By Jonah Goldberg
Friday, December 27, 2024
I got a late Christmas present last night in the form of
“MAGA Civil War!”
Now, let me say upfront, I think talk of “MAGA Civil
War!” is surely overblown, even when accounting for poetic license. But it was
fun and interesting in all sorts of ways. What actually transpired was a
particularly boisterous, and at times typically ugly, Twitter fight over
skilled immigration and American culture. Axios has a good and sparse summary
of the brouhaha. But here’s the gist: Activist Laura Loomer threw a hissy fit
over Donald Trump’s selection of Sriram Krishnan, an Indian American immigrant
and successful tech bro, to be his senior policy adviser on artificial
intelligence. Krishnan’s sin, for some, is being an Indian immigrant in the
first place. But for most it’s that he’s favored loosening up rules on H1B
visas for skilled immigrants. For a certain faction of MAGA types, this is a
betrayal of MAGAism. Let’s call this faction the nationalists—though it’s a
loose label and I’m sure there are self-described nationalists who think it’s
vital that we bring in more skilled immigrants for our 21st century
competition with China.
Up against the nationalists is Team DOGE, led by Elon
Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy. Again, it’s a shorthand. I’m sure there are DOGE fans
who believe we should gut the H-1B visa program. In fact, one could be forgiven
for thinking Ramaswamy was one of them given that when he was running for
president he vowed
to “gut” the program he used 29 times when he was a CEO of a pharmaceutical
company. That’s the thing about Vivek: He never fails to tell his target
audience what it wants to hear. But now that his target audience isn’t primary
voters but Elon Musk, the Count Dracula to his Renfield, he’s saying something
a bit different.
Ramaswamy came in from the top rope to declare in a
tweet that the real problem was American culture itself. “The reason top
tech companies often hire foreign-born & first-generation engineers over
‘native’ Americans isn’t because of an innate American IQ deficit (a lazy &
wrong explanation). A key part of it comes down to the c-word: culture. Tough
questions demand tough answers & if we’re really serious about fixing the
problem, we have to confront the TRUTH: Our American culture has venerated
mediocrity over excellence for way too long (at least since the 90s and likely
longer). That doesn’t start in college, it starts YOUNG.”
He added, “A culture that venerates Cory from ‘Boy Meets
World,’ or Zach & Slater over Screech in ‘Saved by the Bell,’ or ‘Stefan’
over Steve Urkel in ‘Family Matters,’ will not produce the best engineers.”
Ramaswamy says we need a culture that produces more
“movies like Whiplash, fewer reruns of ‘Friends.’ More math tutoring, fewer
sleepovers. More weekend science competitions, fewer Saturday morning cartoons.
More books, less TV. More creating, less ‘chillin.’ More extracurriculars, less
‘hanging out at the mall.’”
Now, I’m perfectly happy to concede there are grains of
truth here, but given that it’s Ramaswamy talking, we shouldn’t be surprised
that there are boulders of BS, too. First of all, I think it’s funny that he
has the names of these characters at his fingertips while also insisting that
these shows are toxic. It’s sort of like an anti-porn crusader who can talk
your ear off about the poor lighting in On Golden Blonde or the
implausible plot points in Edward Penis-Hands.
More to the point, huh?
The idea that but for Saved by the Bell and Boy
Meets World we’d have more top-flight engineers is really quite silly. I
mean, these tropes are a hell of a lot older than the 1990s, and America has
produced a lot of excellence. James Dean was cool, the Nutty Professor wasn’t.
Mark Twain’s heroes often mocked “book learning.” “Egghead” was a pejorative in
common use for the generation that put a man on the moon. And, by the way, Big
Bang Theory did more to lionize nerd culture than any TV show since Star
Trek. I mean, the series culminated in the main character winning the Nobel
Prize for physics. All the Professor from Gilligan’s Island did was
invent a rudimentary telephone with coconut halves and some twine.
I think it’s telling that Ramaswamy lays the blame on a
handful of sitcoms and not at all on, say, TikTok, Twitter, or Instagram. Seems
to me that these things fit his theory far better than some old reruns. The
culture of social media is far more destructive to excellence than some
bourgeois family sitcoms. It’s not Urkel’s fault that many college kids can’t
read books anymore. Or to be more exact, the fact that kids have stunted
attention spans has a lot more to do with TikTok and Instagram than some show
most of them have never seen. But the social media companies are part of the
faction he’s standing up for. They can’t be part of the problem, so let’s throw
Screech under the bus.
American culture isn’t the (main) problem.
I say this as someone who really admires the immigrant
work ethic and who believes passionately that immigrants offer countless
economic and cultural benefits to our society. But the insinuation that
Americans lack a strong work ethic is just ignorant. Americans work harder,
longer, and more productively
than pretty much
any rich nation,
China included.
Now, at the extreme right end of the distribution, it’s
the case that American society isn’t producing enough engineers to meet the
demand of the tech industry. But one reason that foreign-born engineers are
more attractive is that foreign-born engineers are poorer and willing to be
paid less than their native-born counterparts. I don’t think it’s as simple as
that, but it’s simply the case that that’s a factor. And the same holds true
for a lot of unskilled and less-skilled labor. Native-born Americans are
perfectly able to pick fruit, clean bathrooms, and drive Ubers—even the ones
who thought Screech was hilarious and that Zach and Slater were cool. They just
don’t want to be paid the going rate for a lot of those jobs while people
desperate to come here are.
