By Nick Catoggio
Friday, December 27, 2024
A populist coalition led by billionaires is absurd, and
so absurdity is unavoidable in its internal squabbles.
That explains how the richest human in history came to
spend Christmas this year engaged in a debate that featured observations like “why are
people in India still sh–ting in the water they bathe and drink from?”
It began on Sunday when Donald Trump named Sriram Krishnan as
a senior White House adviser on artificial intelligence. Krishnan is a venture
capitalist, an Elon Musk ally, and a U.S. citizen.
But he was born and educated in India and has called for lifting country caps
on American green cards.
As that fact circulated on Twitter, holiday cheer among
the populist right began to sag. “Did any of yall vote for this Indian to run
America?” one user asked
alongside a photo of Krishnan.
Setting aside that serving as a “senior White House
adviser on artificial intelligence” is a far cry from “running America,” the
next 48 hours devolved into a remarkably bitter gang war over high-skilled
immigration between grassroots MAGA OGs on one side and Silicon Valley
Trumpists like Musk and David
Sacks on the other. Krishnan and his country of origin were the target of
numerous racist
jabs, leading some Indian immigrants looking on to wonder if their
alliance with the GOP had been a mistake. At one point Matt Gaetz, whose
nomination for attorney general had been touted
by Musk, jumped in to warn “tech
bros” that their membership in the right’s coalition didn’t entitle
them to set immigration policy.
Elon, for his part, took to penalizing the Twitter
accounts of some
of his right-wing antagonists (whence free speech?) and publicly
agreed with a poster who joked that the tech industry needs top engineers from
overseas because Americans are too “retarded” to
fill those jobs. “This was eye-opening,” he went on to say of the right’s
backlash to Trump hiring Krishnan.
Which is only true, of course, if you’ve had your eyes
closed.
Trump has built a coalition of hawks and doves, fat cats
and working stiffs, protectionists and free-marketeers, liberals and
postliberals—but I’m not sure it’s possible to pitch a political tent large
enough to accommodate Laura
Loomer and the guy who runs Tesla and SpaceX, who was once an
immigrant himself. “America First” is the core of Trumpy populism, the
movement’s raison
d’être; it can’t co-exist with rival ideologies as easily as the others
I’ve named. Nativism or “globalism”: Eventually you have to choose.
It was a Christmas bummer for all sides of the triumphant
MAGA movement during what should have been a moment of holiday exultation,
toasting Donald Trump like George Bailey at the end of It’s a Wonderful Life.
Then Vivek entered the chat.
Jocks and nerds.
Vivek Ramaswamy is an entrepreneur, the son of Indian
immigrants, and co-chair with Musk of Trump’s new advisory body on government
efficiency, so one can understand why he felt obliged to join the debate over
high-skilled immigration and take sides with Team Elon.
But he was certain to do more harm to his cause than
good.
On Thursday morning, he uncorked a
part-rant, part-pep talk criticizing American culture for celebrating jocks
instead of nerds and, more generally, for supposedly “venerating mediocrity
over excellence.” Instead of “wallowing in victimhood,” he urged Krishnan’s
critics to emulate the ruthless educational ethic many immigrant parents
instill in their children. If kids in the U.S. spent less time socializing and
more time (or all of their time, even!) studying, Ramaswamy argued, they’d be
more competitive with foreign students and American companies wouldn’t need to depend
so heavily on H-1B visas.
That advice was … not
received warmly. And no wonder.
For one thing, it’s dubious on the merits. As others have
noted, American culture is probably more welcoming to
nerds than it’s ever been. American children in the age of smartphones
aren’t socializing too much but too little.
And cultures that have mainstreamed the sort of “grindset” that Ramaswamy
idealizes have paid for it with serious
social pathologies. No one would want to live in a nation of Viveks (and
increasingly, no
one does).
Color me skeptical as well that “Trump’s election
hopefully marks the beginning of a new golden era in America, but only if our
culture fully wakes up,” as Ramaswamy puts it. You don’t elect a boorish, lazy
con artist because you’re itching to make America’s schoolchildren hit the
books. You elect him because you’ve given up on addressing your problems
seriously and are hoping to solve them with magic
beans. Trump 2.0 will not turn rural America into South Korea.
