On
Wednesday morning the United States found itself managing two different crises
involving Jordan.
The domestic Jordan fiasco is more comic than tragic and
has nothing to do with the Middle East. Or almost nothing.
The
foreign Jordan fiasco is grave. It began when news outlets reported that an
Israeli airstrike had destroyed al-Ahli Baptist Hospital in Gaza, killing more
than 500 Palestinians. Global media was outraged by the bloodletting; by
evening, a crowd attempted to storm Israel’s embassy in the Kingdom of Jordan to
take retribution. The king promptly canceled a summit he’d planned to host
between Joe Biden and the leaders of Egypt and the Palestinian Authority, and
he denounced the airstrike as a “shame on humanity.”
In an
instant, a horrendous error had shifted the balance of diplomacy not just
abroad but here at home:
Biden is
visiting the Middle East this week to try to drum up support, by which I mean
“grudging acquiescence,” among Sunni powers for Israel’s coming ground campaign
against Hamas. The horror at the hospital left him suddenly stranded in that
effort without the (even more grudging) backing of his progressive wing in
Congress. “These unspeakable crimes must stop now,” Bernie Sanders declared in a statement after
the airstrike. “The bombs and missiles from both sides must end, massive
humanitarian aid must be rushed to Gaza, and the hostages must be returned to
their families.” It was a debacle for Israel.
As I
write this on Wednesday, it seems almost beside the point that every particular
of the original report appears to have been wrong. The hospital wasn’t struck,
its parking lot was. There are casualties, but photos circulating in the
aftermath suggest it’s nowhere near 500.
And it
wasn’t an Israeli missile that did the damage. It was, according to U.S. intelligence, a rocket fired by Palestinian
jihadists.
***
For
supporters of Israel who work in the media, writing about a hot war in which
the country is involved is like trying to get traction on a sheet of ice. I
remember it well from the conflict with Hezbollah in 2006: No matter how
strenuously you and your allies struggle to counterprogram propaganda with
truth, you’ll end up overwhelmed and feeling exasperated by how little your
efforts have accomplished.
People
who want to believe a lie won’t be talked out of it. We’ve had lots of
experience with that phenomenon here in the U.S. in the past few years, but in
matters involving Israel the task is an order of magnitude more difficult.
There are too many decades of bad blood, too many falsehoods entrenched in
global media, and frankly too much antisemitism to ever make much headway. It
may be that a lie can travel halfway around the world before the truth has its
boots on, as the saying goes, but lies never move with more velocity than when
Israel is at war.
The
apparent lie about the hospital bombing moved quickly enough to scuttle a major
regional summit. All the Israeli military could do in the aftermath was try to
embarrass those who had swallowed it by publishing the facts.
Hours
after the explosion, with the New York Times already
having carried forward Palestinian
allegations of Israeli responsibility, the Israeli Defense Forces alleged that the
blast had been caused by a rocket fired by Islamic Jihad that fell far short of its
target in Israel. Surveillance footage confirmed a large detonation
on the ground seconds after a barrage of rockets lifted off from Gaza. Later,
Israeli intelligence released what it claimed was audio of two Hamas operatives
admitting that the strike had come from their own side.
Daylight
brought photos and video recorded by Palestinian observers that
undercut the narrative further.
Damage
was plainly done but not on the scale you’d expect from an airdropped Israeli
bomb. There’s no rubble; the apparent impact crater isn’t much bigger than a person; the blast wave was weak enough
that the hospital’s chapel looks to have suffered nothing worse than broken windows. One analyst went through images of the scene meticulously, comparing them to photos of the
aftermath of Israeli air force airstrikes and Palestinian rocket detonations.
The scene at the hospital resembles the latter, further corroborating the
Israeli account of what happened.
As of
Wednesday morning, U.S. intelligence had arrived at the same conclusion. The evidence is strong enough that
Biden felt obliged to tell the Israeli press during his meeting with Benjamin
Netanyahu that the carnage at the hospital appears to have been caused by “the other team.”
The
Palestinian government in Gaza is run by Hamas, the same outfit that
perpetrated the worst pogrom since the Holocaust as recently as 11 days ago.
How is it that so many in the West uncritically accepted its word about what
happened at the hospital on Tuesday?