That desperation to come here is the best rebuttal to
Ramaswamy’s claim that American culture is the problem because it doesn’t value
excellence. American culture is literally the reason all of those immigrants
want to come here, because those immigrants understand better than native
Americans that Americans are willing to pay for excellence. Ramawamy’s
definition of excellence is deliberately narrow and tailored to the kind of
workers his master thinks are essential. But the Haitian workers in Springfield,
Ohio, are just as dedicated to professional excellence. Yet the Silicon Valley
bros were okay with calling them cat-eaters because they can’t use warehouse or
auto parts laborers. Heck, some of them would be happy to automate those jobs
out of existence.
The Department of Globalist Efficiency.
And that’s one of the things I think is so hilarious
about this feud. For at least a decade a lot of folks on the right have been
denouncing globalism as if Davos was really a secret meeting of Hydra.
According to some nationalists, the globalists want to “replace” white
Americans, censor the phrase “Merry Christmas,” and make you eat bugs. The
DOGErs glommed onto this populist hysteria for political access. But beneath
the surface—and I mean just beneath the surface—it turns out they’re
globalists. They do all manner of business with China while at the same time
insisting that if they don’t have unfettered access to global labor markets,
China will beat us in the race to win … something. Whatever the DOGErs believe
about tariffs for widgets and washing machines, they reject protectionism for
computer programmers. From their vantage point, they support free trade for
high-end workers.
They just can’t put it that way. So they insist that
their free trade for specialized labor position is really a nationalist,
America-first, priority. Borrowing from Barack
Obama and New York Times columnist Tom Friedman, Ramaswamy in his
diatribe on Twitter trotted out hoary clichés about “Sputnick” moments:
“Normalcy” doesn’t cut it in a
hyper-competitive global market for technical talent. And if we pretend like it
does, we’ll have our asses handed to us by China.
This can be our Sputnik moment.
We’ve awaken [sic] from slumber before & we can do it again. Trump’s
election hopefully marks the beginning of a new golden era in America, but only
if our culture fully wakes up. A culture that once again prioritizes achievement
over normalcy; excellence over mediocrity; nerdiness over conformity; hard work
over laziness.
“Sputnik moment” is globalist,
neoliberal,
and even neoconservative code for Cold
War-style nationalism. Our enemy is beating us! We need to all come
together and spend metric buttloads of money not to let them win! Tom
Friedman—idiotically—wanted green tech
to be the new race of the 21st century (though the subsidies and policies that
argument gave birth to helped Elon Musk become the world’s richest man, so
there is that).
Ramaswamy can’t say unfettered, skilled immigration is
good for multinational corporations and the gross domestic product—which it
is—so he falls back on great power competition with China as the justification
for precisely the exact policies the globalist fat cats want. Again, I’m not
saying his preferred policies are necessarily wrong; I’m good with a more
expansive policy on skilled immigration (and I generally like automation). I’m
saying the arguments he’s offering are dishonest and hypocritical, particularly
for a devotee of MAGA economics.
And I think it’s hilarious that the MAGA nationalists
immediately recognized the sales pitch for what it is. On the policy front I’m
more sympathetic to DOGErs, but what’s so delicious about this is how it
illuminates the internal contradictions of the Trump coalition. All winning
political coalitions have internal conflicts, so there’s nothing new there. But
Trump’s coalition is very small compared to, say, Obama’s, Reagan’s, LBJ’s,
Eisenhower’s, and especially FDR’s. When you have a very large coalition, you
can afford to piss off one faction while promising to take care of it down the
road. Trump has much less wiggle room.
The most tangible illustration of this is the two-seat
majority in the House. If 30, or even three, Republicans agree with the Loomer
crowd, it’s hard to see how Trump makes up for that with Democratic
votes.
My point isn’t that this divide will be the undoing of
Trump or anything like that. He can probably finesse his way out of this
particular “MAGA Civil War.” And this isn’t necessarily the most important
fault line—it’s just the first of many. To govern is to choose. When
campaigning you can promise everything and anything to everybody. But when
you’re setting policy, one group wins and another loses. And it’s going to be
particularly popcorn-worthy watching Vice President-elect J.D. Vance try to
stay the Golden Boy for both the winners and the losers while never disagreeing
with Trump (or Musk).
From where I sit, this is just another chapter in the
long story of people convincing themselves that Trump is wholly on their side
only to discover he’s not and never will be. Since these aren’t my monkeys and
this is not my circus, I’m happy to watch them all duke it out.
The vindication of the establishment.
But I will say there’s an exquisite irony here.
The idea that there are competing interests over
immigration policy is an utterly banal observation for people who’ve followed
immigration fights for the last half-century (or 200 years). At places like National
Review and other bastions of the old conservative “establishment,” serious
people tried to balance these competing interests. Books, reports, studies, and
conferences on immigration policy have punctuated these debates going back to
the Clinton
administration and Barbara Jordan’s commission on immigration reform. But
the populists—both the nationalists and the billionaire DOGErs surfing the
populist tide—had such contempt for the eggheads and the “corrupt”
establishment they were happy to indulge and encourage cheap demagoguery,
insisting that everybody who came before them was stupid and that all the
solutions are obvious and easy.
And by “this stuff” I don’t just mean immigration. I mean
two things: foreign and domestic policy.
When Trump ran for president the first time, he insisted
that it would be “so easy” to fix health care (just get rid
of the lines between states!). Then by his second month in office he
announced, “Nobody
knew health care policy could be so complicated.” Actually, virtually
everybody who knew anything about health care policy knew how complicated it
was. Similarly, the Russia-Ukraine war could be settled in a day, according
to candidate Trump in 2023. I expect in 2025 we’ll hear about how nobody
knew how complicated any settlement would be. It reminds me of when Bart
Simpson ran for class president. He said of his opponent, “He says, there are
no easy answers! I say, he’s not looking hard enough!”
The joke’s not on Trump, of course. His promises served
their intended purpose: getting him in the White House. The joke is on the
people who believed him.
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