By
Andrew Follett
Tuesday,
October 17, 2023
Amid global
crises with rising body counts in Israel and Ukraine, the Biden administration
doesn’t want us to forget about global warming. President Biden has even said
that he is more worried about the global average temperature rising 1.5 degrees
than about the possibility of a nuclear war.
“The
only existential threat humanity faces even more frightening than a — than a
nuclear war is global warming going above 1.5 degrees in the next 20 — 10
years,” Biden said during a
trip to Vietnam last month. “We’re — that’d be real trouble. There’s no way back from that.”
In a
recent Fox News interview, John Kirby, Biden’s coordinator for strategic
communications at the National Security Council, was asked if Biden still
stands by these comments. Kirby responded, “Absolutely he does. Climate change is an
existential threat.” He clarified that it was indeed “more frightening than
nuclear war” to the Biden administration.
A
2019 simulation by
Princeton researchers showed
that a “limited” nuclear war between the U.S. and Russia would have 92 million
casualties . . . in just the first few hours. A full-scale nuclear war between
the two powers would kill 360 million people directly and more than 5 billion
more as a consequence of starvation because of supply-chain disruption and
reduced agricultural yields from soot created by firestorms, according to an August 2022 Nature Food study.
By
contrast, even the dire Nature Communications forecast, one of the most pessimistic estimates ever
published, found global warming would “cause 83 million excess deaths” globally
by the end of this century.
Less
extreme estimates of global warming’s worst-case death toll by the World Health
Organization estimate roughly 250,000 additional
deaths annually, with alleged increases of extreme weather and heat deaths
being the largest plausible vector.
Of
course, scientists and researchers in this field have a long track record of
predicting endless Armageddons, which never arrive. “A senior U.N.
environmental official says entire nations could be wiped off the face of the Earth
by rising sea levels if the global warming trend is not reversed by the year
2000,” the Associated Press wrote in 1989. “Coastal flooding and
crop failures would create an exodus of ‘eco-refugees,’ threatening political
chaos, said Noel Brown, director of the New York office of the U.N. Environment
Program, or UNEP. He said governments have a 10-year window of opportunity to
solve the greenhouse effect before it goes beyond human control.” Yet that
never stops them from making more dire predictions.
Activists
are even worse on this score. It has been over five years since infamous
environmental activist Greta Thunberg claimed on Twitter that scientists warned
“climate change will wipe out all of humanity unless we stop using fossil fuels
over the next five years.” Instead of correcting herself, Thunberg simply deleted the tweet and continued making
similar claims.
Meanwhile,
deaths from natural disasters and weather have dropped significantly, despite
environmentalists’ predictions and fear-mongering claims. Natural disasters
claimed just 373 American lives in 2023, according to the National Oceanic and
Atmospheric Administration. Those numbers are actually dramatically below the
30-year annual average of 580 natural-disaster and weather-related deaths, so
if anything such deaths are declining. And they are far below the number of
deaths even a modest nuclear exchange would likely cause.
Environmentalists
frequently use heat deaths to talk about the dangers of global warming, but a
warmer world might actually lower the number of deaths related to overheating.
In the U.S., hot cities such as Phoenix, Ariz., have the lowest
rates of heat-related mortality, while cooler cities in the Northeast have the highest rates. This is
because humans are adaptable and can change their behavior to handle changes in
the environment, something environmentalists sometimes pretend is impossible.
Even the scientific journal Nature, despite its obvious left-wing bias, admits that if global warming does increase the
frequency of heat waves, it would actually result in a reduced rate
of heat-related mortality because of human adaptability.
Environmentalists
have demanded for years that global warming be treated by the U.S. government
like a war, even claiming the Department of Defense’s budget should be
redirected toward fighting it. Biden even attempted to have global
warming treated as a
military threat.
“World
War III is well and truly underway. And we are losing,” Bill McKibben, described by
the Boston Globe as “probably America’s most important
environmentalist,” wrote in 2016. He elaborated later that year: “We have
things like the defense budget that need to be put to work defending us against
the most dangerous adversaries we face,” he said. He continued: “By all the
measures that we normally count as warfare, that’s what’s going on. We’re
losing territory day by day. People are being killed day by day in great
numbers. We’re at war, we’re just not fighting back, and the time has come to
do that, and it will take as the history of WWII shows, government leadership
to make that happen.”
Even
though McKibben thinks global warming is dangerous enough to require a
full-scale mobilization paid for by the U.S. defense budget, he apparently
doesn’t think it’s serious enough to use nuclear power or hydraulic fracturing,
the only technologies proven to actually cause substantial
reductions in carbon-dioxide emissions.
McKibben
is a useful stand-in for the extreme flank of environmentalist opinion. In the
2016 primary, he attacked Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton’s stance on energy
issues as not doing enough to prevent global warming, repeatedly criticizing
her for not banning fracking and supporting nuclear power. Under pressure from
such environmentalists, Clinton repeatedly
flip-flopped on
energy issues to win the Democratic nomination. Biden didn’t repeat Clinton’s
mistakes, so McKibben, and others, supported him. Biden returned the political favor to
environmentalists with $369 billion in global-warming spending in the so-called
Inflation Reduction Act.
It’s one
thing to be concerned about climate change. But to advocate war footing to
fight it, while downplaying the much greater consequences of a much deadlier
possible catastrophe to humanity, is a poor way to address either.
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