By Kevin D. Williamson
Wednesday, September 20, 2017
It is easy to forget about the Canadians.
President Donald J. Trump made a speech to the United
Nations, an organization he had recently dismissed as an impotent debating
club, during which he mentioned North Korea, Iran, Syria, Israel, China,
France, the United Kingdom, Cuba, Venezuela — even the USSR, which no longer
exists. Two nations did not make the president’s roll call: Canada and Mexico.
Americans have an uncomplicated relationship with Canada.
Mostly, we do not think about Canada at all. Sometimes, we joke about it, and
sometimes we resent it on the theory that it has built its welfare state while
freeloading under the U.S. military umbrella, a foolish if common complaint
applied by Trump and other populists to Western Europe, too, as though we
maintained all those troops in Germany to help out the Germans. Canada, on the
other hand, has a complicated relationship with the United States, a country
its people often resent for the same reason Philadelphia resents New York City.
But turning our eyes south for a moment ought to make us
grateful for our neighbors to the north. We could hardly ask for better
neighbors than the Canadians. Aside from some unpleasant business during and
right after the Revolutionary War, the Canadians have been no trouble at all.
American populists left and right get the vapors when they think about our
“addiction to foreign oil,” as Barack Obama put it, but more of our U.S. energy
imports come from Canada than from anywhere else — in fact, Canada provides
more of our imported oil than all of the Persian Gulf producers combined. If you
pay attention, you’ll notice that Washington’s batty talk about “American
energy independence” has been replaced by talk of “North American energy
independence.” That’s because we get so much of our energy from Canada and from
our No. 3 supplier, Mexico. For similar reasons, we now label automobiles by
what share of their components is of “North American origin.”
The Canadians buy about $320 billion worth of goods and
services from U.S. producers each year and in 2016 sold Americans about $308
billion, resulting in a small trade surplus for the United States vis-à-vis
Canada. There is a great deal of cross-border commerce, cultural and
educational connections, immigration, and much more. And when the United States
has been obliged to send its troops into war, the Canadians have been right
beside us. That’s not to say that our relations have been entirely harmonious:
Decrying the recent flood of illegal immigrants across his southern border,
Canadian prime minister Justin Trudeau has done everything except promise to
build a wall and make Donald Trump pay for it. Good neighbors make good fences.
Trump’s speech to the United Nations touched on two
interesting themes: One was his usual “America First” shtick, in this case
bitching that the United States is obliged to bear a larger share of the United
Nations’ expenses than are those loafers in Eritrea and Guinea and mocking Kim
Jong-un as “Rocket Man.” (You can hardly blame him for that: Demeaning
nicknames won him the Republican party’s presidential nomination. If it ain’t
broke . . . ) The other was lavishing praise on the Marshall Plan — which, on
the surface of it, was one of the least “America First” initiatives of the 20th
century.
The Marshall Plan was a transnational do-gooder scheme
cooked up by a bunch of Ivy League eggheads (George F. Kennan practically
defined “establishment”) and longtime political insiders organized by the
Brookings Institution. It was — angels and ministers of grace defend us! —
bipartisan, and it was damned expensive. It was opposed by the
nationalist-populists of the time and championed by such gilded globalists as
Henry Cabot Lodge Jr. It was also one of the great successes of American
diplomacy.
The Marshall Plan succeeded because it conjoined the best
of American idealism with a hardheaded assessment of American interests. The
voters in Kansas were not out in the streets demanding aid for the
reconstruction of Berlin, but the American leadership of the time understood
that there is something more to leadership than getting out in front of a
parade, and they knew that the speedy recovery of Western Europe — including
that of the peoples who had just been making war on us — was necessary to
counterbalance the rise of the red empire in the east. The United States even
offered assistance to the Soviet Union and to its Eastern Bloc satellites, but
that offer was declined.
The United States knew that it was better off with a
strong and prosperous Germany, Italy, France, and United Kingdom, even though
those countries, once recovered, would become economic competitors, as indeed
would Japan, on behalf of which the United States made tremendous investments.
We are better off with a rich and stable Canada on our northern border. And
we’d be better off with a rich and stable Mexico to our south.
Mexico is a poor country by North American standards, but
a middle-income one by world standards. It has oil and other natural resources,
a highly developed economy, a sophisticated civil society, and a government
that is feckless and corrupt but reasonably stable. It also has some serious
problems, and it would be very much in the interest of the United States to see
some of those problems mitigated. Think of how much better-off we would be if
we had a country more like Germany or France to our south — or a sunnier Canada
— than the neighbor we’ve actually got.
Almost nobody — no conservative — has anything good to
say lately about Mexico, which produces a great deal of oil but whose most
visible exports are Mexicans, mostly desperately poor ones, and drugs. (And, of
course, Mexicans carrying drugs.) The lawlessness in the cartel-controlled
parts of Mexico, the continued flood of illegals across the border (Trump’s
boasting notwithstanding, illegal border crossings were up sharply in the early
summer), the Mexican government’s inability or disinclination to do much about
these, and the anti-immigration and anti-foreign sentiment currently gripping
much of the electorate have many Americans less than eager to see Washington
investing any additional time or resources in problems south of the border. A
Marshall Plan for Mexico? Good luck selling that.
But something along those lines would in fact be an
intelligent investment in North American stability, security, and prosperity.
Yesterday, Mexico’s capital was struck by a terrible
earthquake. Buildings collapsed. Two weeks before, more than 90 people died in
another earthquake. Mexicans organized relief efforts and raised substantial
sums of money and stores of supplies, but they were hampered in getting them to
those in need. Why? Corrupt government. The New
York Times reports:
The catastrophe has thrown
Mexicans’ simmering distrust of their government into sharp relief as
suspicions mount that aid will be diverted for political gain — or simply
siphoned off by corrupt officials.
“Historically, there has been a
lack of openness” in disaster relief, Eduardo Bohórquez, the director of
Transparency Mexico, an anti-corruption group. “It’s not clear that it reaches
the victims.” Now, with the earthquake, he said, “something which has not been
resolved in the country reappears.”
Eduardo Bohórquez is being rather gentle.
There is much the United States could do to help Mexico —
and to help itself at the same time. The first item on the agenda should be
reforming U.S. drug laws in the direction of liberalization and
decriminalization, thus robbing the narcotics cartels of their principal raison
d’être and their most important revenue stream. With that done, the United
States could help Mexico develop a plan for demilitarizing its law-enforcement
programs and drug-interdiction activities. (We might want to come up with a
plan like that for ourselves.) We should expand our already deep economic and
governmental ties with an eye toward helping Mexico to rein in corruption and
money-laundering — if you want to revisit NAFTA, that is one area that could in
fact use some attention. We should help Mexico build more effective
institutions and improve existing ones, securing not only physical security and
the rule of law but also more accountable and representative government.
Doing that would require some tricky negotiations and
awkward conversations. It would also require some financial outlays and a
long-term political engagement that not many in Washington are at the moment
interested in considering.
Most difficult, it would require acknowledging that there
is no wall high enough to keep Mexico’s problems entirely in Mexico.
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