By Michael Brendan Dougherty
Friday, February 02, 2018
Recently, at one of the off-the-record gatherings of
globalists I sometimes attend, the head of a major policy think tank was
telling the room that the election of Trump was so repulsive to decent
Americans that recent polls showed record American support “for trade.” He told
us that “trade” has never been more popular, and concluded that no one should
be fearful about defending TPP or NAFTA. I wasn’t sure how useful this
information really was. “What good is a poll about trade in itself?” I asked.
He reassured me the American people are for it. I told him he should do a poll
on motherhood. How do Americans feel about moms? Then do another poll: How do
you feel about mothers-in-law? There might be a difference.
This illustrates why I’m unmoved by rhetoric about
“anti-trade” politicians or “anti-trade politics.” How many people would
qualify as “anti-trade,” in history, if the term were applied with anything
like rigor? A handful I admit. Justus Möser, the 17th-century Saxon jurist
whose existence had almost been forgotten until Professor Jerry Mueller
featured him in an excellent book. He might qualify. And one or two libertarian
cranks have questioned whether the division of labor is an impingement on
individual freedom. But simply supporting tariffs in some circumstances, for
example, does not make one “anti-trade.”
Perhaps it is just the case that certain people are
offended by certain types of taxes in a way that strikes others as disproportionate.
If you ever corner me in private and ask for my opinion on property taxes
levied against unproductive domiciles, I start gibbering about how a home is a
castle, and that such a tax amounts to making the government everybody’s
landlord — one who doesn’t fix the pipes. It particularly oppresses widows and
the elderly, while mocking the plain language in deeds of property ownership.
Maybe by the time I got to the phrase “lower than serfs,” you would begin
backing away or calling for a stiff drink. This is roughly my reaction when
reading my colleagues on tariffs.
Like Kevin Williamson, I detest the recent ubiquity of
the word “elite” in conservative tub-thumping. He deplores it as an
anti-intellectual, perhaps anti-Semitic, conspiracy theory that stops thought
and cultivates popular disgust with the great humanitarian project of free
trade, potentially putting us in danger of national socialism. I’m just a
sniffy pseud who winces whenever right-wing radio jocks remind me that we lost
that word’s correct pronunciation the moment we dropped the French accent mark
in élite.
For certain free-traders, support for tariffs is
something like a moral failing. They are offended by it in the way I am
offended by taxes on the home you own. But even if you grant almost all their
arguments for liberal trade arrangements and the economic derangement that can
result from trade wars, they press even further. They whirl on you: So you
admit they are a constant temptation toward cronyism? (Yes, like every tax
policy.) So you admit that trade wars have a dangerous logic of escalation, one
that is capable of doing far more damage economically than the rates of
taxation itself, given the attendant uncertainty, and the derangement of supply
chains? (Yes, I do!) So drop the idea of war, and embrace peace, they implore.
To hold out the right to trade war is to endorse the immiseration of the human
race, probably because you are a racist.
No, to my mind this is a practical measure. Like the
officer who resorts to violence to keep the peace, sometimes you have to resort
to trade actions to keep trade arrangements liberal on the whole. The trade
actions that Trump recently took are anticipated and authorized by the very
agreement that free-traders are purporting to defend. Using this authority in
this instance may be unwise, but the actions do not inherently violate our
agreements, or even the high ideals behind them.
And here it might be useful to explain why I think trade
policy is a matter of prudential judgment, informed by our ideals, rather than
a matter of incontestable principle.
First, my priors as a conservative. I have no problem
with political intervention in markets to secure other common goods. If Poland
finds it suitable for fostering the life of families, religious faith, and
civic life to discourage shopping on the Sabbath, that’s fine by me. We also
should regulate markets with larger political concerns in mind. For instance,
we should regulate them to maintain their general liberality. We should not
fool ourselves that somehow some authority out there called “the market” wants no limits on the supply of labor
and then open our borders in response. Doing so against the consent of the
people would jeopardize the democratic character of our society and doom what’s
left of the egalitarian ethic that makes democracy possible.
I similarly don’t believe the premises often used to
describe and denigrate tariffs. “If I want a Samsung dishwasher, and Samsung
wants to sell it to me, why should the government get in between us?” they ask.
Well, friendo, the government is already there between you. The trade
agreements that facilitate the exchange between people in two polities are
negotiated by governments. Governments have a right and sometimes a duty to
inspect what comes into their ports, not only for security reasons but to
enforce the rules of the market that entrepreneurs depend on.
Unlike more doctrinaire libertarians — I’m looking at
you, Ron Paul — I also take seriously the moral hazard of a free-trade policy
that mercantilist countries can easily exploit. Paul thinks that if Japan’s
government subsidizes the manufacture of a car to the tune of $4,000, then
American consumers should just rake in the free gift from Japanese taxpayers. I
do not. I think mercantilists can erode the support for worthwhile trading
arrangements in both countries at once. I similarly fear it will be deleterious
to a liberal system if these nations succeed in creating monopoly pricing power
for their firms.
As loath as this occasional critic of U.S. foreign policy
is to admit it, there are military realities underlying the matter of trade as
well. Most free traders will concede the big ones. Williamson does not mock the
policy goals achieved by sanctions on Iran, which get in the way of consumers
and Iranian goods. I also take the point made in favor of outright
protectionism by Pat Buchanan when George H. W. Bush expressed his famous
indifference as to whether Americans produced computer chips or potato chips:
You can’t guide a smart missile with potato chips. Adam Smith conceded such
realities as well.
But then there’s the largest military reality of all
between you and your Samsung appliance: The system of somewhat liberal global
trade depends on U.S. naval power, just as it once depended on Her Majesty’s
naval power and Britain’s consequent interest in liberal trade. I hope no one
will accuse me of too much heresy when I note the presence of Carrier Strike
Group Five near Yokosuka, Japan, and then turn to our Korean manufacturer and
say, “You didn’t build that.” The USS Antietam
and USS Shiloh are paid for with U.S.
tax receipts, and they do indeed keep the price of washing machines a bit lower
than they would be otherwise.
If a land empire such as Russia or China were the global
hegemon, things might work differently. They may see it to their advantage that
pirates around the horn of Africa, or Midway Island, or the Florida Keys extract
a tax on the global market in goods. In the meantime, while the U.S. is bearing
the burden of global security, I think it is perfectly fine and just for the
U.S. to make sure that everyone is playing by the rules to which they agreed,
and occasionally remind them of what was agreed.
Trade is a practical thing, and that’s why it should be
generally, but not ideologically, liberal.
No comments:
Post a Comment