By Kevin D. Williamson
Friday,
October 18, 2024
I
have before observed that the great tragedy of the 2016 electoral contest
between Donald Trump and Hillary Rodham Clinton wasn’t so much what the race
was as what it wasn’t: a campaign for mayor of New York City.
Mayor
of New York is a big job in politics, or at least it used to be (one can
imagine Rudy Giuliani as Norma Desmond: “I am big—it’s the politics that got
small!”), and it is a job for which either Trump or Clinton would have been
reasonably well-suited. Trump’s only real nearly unqualified success in public
life was (or had
been) a local project in Manhattan (he led a renovation of the Central Park
ice-skating rink) and Clinton, who has always and at every turn been
overestimated in her public life, probably should not have begun her career in
elected office serving as a senator from a state in which she had never lived,
a job she took very lightly as she sat around waiting to be made
president.
Trump’s
lack of fitness for the presidency has—this is a kind of historical oddity—been
made even more clear by his having served one catastrophic term in that office,
during which his laziness, his incompetence, and his penchant for caudillismo
were laid quite bare for public inspection. Kamala Harris is a bit like Clinton
in that she was elected to the Senate from a state so entirely dominated by her
party as to make the general election a practical formality (California’s
Democratic primaries are another story, of course) and then became the
Democratic nominee after having been carried to the threshold of the White
House by an old-fashioned white-guy moderate Democrat and pushed to the
forefront by very little other than a sense of inevitability, by a vague
feeling among Democrats that it was “her turn.” As with Clinton’s tenures in
the Senate and the State Department, Harris’ career in the Senate and in the
vice presidency contains no evidence of an obvious future president, or even
evidence of a future nominee.
If
Trump is a Mr. Hyde who has deleted Dr. Jekyll’s number from his phone, then
Harris is Lord Jim, a figure who was supposed to have been heroic but
fell just short of the mark (“He was an inch, perhaps two, under six feet,” is
the first thing Joseph Conrad tells us about the ingratiating clerk), an
essentially passive character who “had the gift of finding a special meaning in
everything that happened to him.” And so 2024 is a genuine clown show:
Pennywise vs. Cooky, the monstrous predator vs. the frustrated aspirant who
seems doomed to remain forever Vice Bozo.
Part
of the clown show is pretending to take them seriously when they talk about
ideas and policy proposals. Trump is pure shill, which is his natural state: Casino
waiters and waitresses? No income tax! Oldsters on Social Security? No income
tax! People with car loans they can’t afford? Less income tax! Harris, who
seems to have graduated from the politicians’ version of an improv seminar, has
mostly been “Yes, and”-ing Trump: No taxes on tips, and … joy!
Or
something.
Sometimes,
it is worth taking the time to meditate on the obvious. Personnel is policy,
the cliché insists, but that isn’t all: Personnel is power. And that’s
really what’s going on here. Trump’s view of political power is simply a
generalized application of that famous proverb from his old friend Roy Cohn:
“Don’t tell me what the law is—tell me who the judge is.” Harris’ view is a
very slight variation of the same thing. All of Washington’s legislative
directors and policy wonks and think-tank nerds are like the kids who work
painstakingly to perfect the bylaws of the student council, while Trump and
Harris are contented simply to get themselves elected and then ignore those
bylaws—and the Constitution, and everything else. I suppose that qualifies as a
kind of crude realpolitik.
The
sobering fact is that Americans are going to elect one of these two people
president—without having any real idea of what either would actually do in
office. Their deficiencies do not seem to me parallel or of equal weight, but,
though I do not share the view, there are people I respect who are so
absolutely terrified of Harris that they will pull the lever for Trump even
though they comprehend exactly what he is. We can probably take Trump at his
word about the core of his agenda—“retribution”—but no one really knows what
that would look like. Harris’ affect is more conventional, more bureaucratic,
and more blasé, which is to say she is more like one of the middle managers in 1984
than she is like Big Brother. The history of the totalitarian projects of
the 20th century should leave us other than heedless about the evil
that middle-management types can do.
All
that being stipulated, we must appreciate that the personification of Justice
holds a scale in her hands on the assumption that what will be discovered in
them is not equality but difference.
In
2016, I published a short (and entirely inconsequential) pamphlet titled The
Case Against Trump. A few days after Roger Kimball commissioned it from me,
he called me up with a mind to canceling the project, in the belief that,
surely, Trump would not be on the political scene long enough for me to
complete the work and get it into print. Well. I could have written a new Case
Against Trump book 20 times as long for this year, with 200 pages of
footnotes at the end. (I do not think that my friend Roger would have been
inclined to publish it.) But the case against Trump is a case for
Harris only under the narrowest kind of political understanding—all that
shallow, silly stuff about that convenient phantasm, the “binary choice.” And a
case against Trump is something more than a case against Trump, too: It is a
case against the Republican Party in its current character, and it is an
indictment of the conservative movement’s decades-long, self-serving, and, at
times, calculatingly amoral embrace of atavistic populism, a sneering and
destructive mode of rightist activity facilely resorted to even by such refined
persons as William F. Buckley Jr. (I have no doubt that if he had been
presented with the reality of two adjacent republics, one governed by
the faculty of Harvard and the other governed by the first 2,000 names to
appear in the Boston telephone directory, that Buckley would have chosen to
reside in the former as its chief critic rather than in the latter as its chief
celebrant.) There are many of us conservatives who would like to say with the
Polish sage, “Nie mój cyrk, nie moje małpy”—”Not my circus, not my
monkeys”—but that isn’t quite right.
In
2016, it was reasonably defensible to argue: “Yes, Trump is a poisonous
buffoon, but I prefer him to the alternative.” By 2020, that line was a good
deal less defensible—but it was hard to say so if you were a public figure who
had supported Trump in 2016 and did not wish to admit how stupid and selfish
you had been. In 2024, Republicans have taken to trying to defend that same
familiar line—lamely—by pretending that Kamala Harris is something other than
what she is, i.e., that she is a Marxist militant (goodness gracious, they’re
even calling daft old Joe Biden a Marxist, as though he had read a book), that
she is someone plotting to install an authoritarian regime, etc. What she is in
reality is bad enough for most purposes—but not for every
purpose. Donald Trump is an ailing, dim, mentally unstable moral grotesque who
attempted to stage a coup d’état the last time he lost an election. If
your case for Trump is “Yes, but,” then you are going to have to tell me
something about Kamala Harris that I do not already know. Maybe there is a
persuasive case to be made. But I haven’t heard it.
Eighteen
days to go.
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