National Review Online
Wednesday,
February 28, 2024
With the
first of two government-funding deadlines coming up this Friday, a partial
government shutdown is looking more and more possible.
The
challenge facing House Speaker Mike Johnson is the same as the one that plagued
his predecessor, Kevin McCarthy. Republicans control only one chamber of
Congress, by a razor-thin margin, meaning that if Johnson cannot unite his
caucus around a bill to fund the government, he will have to rely on Democrats.
Doing so could put his leadership at risk, because just a handful of
Republicans have the ability to oust him. Under the “laddered” approach
previously established by Johnson, the first batch of funding will expire on
March 1, with the rest a week later, on March 8 (though a short-term extension
being floated by Johnson remains possible).
At
this point, the major sticking point is not about overall spending levels,
which were hammered out last month. Instead, the House Freedom Caucus, in
a letter last week, issued a series of demands and made
complaints about the process itself. The letter warns that leaders will
negotiate behind closed doors, cutting out rank-and-file members, and
presumably release a “deal” at the last minute, with little time for members to
read, debate, and amend the legislation before it comes to the floor for a
vote.
The
group also issued a list of 21 different provisions its members would like to
see inserted into the bill to win their support. They are, generally speaking,
provisions that most Republicans would support but that would be unlikely to
get past the Democratic Senate or have a chance to be signed by Biden. Those
include defunding Planned Parenthood; slashing Homeland Security Secretary
Alejandro Mayorkas’s salary to $0; defunding various EPA mandates; defunding
gender-transition surgeries; and blocking Biden from removing border barriers.
Essentially, the Freedom Caucus members are attempting to use the
government-funding process as a means to get Joe Biden to stop governing like
Joe Biden. But realistically, a left-wing Democratic president is not going to
transform into a conservative Republican — especially when he has a Democratic
Senate behind him.
Johnson
should be willing to see if there is a package that includes some of the
Freedom Caucus demands that could secure a majority in the House and, if so,
pass a bill that could be used to increase leverage with Senate Democrats. But
barring that, he will have to cut the best deal that he can with Senate
Majority Leader Chuck Schumer and Biden, and rely on Democrats to secure the
votes needed for passage.
If
that is the case, Republican opponents of the deal should be content with the
ability to vote “no” rather than threaten to force out Johnson and thus create
another chaotic speaker fight.
To
allow the government to shut down would be yet another indication of
dysfunction among House Republicans that would serve as a life raft to
Democrats at a time when Biden is flailing in polls.
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