My
colleague Kevin Williamson will address that question tomorrow with respect to
our curiously credulous media. America’s press spends half its time lecturing
the unwashed for letting political prejudices numb them to misinformation, it
sometimes seems, and the other half failing to take its own advice. It sounds absurd, but I earnestly believe
this: Major American media organizations would be more diligent about
challenging a sensational claim made by the RNC than one made by Hamas.
Neither
of those organizations has any credibility at this point, granted. But if we’re
going to apply different levels of skepticism to the two, I’d say more is
warranted toward the one that’s actually murdering people, not the one that
merely turns a blind eye whenever its supreme leader hints that murder might be a good
idea.
For some
journalists, taking Hamas claims at face value may be a simple matter of
succumbing to peer pressure within the educated
social class to
which they belong and to which they cater. For others, the moral vehemence with
which both sides of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict prosecute their case might
be cowing them into “safe,” sludgy both-sides coverage that all but requires
gullibility toward Palestinian claims. If the goal is evenhandedness and one of
the two “hands” in question happens to belong to Hamas, some reporters will
conclude they have no choice but to give Hamas’ claims the same weight as the
Israeli government’s.
But we
shouldn’t underestimate how the logic of anti-colonialism might motivate the
West’s Hamas apologists inside the media just as it does those outside of it.
If “decolonization” can justify mass murder, it can certainly justify
repackaging mass death in a parking lot caused by friendly fire as an Israeli
atrocity. If it can justify days of devout dug-in skepticism over whether
Israeli infants were actually beheaded during Hamas’
rampage or “just” murdered, it can justify gulping down whatever swill the Hamas ministry of
information barfs up about a hospital in Gaza being attacked.
As David Frum tersely put it, “The instinct
to believe Hamas spokespeople is not an innocent mistake.”
Read
Kevin tomorrow. For now, the question is why Tlaib, Omar, and other beacons of
progress in Congress have yet to retreat from their initial credulity about
what happened.
***
The
speed with which Israel’s critics lunged at news of the bombing on Tuesday had
the air of someone gasping after having turned blue from holding his breath.
For 11 days, the Tlaibs and Omars of the left have been forced onto the
defensive by the horrors committed by Hamas. It’s an intensely uncomfortable
position for them, as the romance of being pro-Palestinian lies in the alleged
moral authority derived from their eternal victimhood.
On
October 7, the outfit that rules Gaza behaved so savagely against Israeli
civilians that that authority was momentarily lost. Palestinian sympathizers in
Congress and elsewhere could have resolved at that moment to draw a hard moral
line between Hamas and the Palestinian people, but that presented a problem for
them. The more they joined in the vilification of Hamas, the more justified an
Israeli incursion into—and eventual reoccupation of—Gaza would logically be.
So they
bit their lips, by and large. Occasionally one of them would pop up on
television, word-salad-ing her way through non-answers to questions about how
to keep Hamas from sporadically slaughtering Israelis absent military
intervention …
… but
mostly they kept their heads down and waited. They knew Israel would act and
that, once it did, there would eventually be some terrible scene of mass death.
The Hamas way of war guarantees it. When you co-opt civilian structures like
schools and hospitals for military purposes, when you warn civilians not to follow Israeli
orders to evacuate for safety’s sake, you’re looking to maximize the body count.
Dead Palestinians are Hamas’ best defense against Israeli military power: Hamas
can’t overcome the IDF in a fight, but it can make that fight sufficiently
morally painful for the other side that the IDF will be pressured into backing
off before it achieves its goal.
The
West’s Palestinian sympathizers could foil that strategy by placing the onus
for Palestinian casualties on Hamas rather than on Israel. But it’s unthinkable
that they would ally themselves with the “colonizers,” even situationally
toward the mutually beneficial end of freeing Gaza from Hamas’ grip. Especially
when that colonizer’s government is led by a figure in Benjamin Netanyahu who
supports Israeli settlements in the West Bank and whose view of political power
has taken a distinctly Trumpian turn of late.
So
instead they held their breath, waiting for Israel to miscalculate on the
battlefield and restore the sense of victimhood that the Palestinian side had
briefly lost. The hospital bombing appeared to deliver that. The order of the
moral universe between the two sides had been set right. The Israelis were
monsters too—the bigger monsters, even. Palestinian activists could exhale at last.
