry and Mitt Romney back in the day. (Barack Obama had the
good sense to not even bother with a stunt that he considered to be beneath
him; John McCain had nothing to prove about masculinity to anybody, ever.) But
I figured that Tim Walz, a former congressman from rural Minnesota, would still
know how to handle himself. Apparently not!
Now
I’ll be the first to admit that I’m the opposite of a “gun guy,” and it is for
that reason that I recognize what it looks like when a guy unfamiliar with them
encounters one. It’s not that I’m anti–Second Amendment, I am merely so completely
unfamiliar with firearms that I can honestly say I’ve never even seen one
outside of a cop’s holster — or the hands of a distantly glimpsed thug crossing
a busy street — much less held or fired one. (Needless to say, I have been the
subject of savage mockery internally at NR for this, but these are the wages of
growing up in suburban Maryland, going to school in Baltimore, and moving to
Chicago — and of having been mugged to date exclusively at knifepoint.)
So,
far be it from me to ignorantly suggest to Tim Walz that “maybe you shouldn’t load a shotgun with the
shoulder stock angled in a way that could accidentally backfire directly into
your unprotected crotch.” Instead, I decided to turn to my friend and colleague
Luther Ray Abel, whom we’re really lucky to have because he happens to sit
squarely in the middle of the Harris-Walz ticket’s target demographic: Luther
is an impressively bearded Navy veteran, recreational shooter and occasional
outdoorsman, and most of all a genuine northern Wisconsinite. Why,
when you think about it, demographically, he’s Kamala Harris’s ideal swing
voter!
Alas,
Luther’s notes suggest that he was unimpressed: Like me, he was alarmed at how
Walz dangerously reloaded his shotgun against his legs (rather than securing it
against his armpit) and proceeded to wave it around like an elephant’s trunk.
Luther was even less impressed with Walz’s brandishing one of the simplest long
guns in America as his own personal “pheasant-hunting” Beretta A400 and then
visibly failing to properly load or handle it. (“It’s a $2,000+ shotgun made
for people playing on Easy Mode,” says Luther.) Walz may have once known how to
handle himself on a hunting trip. If so, it’s pretty obvious that his skills
have gotten rusty since he went to Saint Paul and became governor. Luther’s
final thought: “How did nobody distress this man’s hunting clothing before he
went out there? The stuff looked like it was fresh from Fleet Farm.”
I
do not know how many pheasants Tim Walz managed to bag on his hunting trip. I
do know he bagged not a single swing vote in any state where it will end up
mattering. And, on that note, I look forward to seeing you again next week, as
we continue to search for the electorate that will show up next month.
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