By Noah Rothman
Tuesday,
October 22, 2024
You get
the sense that Democratic partisans are almost embarrassed by the Harris
campaign’s explicit overtures to disaffected Republicans and GOP-leaning
independents. It’s fine, explain Kamala Harris’s allies in media and, indeed,
the campaign itself to irascible left-wing partisans, who resent the tacit
admission that their side lacks the raw numbers to secure victory in November.
Harris isn’t ceding her progressive bona fides. Rather, the campaign is just
giving Republicans the “permission” they need to vote Democratic.
In
surrounding herself with erstwhile GOP lawmakers like Liz Cheney, the Harris
campaign has “sought to build a permission structure for Republicans to vote
for a Democrat as the Harris campaign focuses heavily on appeals to
conservative women in the suburbs,” the New York Times reported. CNN agreed. As a “hardline
conservative” nonetheless endorsing Harris, Cheney “created a permission
structure of personal empowerment for suburban Republican and independent women
to snub Donald Trump,” reporter Stephen Collinson posited. Channeling the sentiments of the
Democratic base, The Daily Show host Jon Stewart rued the lamentable
state in which the Left finds itself. “Do we have to do that?” he asked of the
Harris campaign’s embrace of one of the Democratic Party’s onetime tormentors.
“I think Liz Cheney and Dick Cheney give permission to those folks who want to
find a reason to do the right thing,” Minnesota governor Tim
Walz replied.
Democrats
feel dirty, and they assume the Republicans to whom they’re appealing are
similarly revulsed by all this sordid fraternization. As Collinson noted, an
explicit feature of this messaging campaign involves telling women who are
contemplating a vote for the Democrat that “they don’t need to tell anyone
about it.” That language is popping up all over; there are admonishments to remind
women it’s a secret ballot and no one needs to know precisely how they voted. Cheney
herself echoed the admonition. “If you’re at all concerned, you can vote your
conscience and not ever have to say a word to anybody,” she
told a room full of Harris voters to a discordant round of applause.
The
Harris campaign itself appears willing to acknowledge that, for some, casting a
ballot for its candidate violates a taboo. Hardly a display of confidence.
We
must assume that the Harris campaign believes committing the time and resources
to GOP outreach will bear fruit. But the voters it is targeting do not need and
are not soliciting anyone’s “permission.” No one has to hold their hand and
gently guide them to the conclusion preferred by the Harris campaign. They need
a reason to vote for Harris, and she hasn’t given them many.
As
the vice president’s unsatisfying performance in a recent interview with Fox News Channel host Bret Baier illustrated,
Harris will not make any policy concessions to voters with conservative
political instincts. Beyond demonstrating — really, implying — that the
arch-progressive persona she crafted for herself in 2019 was a fabrication, the
Democratic presidential candidate will cede no ground to the Right. As the
reaction to her GOP outreach tour among Democrats suggests, Harris’s left flank
will not let her get away with that kind of creative campaigning. This dynamic
leaves Harris with few avenues to persuade her skeptics. So, instead of giving
the Republican women “permission” to vote for Harris, the candidate and her
supporters are resorting to moral blackmail.
“If
you wouldn’t hire somebody to babysit your kids, you shouldn’t make that guy
the president of the United States,” Cheney
said in closing one of her town-hall-style appearances alongside Harris. You
wouldn’t want to be thought of as a neglectful parent, would you? “He
lost the election, he tried to overturn it and seize power, and then he sat in
his dining room and he watched the attack on television,” Cheney said of the “depravity” inherent in Trump’s conduct
on January 6. “As a mother, I want my children to know that there is someone
sitting in the Oval Office who they can look up to.” You don’t want to have
to stare into your reflection in the mirror and rationalize a vote that
ratifies that sort of behavior, do you? “If you stand for country,
democracy, and the rule of law,” Harris’s
campaign wrote of its own outreach efforts, “our campaign has a place for
you.” Who doesn’t “stand” for those values? You certainly do . . . right?
For
GOP voters who find the former president’s shtick uninspiring and his imperious
demeanor frightening, these are compelling messages. But they are abstract
arguments that are unlikely to overcome more tangible considerations. They do
little to assuage voters who have seen their purchasing power erode over the
course of the Biden administration. They do not satisfy those who have watched
with dismay as armed conflicts proliferate abroad. Harris can
talk up the irresponsibility of Donald Trump’s plan to hasten Social
Security’s trajectory toward insolvency all she wants, but she will do nothing
to alter the doomed course on which America’s entitlement programs are chugging
along.
Conservative
voters are conservative not just because they revere the constitutional order.
They also prefer a suite of policy proposals that they believe will
meaningfully contribute to their quality of life. Voters who believe these two
imperatives conflict with each other in this election are more agonized over
their vote than partisans on either side of the aisle care to acknowledge. But
suggesting that those GOP voters who defer to informed self-interest are
heedlessly sacrificing America’s civic heritage won’t make them more receptive
to Democratic arguments.
To
believe that there is some untapped well of Harris support among center-right
voters is to exhibit faith in the unseen. The Democratic campaign functionally
admitted as much. As CNN reported following a conversation with Harris campaign
adviser David Plouffe, the campaign will not “rely” on disaffected Republicans
to deliver victory, but they “could help deliver a bigger win than public or
internal campaign polls are showing so far.” Maybe the Harris/Cheney theory of
the race is correct, and these Americans aren’t admitting to anyone — not to
their friends and family, not to pollsters, not even to themselves — their
voting intention. But it doesn’t seem like it. And the drawn faces on Harris’s Republican
allies on that stage betray the futility of the exercise.
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