By Kevin D. Williamson
Tuesday, March 10, 2020
Capital just wants to be loved — to be in a steady,
supportive relationship with a reliable partner.
Justin Trudeau is not that partner. Not as far as Teck
Resources is concerned, anyway. In late February, the company walked away from
a multibillion-dollar deal to develop an energy project in the fruitful
Canadian oil sands. The problem, as the Wall Street Journal reports, was
“political
uncertainty about oil-and-gas development in the resource-rich country.”
Canada’s oil and gas is mostly in its west, but the
political power is in the east, and the two do not see eye-to-eye. “The project
has landed squarely at the nexus of a much broader national discussion on
energy development, Indigenous reconciliation and, of course, climate change,”
the CEO said in an announcement to investors. “We are stepping back to allow
Canada to have this important discussion without a looming regulatory deadline
for just one project.” That’s the nice Canadian way of saying, “Maybe we’ll be
back when you clowns get your act together.” The company worried with good
reason that any favorable decision about its project might prove short-lived,
with Justin Trudeau’s center-left government too easily bullied into
submission.
If you do not have some confidence in the regulatory
environment, the tax environment, or the legal environment, it is difficult to
make intelligent long-term investments.
Uncertainty is expensive.
The big uncertainty news on Wall Street is that stocks
have hemorrhaged (as of the closing bell Monday) almost 20 percent of their
value since February. The problem is the coronavirus — when Shanghai gets a
cold, Wall Street sneezes. And when Wall Street sneezes, Washington gets
nervous. My National Review colleague Michael Brendan Dougherty writes:
Some of Trump’s self-appointed
surrogates in the media, such as Rush Limbaugh, declared fears of coronavirus
were “being weaponized” by the media to scare Wall Street and hurt Trump’s
re-election. The word “hoax” keeps popping up across social media among his
defenders. Trump seemed to take a Wall Street First approach to the potential
pandemic, sending White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow out onto television
and instructing people to buy the dip.
As I write this, Sean Hannity is on the radio, sounding
like a man on a pogo stick and engaging in some serious hand-waving over
President Donald Trump’s performance, complaining that the Democrats are acting
as though the president cooked up the virus in a lab with the Kremlin
bio-terror team. That’s the word from the Oval Office: “Not my fault!” The buck
doesn’t stop here anymore.
Captain Chaos has been on Twitter, sneering and snorting
and hectoring, and firing his chief of staff for the third time, and,
inexplicably, sharing a meme depicting himself as Nero fiddling while Rome
burns. “Who knows what this means, but it sounds good to me!” he wrote.
Lots of people know, Mr. President — just not you.
When Trump ran for president in 2016, there was a great
deal of bold talk about building a wall, getting control of the borders, and
deporting — remember this? — every single illegal immigrant residing in these
United States. (We would, the candidate promised, reimport the “terrific”
ones.) None of that happened, of course, and the president did not even bother
to organize the introduction of a bill, or even to suggest the rough outline of
one, implementing his immigration priorities during the time when his party
controlled both houses of Congress and might have enacted practically anything
it wanted to. (What Republicans wanted to enact and did enact is what they
always want to enact: an irresponsible tax cut.) Trump as a candidate presented
this as a matter of economics (illegals stealing our jobs!) and crime
(“rapists!”) and related concerns. He did not talk much about achieving
meaningful border security as a matter of public health. As it turns out, that
may be the most important aspect of the issue.
Sometimes, a disruptor-in-chief is the thing you want.
Sometimes, a disruptor-in-chief is the last thing you want.
What will the U.S. government under the leadership of
Donald Trump do in response to the coronavirus as the outbreak grows? Nobody
knows. Donald Trump will be the last to know. Why would anybody bother telling
him? Will the response be effective and competently administered? JFK and LAX
are chaos on an ordinary Monday morning, our borders remain porous in spite of
all the big talk, and our enforcement of compliance with visas is, in effect,
nonexistent. We have cities full of people, many of them children, who haven’t
been inoculated against ordinary diseases because they have fruity ideas about
vaccines — ideas that have been spread by, among others, Donald Trump. And, of
course, we were already running a $1 trillion deficit without a public-health
emergency on our hands — because we refuse to prioritize and to say “No” when
doing so is politically painful.
That is the kind of leadership we have. This is not
uniquely the fault of Donald J. Trump of The Apprentice and Playboy
Video Centerfold, who until this recent turnaround was boasting about the
performance of the stock markets as a referendum on his leadership. But he is
not exactly rising to the present challenge in a persuasive way, either.
And so what we have is uncertainty. That uncertainty has
cost businesses and investors about $3.5 trillion in the past couple of weeks.
No comments:
Post a Comment