It must
have seemed like a cruel joke to them when evidence began to mount that, actually,
the monsters in this case were again jihadists, not the Israeli air force. It’s
hard for people to admit error under the best circumstances, but those who had
just recovered their moral authority after having lost it on October 7 weren’t
about to hand it over again. Which is why, as of Tuesday night, the best Tlaib
and Omar could do to answer that evidence was to tweet or retweet that people shouldn’t believe everything
the Israeli government tells them.
And why,
on Wednesday, when reporters confronted them with questions about
responsibility for the bombing, neither had anything to say.
And why,
as of Wednesday afternoon, Tlaib was still doubling down on
blaming Israel for the attack.
It’s
true that one shouldn’t believe everything the Israeli government says. All
governments lie. During war, when they’re under threat, they lie a lot.
Skepticism of government is healthy. But what Tlaib and Omar are offering is
the decidedly less healthy proposition of skepticism toward the Israelis paired
with unblinking credulity toward the terrorists on the other side. If taking
Hamas’ claims about the hospital bombing at face value, while dispensing with
all evidence to the contrary, isn’t pro-Hamas, what is it, precisely?
They’re
also asking us to care less when Palestinians slaughter Palestinians,
implicitly. Their colleague in Congress, Ritchie Torres, noticed that those who eagerly
condemned Israel initially for the deaths at the hospital have yet to condemn
the Islamic Jihad cell that apparently fired the fateful rocket. Saying that
there’s a moral difference between an accident and a deliberate attack is not
an answer: The rocket was designed to kill Israeli civilians, after all, before
it ended up killing Palestinian ones. Either way, the victims are casualties of
a terror campaign aimed at innocents.
Maybe
Tlaib and Omar feel it would be hypocritical for them to condemn a Palestinian
strike on a Palestinian hospital if they wouldn’t condemn a Palestinian strike
on an Israeli hospital. (Points for consistency, I guess.) To some activists,
the concept of “violence” is inextricable from victimhood; that’s why Hamas
stampeding through a kibbutz, killing everyone in sight, isn’t violence worth
condemning while a Hamas apologist failing to land a
job at a white-shoe law firm is.
“Rashida
Tlaib [has] more forcefully condemned Joe Biden over fake news than she has
condemned the perpetrators of the inhuman terrorist attack that started this
conflict,” Tim Miller wrote on Tuesday after Tlaib tweeted
about the hospital bombing. Right, but that’s consistent with the ethos of
violence and victimhood here. Violence is what’s done to the “powerless,” never
what the “powerless” do to others.
***
As of
Wednesday afternoon, nothing meaningful has changed in light of the revelations
about the true culprit in the hospital bombing. Tlaib and Omar continue to
defend the Larger Truth of Palestinian victimhood, even if the actual truth in
this incident cuts the other way. The summit in Jordan remains canceled, and I
suspect it is unlikely to be rescheduled. Jordan’s king might potentially be
persuaded that Israel was innocent in the hospital bombing, but many of his subjects
won’t be—and leaders fear antagonizing a radicalized constituency when it’s
inflamed. We have some recent experience with that phenomenon too here in the
U.S.
What
also hasn’t changed are progressive demands for an immediate
ceasefire.
They
strike me as completely unserious, if not functionally pro-Hamas under the
circumstances. To leave the perpetrators of the October 7 pogrom in place and
unpunished is to invite them to do it again. It’s a nonstarter. Worse, to treat
mass Palestinian casualties of the sort that happened at the hospital as cause
for a ceasefire—knowing that a Palestinian outfit was likely
responsible—is to incentivize more mass-casualty events. If lunatics like Hamas
and Islamic Jihad can goose their Western apologists to pressure Israel to
stand down simply by murdering a bunch of their own people, they have a very
good reason to murder a bunch of their own people.
The next
rocket attack at a hospital might not be accidental given the hideously
credulous response to this one. People are quite likely to die because of this
propaganda effort and its enablers, I fear. nd, per the agitation outside the
Israeli embassy on Tuesday in Jordan, not all will be Palestinian.
For now, I’m looking forward to returning to the more comic Jordan that’s been in the news lately, the one that has nothing to do with Hamas, Rashida Tlaib, or Ilhan Omar. Well, almost nothing.
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