By Matthew Continetti
Saturday, May 23, 2020
A few hours after this column appears on the Internet,
more than 30 liberal activists will meet online to plan your future. The
gathering is called the “Friday Morning Group.” It comprises, according to the New
York Times, “influential figures at labor unions, think tanks and other
progressive institutions.” These influential figures, the Times goes on,
believe that when Democrats last had full control of the federal government,
between 2009 and 2010, they did not “take the initiative in specifying plans
for achieving large-scale change.” They hope to correct this mistake. What
happens on November 3 might give them the chance.
Buoyed by polls that show Joe Biden consistently leading
President Trump, and jarred by the economic and social toll of the coronavirus,
Democrats have become more ambitious. A “return to normalcy” no longer suits
them. What is normal, anyway? It sounds privileged. Better to be bold. The
digital headline of the article where I learned of the Friday Morning Group
was, “Seeking: Big Democratic Ideas That Make Everything Better.” (It will be
awhile before Ahab finds that White Whale.) The title of a recent New York
magazine profile says “Biden Is Planning an FDR-Size Presidency.” Nancy Pelosi
gave a hint of what might be in store with the $3 trillion spending bill she
pushed through the House on May 15. Its cost and scope were too much for 14
House Democrats. They joined every Republican but one in voting against it.
Most of the defectors hail from swing districts that
backed Trump in 2016 but sent Democrats to Congress two years later. It is no
stretch of the imagination to read their votes as a warning to House
leadership: The ambivalence that characterized much of the country’s attitude
toward impeachment also applies to coronavirus-relief measures that are more
about setting party priorities than resolving the crisis. Neither Pelosi nor
Biden, however, has given any indication that the message was received.
Pelosi’s cluelessness I can understand. She abandoned the
center long ago. More puzzling is Biden’s sudden-onset FDR syndrome. The
presumptive nominee seems to be forgetting the lessons of his primary victory.
Biden won the nomination by assembling a coalition that looked a lot like the
voters who empowered the House Democratic majority: suburban women, moderates,
African Americans. He did so by emphasizing his experience and steadfastness
and by framing the election as a referendum on President Trump’s behavior in
office.
But he has spent the last several weeks moving toward the
same woke progressives who collapsed after Bernie Sanders’s sweep of New
Hampshire and Nevada. Biden now promises “not just to rebuild the economy, but
to transform it.” He says he is compelled to “rewrite the social contract.”
This is the same man who doesn’t know if his computer is on.
Biden speaks often with Elizabeth Warren from his
basement shelter. Last week he invited Bernie Sanders to appoint co-chairs,
including Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, to six “unity task forces” that will
recommend policies for a Biden administration. Recently he went out of his way
to reiterate support for college sexual-assault policies under which he would
be found guilty of harassing Tara Reade, and to pledge that he would revoke the
permit that Donald Trump granted to the Keystone XL pipeline. He is, says the Times,
“eager for new ideas.”
It does not bother progressives that these “new ideas”
are quite old. They consist of more regulation, more taxation, more spending,
and more giveaways to powerful interest groups, public-sector unions in
particular, in pursuit of a chimerical standard of equality. Been there, done
that. Still, one does expect the Democratic nominee to advance the progressive
agenda that he deems most viable. And it is (grudgingly) to the progressives’
credit that they are thinking of policy at all. Some of us would like to hear
Republican plans for the next four years. Own the libs, of course. But how
exactly?
Perhaps the chest-thumping should not be taken too
seriously. Perhaps it is part of a strategy to guarantee unity ahead of the
Democratic National Convention, and to motivate left-wing voters who are not
thrilled about Biden’s candidacy. The Democrats do not want to repeat the scenes
outside of the Wells Fargo Center four years ago. They do not want young people
to be tempted by the siren song of Jill Stein. Coalition management is part of
the job — a part that the incumbent has done well.
The test will be Biden’s vice-presidential selection. He
can go one of two ways. A candidate from the Midwest or South will signal that
Biden is more interested in the middle of the country than the middle of the
Democratic Party. One from Massachusetts or California or the media will
suggest that not only is Biden worried about his left flank, he also intends to
make good his promise of national transformation. In such a scenario Pelosi and
Schumer would take the lead on domestic policy while Biden concentrates on
foreign affairs. He would be there to cut the ribbon at the opening of a solar
farm, but otherwise mark time until he announces he will not run for a second
term.
This is a pleasant vision if you are a Democrat. It is
also an elusive one. The public wants the government to help quell the virus
and restore some version of regular economic life. It has given no indication
that it endorses Elizabeth Warren’s agenda. The activists detailing grand plans
to national newspapers and magazines forget what happened a decade ago. It
wasn’t a failure of “initiative” that stopped them. It was voters.
Americans elected Barack Obama to handle the financial
crisis, end the Iraq war, and express their sense of national unity. They
started to rebel when he announced his goal of setting the country on a “New
Foundation.” By the end of his presidency, the Democrats had been routed.
It is the same old cycle. Every majority mistakes its
electoral mandate for an ideological one. Every majority overreaches. Every
majority is rebuked at the polls. If they win — and if we take them at their
word — Joe Biden and the Democrats are setting themselves up for one heck of a
fall.
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