By Jonah Goldberg
Friday, September 08, 2017
The news that President Trump abandoned Republicans to
strike a deal with congressional Democrats on a three-month extension of the
debt limit yielded a predictable response from his predictable cheerleaders: It
was brilliant and typically shrewd for the author of The Art of the Deal to take the very first offer the Democrats made
and ask for nothing in return.
Less obsequious observers on the right claimed that this
was the long-prophesied moment. The seventh seal had been broken. Donald Trump
was “pivoting” at last. “The pivot is real and it’s spectacular!” proclaimed
Ben Domenech, the publisher of The
Federalist.
In the lexicon of Trumpism and anti-Trumpism, “pivot” has
many meanings. But in this context, pivot means to reach across party lines and
work with Democrats, giving the shaft to his own party, or at least to the
conservatives in the GOP.
Such a move has been feared by many conservatives from
the earliest days of Trump’s candidacy. The former New York Democrat holds no
deep love for ideological conservatism, and many of his favorite issues —
protectionism, infrastructure, etc. — are more naturally part of the Democratic
portfolio.
But those fears didn’t pan out at first. The president
and congressional Republicans tried to mimic the Democrats in the wake of
Barack Obama’s victory in 2008 and run the table, particularly on Obamacare
“repeal and replace,” on a partisan basis. Unfortunately, the GOP couldn’t get
it done. This infuriated many conservatives and Republicans and Donald Trump
himself, and to some extent rightly so.
For years, Republicans said that if they could win both
Congress and the White House, there’d be nothing they couldn’t do. Whether this
was a lie or just wishful thinking is debatable. Regardless, they failed for
several reasons. The Republican majority in the Senate is much narrower than
the Democratic majority was when Obama was elected. Many GOP leaders never
thought Trump would win, and so they hadn’t prepared for victory. Also, the
Republican party is divided along a host of fault lines, and a large swath of
the Republican caucus has no experience at actually governing.
This is why Trump’s decision this week to throw Senate
majority leader Mitch McConnell and House speaker Paul Ryan under the bus was
greeted with such glee by many Trump boosters. They place the blame for all of
Trump’s myriad blunders on the GOP “establishment.” They’d rather see Trump
pivot and work with Democrats if it means Trump can declare victory about
something — anything — and if it makes the establishment look bad. What was
once a fear is now a hope.
The problem is there’s another reason Congress has
disappointed the president and his most ardent supporters: Donald Trump doesn’t
know what he’s doing.
Even under the best circumstances, major legislation
cannot get out of Congress without robust presidential leadership. I wish it
were otherwise, because Congress is the first branch of government and should
take the lead. But in the modern era, you can’t outsource the big stuff to
Congress. Trump didn’t know this and refuses to learn.
For instance, earlier in the week the White House said
Trump was ending the Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals program, which lets
undocumented immigrants brought to this country as children stay here. Attorney
General Jeff Sessions came out and said it was unconstitutional. But when the
press — and former president Obama — castigated Trump as heartless and cruel,
the president made it clear he wants Congress to restore the program by passing
legislation. And if it doesn’t, he suggested, he might keep the program via the
same means his AG had just described as unconstitutional.
Mark Krikorian, the leading intellectual advocate for a
more restricted immigration policy, should be a natural ally of this White
House. He told the New York Times,
that Trump is “being pulled in a bunch of different directions, and because he
doesn’t have any strong ideological anchor, or deep knowledge of the issue, he
ends up sort of not knowing what to do.” Instead, the president goes with his
gut on everything, letting himself be baited by negative TV coverage.
There are many reasons why the pivot theory won’t pan
out. Trump has made himself too radioactive with the Democratic rank-and-file.
Most of his agenda is equally radioactive. But the main reason it will fail is
that, contrary to wishful theories that Trump is playing “four-dimensional
chess,” the president doesn’t really know what he’s doing.
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