National Review Online
Saturday, March 28, 2020
If President Trump is right that the fight against the
coronavirus is the equivalent of a war, we need to focus first and foremost on
defeating the enemy.
That means, as an urgent priority, getting hospitals the
protective gear and ventilators that they need to handle the surge of patients
that is already showing up in New York City, New Orleans, and other hot spots.
If nothing else, it’s a sign of seriousness in meeting this need that President
Trump invoked the Defense Production Act — the Korean War–era law allowing the
government to direct the manufacture and distribution of goods necessary for
the national defense — on Friday to compel General Motors to make ventilators
on an emergency basis.
The action comes after a typically confusing
back-and-forth over GM. If a report in the New York Times was to be
believed, the $1 billion price tag of a potential deal with GM for the
ventilators caused the administration to have second thoughts. Given the
massive economic cost of the current lockdowns and the amount of money Congress
is spending to try to cushion the blow, obviously, $1 billion is a pittance.
The Times also reported that the administration worried about getting
saddled with too many unused ventilators, a concern that accorded with
President Trump’s statement on Fox News a day earlier that he doubts that New
York City will really need 30,000 ventilators.
At the end of this, though, if we have kept hospitals
from getting overwhelmed at the cost of paying top dollar for gear and buying
too much of it, our response will have been a success well worth the price.
In tweets after the publication of the Times
story, Trump said the issue was that GM couldn’t produce enough ventilators
quickly enough, a much more legitimate concern. The Times noted, too,
that officials worried about putting all of our eggs in one basket, rather than
spreading production around to different companies. Meanwhile, traditional
medical-device makers have worried about automakers sucking up component parts.
Sorting through all of this on the fly in the midst of a crisis would tax any
administration, but the emphasis should be on more material rather than less,
and as quickly as possible.
As bad as the escalating numbers of cases and fatalities
have been in the U.S. over the last week, the situation is surely going to
deteriorate further. Besides fortifying the medical system, the massive
scale-up in testing has to continue and every exertion must be made to develop
and deploy therapies as soon as possible. The roll-out of a test by Abbott
Laboratories that can reveal a positive in five minutes is a sign of the role
technological innovation can play in this fight.
The hope that Trump expressed earlier in the week to open
up the economy again by Easter weekend is understandable, but nothing is truly
going to open up — nor should it — unless we have clearly gotten a handle on
the virus and its spread has begun to wane. More important than coming up with
an aspirational date for a return to normalcy is thinking through what our
post-lockdown strategy will look like — how testing, masks, contact tracing, and
other methods will be deployed to allow to a return to economic and social
activity without risking a second wave of infections. Life in a place like New
York City may not look the same for a long time.
President Trump has gotten a bump in the polls recently,
perhaps a rally-around-the-flag effect or a reaction to his briefings, where
new measures are announced every day. We suspect that his mini-bounce would be
even higher if he could at least stop warring with governors and shooting at
his critics during this interlude. Trump should know that how he responds in
this moment will define his presidency and determine his odds of reelection.
We hope and expect that our country will, in its
characteristic fashion, find its way through this crisis by marshaling huge
resources, discovering innovations, and relying on the incredible courage and
initiative of medical personnel, grocery-store clerks, and countless millions
of others who make our civil society so robust. But the worst is yet to come.
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