By John Fund
Friday, April 1, 2016
Reporters aren’t supposed to engage in psychological
speculation. But Donald Trump’s series of extraordinary statements this week —
on abortion and the Geneva Conventions, criticizing Wisconsin governor Scott
Walker for not raising taxes, and attacking the character of a reporter his
campaign manager has been arrested for manhandling — make such speculation
inevitable.
“The number of people who have emailed me asking me if I
think Trump is trying to do himself damage intentionally isn’t small,” tweeted
Maggie Haberman of the New York Times.
“Trump is playing into his opponents’ memes — phony, unprepared, hostile to
women, unelectable, not a Republican, sloppy, vindictive, chaotic,” added Mark
Halperin of Bloomberg News.
In a taped interview he gave to business journalist
Michael D’Antonio for his book Never
Enough: Donald Trump and the Pursuit of Success, Trump himself admitted, “I
don’t like to analyze myself because I might not like what I see.” D’Antonio’s
conclusion in the book was that “Trump was willing to say and do almost
anything to satisfy his craving for attention. But he also possessed a sixth
sense that kept him from going too far.”
But what if Trump’s “sixth sense” is now failing him,
because part of him doesn’t really want to win?
Trump admits that for months he vacillated on running.
The Washington Post quoted him this
week as saying of his decision to run: “It was a 50–50 chance. We were thinking
about it. A 25 percent chance even. Because I give up a lot when I run. I gave
up a life.”
Last year, Stephanie Cegielski agreed to become
communications director of a pro-Trump super PAC that was later shut down over
allegations that it was illegally coordinating its activities with the
campaign. Cegielski has since turned on Trump and this week wrote an
impassioned article describing how Trump’s own staff intended for him only to
place second in the primaries and have a major impact on the GOP race: “I don’t
think even Trump thought he would get this far. And I don’t even know that he
wanted to, which is perhaps the scariest prospect of all. He certainly was
never prepared or equipped to go all the way to the White House, but his ego
has now taken over the driver’s seat, and nothing else matters.”
Cegielski’s views are confirmed by Cheri Jacobus, a GOP
strategist who had meetings with Trump’s campaign about becoming its
communications director. “I believe Trump senses he is in over his head and
doesn’t really want the nomination,” she told me. “He wanted to help his brand
and have fun, but not to be savaged by the Clintons if he’s the candidate. He
wouldn’t mind falling short of a delegate majority, losing the nomination, and
then playing angry celebrity victim in the coming years.”
To all outward appearances, Trump seems to be engaged in
a form of self-sabotaging behavior in which people both move toward a goal and
then from deep within do things to defeat themselves.
Even Trump’s friends are wondering what’s going on. “I
can tell you, having worked for Trump for almost forty years, on and off, no
one puts words in his mouth,” longtime Trump strategist Roger Stone told GQ
magazine this week. “Trump is better than his campaign. . . . So only Trump can
tell you why Trump does the things Trump does.”
Last fall, as Trump rose to giddying heights in the
polls, a group of his staffers sat around the office imagining what the
reaction of their boss would be if he actually won the presidency. One told me:
“We concluded that he really would say, ‘Guys, what did you do to me? I had a
great life. Now I have to move to the White House?’”
The anecdote is reminiscent of the last line of the
famous 1972 movie The Candidate.
Robert Redford plays Bill McKay, a novice who has just won a surprise victory
for a Senate seat. In a daze, he pulls aside his campaign manager and asks,
“What do we do now?”
No one knows how the Trump drama will play out, but if
indeed he contributes to his own loss of the nomination the consequences for
politics will be, to borrow a Trump word, sad. The legitimate anger and
cynicism toward Washington that is felt by many of his supporters may be
channeled into unproductive behavior and their alienation only enhanced. Far
from Making America Great Again, Donald Trump might wind up leaving his
supporters even more powerless and feeling like Trump’s Chumps.
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