By Jonah
Goldberg
Wednesday,
October 18, 2023
In
normal times, domestic political fights over foreign policy break down more or
less along a conventional left-right divide. These are not normal times.
The
right is largely united around the need to support Israel in its war with
Hamas, but increasingly divided about backing Ukraine in its war with Russia.
The left is largely united around the need to help Ukraine, but more divided
about siding with Israel.
It’s not
perfectly symmetrical. Democrats are more unified on Israel, in part because of
President Biden’s unequivocal support. But it’s early. After all, the history
of the Democratic Party resisting campus radicals and the “anti-war” left is
not a tale of heroic resolve. That the response on campuses to a terrorist
pogrom was to immediately express support for Palestinians does not suggest the
left-wing fringe will come around to a more nuanced stance.
Meanwhile,
even though the GOP is unified in its support for Israel—to the point where
even many America Firsters have abandoned all foreign policy consistency to
show solidarity with Israel—skepticism over support for Israel is growing on
the fringes, especially on social media.
In some
of the swampier quarters, outright antisemitism is breaking into the open. And Donald Trump, who has long
boasted of doing more for Israel than anyone since Moses, is suddenly
celebrating how “very smart” Hezbollah is and berating Israeli
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu (which is not to say he doesn’t deserve
criticism, though not from Trump).
Given
the hothouse of a presidential election, it doesn’t seem far-fetched to imagine
support for Israel melting away on the New Right and the “anti-Zionist” left as
Biden becomes more identified with support for Israel.
In
short, inside the water’s edge of domestic politics, it’s a two-front war. What
I think a lot of people are missing is that it’s a two-front war outside the
water’s edge too.
There’s
been an intense and bizarre debate over Iran’s complicity in Hamas’ attack.
Iran has supported Hamas for decades. Whether it officially ordered or approved
the invasion beforehand hardly erases its culpability. If you keep assassins
who vow to kill Israelis on a retainer, it’s hardly an outrageous slander to
say you have some responsibility when they do precisely what you kept them on
the payroll for.
The more
vital question is of Russia’s involvement. Russia’s disastrous war on Ukraine
has drawn it ever closer to Iran, which supplies it with drones
and other weapons. Both of these heavily sanctioned pariah states depend on oil
revenue to stay afloat. Global instability keeps the petrodollars flowing.
There’s no evidence that Russia greenlit the attack, but it’s clear that Putin
benefits from a Middle East war that diverts Western attention and resources.
Why give
him the win he wants?
Ukraine,
which has expressed its support for Israel, certainly sees the stakes clearly.
President Volodymyr Zelensky even wants to visit Israel as a show of
solidarity.
Opponents
of aiding Ukraine dismiss any linkage—legislatively, strategically, or
morally—between Israel and Ukraine. Forty-eight hours after the Hamas attack,
Sen. Josh Hawley insisted, “Israel is facing existential threat. Any
funding for Ukraine should be redirected to Israel immediately.” The
populist Heritage Foundation declared, “Lawmakers need to
resist attempts to link emergency military support for Israel with additional
funding for Ukraine. These conflicts are separate and distinct.”
Not
really.
Viewing
both conflicts through a partisan lens just demonstrates how domestic
partisanship can blind you to the bigger picture. These are two fronts in
broadly the same fight. Israel and Ukraine alike are flawed but decent
democracies facing enemies who seek to erase them from the map. Israel may be
more of an historic ally than Ukraine, but their enemies are allies with shared
interests.
Putting
all other obvious moral and strategic considerations aside, America simply has
a vital interest in maintaining its credibility to keep its commitments not
just to Ukraine and Israel, but to our broader coalition of allies.
After
9/11, NATO got our back. Now NATO needs us to help deal with the threat on its
doorstep. And we may need NATO if Iran opts to join the fray in
Israel. Lord knows the Chinese are watching to see if we buckle, as they
contemplate their options for taking Taiwan.
None of
this requires American boots on the ground in Israel or Ukraine. Both countries
are willing to do the fighting and dying. What they want is help in what
amounts to the same war on two fronts.
No comments:
Post a Comment