Be more like me is weird advice, frankly, from a
guy like Vivek who’s famously dislikable.
Populists can overlook that when he’s firing at their political enemies, as he
normally is, but when he turns his guns on them, the natural human instinct to
want to stuff him into a locker will assert itself. His old enemy and fellow
Indian American, Nikki
Haley, couldn’t resist piling on. “There is nothing wrong with American
workers or American culture,” she scolded him after
he published his rant. “All you have to do is look at the border and see how
many want what we have. We should be investing and prioritizing in Americans,
not foreign workers.”
I’ll bet this gift-wrapped opportunity to out-populist
Ramaswamy was the nicest Christmas present Haley received this year.
Vivek also happens to be a graduate of Harvard and
Yale and very much sounds like it. The grassroots right has an almost limitless
tolerance for hyper-elite educational credentials in their leaders so long as
they’re mouthing cringy faux-populist platitudes, as Ted Cruz and Josh Hawley’s
careers regularly remind us. But on rare occasions when those platitudes stop,
the tolerance might also. Many MAGA types who’ve suspected Ramaswamy all along
of secret “elite” sympathies by dint of his background may have felt those
suspicions confirmed by seeing him deride Americans as “mediocre.”
Vivek also lacks the sort of credibility that Musk enjoys
in lecturing to Americans about the virtues of foreigners. However much one
might righteously hate Musk for his journey into populist nihilism, SpaceX and
Tesla—and the unfathomable fortune they’ve generated—are impressive enough that
one can’t help but respect the man in charge for his achievements. If Elon
thinks America’s tech industry requires high-skilled immigration, well, it’s
hard to argue with success. Ramaswamy, on the other hand, made his money off of
an IPO by a biotech company whose main product ended
up failing abysmally. He’s less a visionary hero than he is a hustler.
On top of all that, Vivek was inescapably handicapped in
this debate by the fact that, ethnically, postliberals will regard him as part
of the “Them” and not the “Us.” If you’re the sort of populist who’s forever
questioning whether those who disagree with your policies truly wish to put
America first, seeing an Indian American go to bat for hiring Indian engineers
will raise your hackles.
The strangest thing about Ramaswamy’s rant, though, was
how anachronistic it felt.
At heart, it was an old-school conservative lament about
taking personal responsibility for bettering oneself and one’s family instead
of blaming an unfair culture. A certain future vice president of the United
States—whose own children are Indian American—made
the same point in his best-selling book, although he eventually ditched
that attitude and began demagoging immigrants once he realized that populism as
a mode of right-wing politics was here to stay. “Pull yourself up by your
bootstraps” is as dead as Reaganism. “The system is rigged” is what sells.
J.D. Vance came to realize that the path to political
power in the modern GOP lay in grievance and scapegoating. I thought Ramaswamy
had realized it too, but the last thing a movement of Real Americans wants to
hear from someone whose own “Real American” cred is questionable is that they’d
better buckle down if they want to hack it against kids from the third world.
“Imagine if [Kamala] Harris had said during the campaign
that her mom’s Indian culture was superior to America’s because here we spend
too much time celebrating toxic men like Riggins from Friday Night Lights,”
Tim Miller said of
Vivek’s rant. “Trump would’ve won New Jersey.” Indeed. Hillary Clinton’s
jab at the “deplorables” in Trump’s coalition in 2016 caught on because it
seemed to channel the perceived contempt that Democratic “elites” feel for Real
America. Now here was Vivek Ramaswamy, alleged MAGA populist, sounding more
than a little contemptuous of deplorable mainstream American culture himself.
Who’s the boss?
Guessing which side Trump will take in this matter is
trickier than usual.
On the one hand, he proved during his first term that
he’s willing
to limit high-skilled immigration. He also dislikes being on the wrong side
of his base when they’re in a lather, as last week’s revolt
against the government funding bill showed. And one of his most influential
advisers is prone to saying things like “America is for Americans and
Americans only.”
Many Trump supporters seem to be under the impression
that he’s interested only in reducing illegal immigration. They
are mistaken.
On the other hand, Trump owes Elon Musk for helping to
get him reelected. He’s also made
quite a few “friends” lately among tech bigwigs and corporate pooh-bahs,
who’ve lavished cash and attention on him since Election Day. And he does seem
to appreciate the economic benefits of attracting foreign talent to the United
States. Remember, as recently as this past June, he told
the All-In podcast that any immigrant who graduates from an American
college—or even a junior college!—should receive a green card with their
diploma.
All-In is hosted by four well-known Silicon Valley
investors, by the way, one of whom is David Sacks.
The political considerations for Trump also make his
preference hard to predict. I can imagine him cracking down on H-1B visas to
appease populists if his mass deportation effort underperforms, which it
probably will. Border czar Tom Homan has already begun telling
aides to prioritize removing convicted criminals and immigrants with
pending orders of deportation; ardent border hawks who swallowed the magic
beans about deporting 10 million people will be bitterly disappointed if that’s
as far as the effort goes. To cheer them up, the administration might opt to
protect Real America by blocking legal paths to entering the country as well.
But it could also go the other way. Forced to choose
between betraying grassroots MAGA fanatics by allowing high-skilled immigration
and betraying his new admirers in the corporate-gazillionaire class by blocking
it, Trump might reasonably conclude that he’s better off betraying the former.
They’re cultists; unlike Elon and his cohort, there’s zero risk that they’ll
ever turn on him. Besides, admitting high-skilled immigrants into the U.S. is very popular
even among Trump supporters. Laura Loomer can and will say Laura Loomer-y
things on the subject on Twitter, but even most America First-ers see the
economic virtue of snatching up other countries’ talent.
Trump’s second term is likely to end up as a sustained
argument among his supporters over precisely which immigrants should and
shouldn’t be barred from the U.S. Think of it as a game called “Not Those
Immigrants.” Should we bar criminal illegals? Sure. Should we bar noncriminals?
No, not those immigrants.
How about illegals working agricultural jobs? No, not those
immigrants. Maybe illegals working in construction? No, not
those immigrants. Hospitality, maybe? No, not
those immigrants.
The debate playing out on Twitter this week is an
unusually public round of “Not Those Immigrants” featuring unusually
prominent people and involving unusually skilled labor. The point of the MAGA
movement is to prevent Real Americans from being usurped by their cultural and
economic enemies. Imagine the surprise among its members to find one of their
new heroes, Elon Musk, suddenly arguing in favor of usurpation.
There’s an element of political usurpation to it too. In complaints like
Gaetz’s you’ll find a whiff of resentment toward “tech bro” latecomers to
Trump’s coalition for presuming to tell cultural populists who were MAGA from
the start what their immigration policy should be. That resentment is silly
insofar as even new members of a party have a right to try to influence its
agenda. But having the mega-rich pile into a nationalist movement and try to
get its followers excited about foreign labor is like Hayekians taking over the
local communist party and making its platform anti-union.
The postliberal populist project is one of
redefinition—of the right broadly, of the Republican Party specifically, and
ultimately of what it means to be an American. To have outsiders come in and
try to coopt that project by redefining it right under their noses must be a
special affront.
I wonder if it will end up coloring how Trump supporters
view Musk, Ramaswamy, and their work on slashing government spending as head of
the new Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE).
It’s a cinch that their recommendations for eliminating
federal jobs won’t go far enough to suit MAGA diehards who are keen to purge
the federal bureaucracy of unfriendly civil servants, but until this week they
needn’t have worried that their good intentions would be questioned. Elon in
particular is—or was—at the height
of his power as a right-wing influencer, the first person since 2015 beside
you-know-who to demonstrate a willingness and ability to intimidate
congressional Republicans into doing his bidding.
Now, suddenly, he’s taken sides with Them against Us.
Having done so, his work for DOGE might come to be seen on the right in a more
sinister light than it otherwise would have been.
It’s already begun. “Is DOGE a way to cut ‘spending’ or
REDIRECT the spending toward the projects of tech bro billionaires?” Loomer wondered
amid the debate over the Great Indian Replacement. As Musk increasingly annoys
Trump by muscling into his spotlight, finds himself alienated from nativists
over H-1B visas, and ends up being demagogued by suspicious populists for some
of DOGE’s fiscal prescriptions, there’s a chance that this unlikely political
marriage will end very, very badly. A populist coalition led by billionaires
isn’t just absurd, it turns out. It might
be unsustainable.
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