By Noah Rothman
Wednesday, September
29, 2021
In August 2020, President Donald Trump
told reporters that the United States would draw down its forces in Afghanistan
precipitously ahead of Election Day. At the time, around 8,500 were deployed to the region—roughly the same troop levels Trump
inherited from his predecessor. The former administration made good on its
promise. In November 2020, U.S. troop levels in Afghanistan had been reduced to
about 5,000. By January, on the eve of Joe Biden’s inauguration, the U.S. had drawn
its presence to just 2,500.
Donald Trump wanted out of Afghanistan,
and his administration was committed to executing his vision with imprudent
alacrity. The Biden administration has repeatedly reminded the public of this
truth in its contradictory efforts to shift blame for the president’s long-sought
accomplishment—getting out of Afghanistan altogether—away from the president.
Yet, as Joint Chiefs Chairman Mark Milley testified before Congress on Tuesday,
the situation in Afghanistan could have gone south earlier than it did. In
November of last year, Milley acknowledged receiving a signed order from Trump
directing the military to withdraw fully from Afghanistan before Biden’s
inauguration day. Mercifully, the president was talked out of it. “After
further discussions,” he said, “the order was rescinded.”
Thus, a misleading narrative by the Biden
administration met a deservedly ignominious end. Joe Biden and his allies have
repeatedly insisted that America’s drawdown in Afghanistan was not of his
making. His predecessor had made a “commitment,” Biden contended. To reverse course would jeopardize American lives.
But Joe Biden had every opportunity to avoid the catastrophe his preferred
policies have unleashed, just as his predecessor had.
It is a matter of public record that the
president was repeatedly advised to back off his self-set terms for America’s
full withdrawal from Afghanistan. In August, the New York Times reported that Gen. Milley recommended that Biden not only preserve
the existing number of U.S. troops in Afghanistan but augment American forces
by as much as 2,000 soldiers. In February, a congressionally
appointed panel publicly recommended that Biden
ditch the Trump administration’s May 1 deadline (which the administration
subsequently did) and increase troop levels to 4,500.
In March, both Gen. Milley and Defense
Sec. Lloyd Austin, formerly the commanding general of U.S. forces in Iraq,
implored the president to rethink his withdrawal schedule, citing the
increasingly “dire outcomes” America’s military brass were forecasting. “But the president was
unmoved,” the Times reported. As late as June, according
to Wall Street
Journal reporting recently confirmed by Politico, the Pentagon briefly halted the inexplicable decision to abandon the
pivotal Bagram Airbase to allow the president and his advisers to reassess
their disastrous strategy. But Biden did no reassessing.
In a July interview with ABC News anchor
George Stephanopoulos, Biden was repeatedly pressed to explain the pace of the
drawdown and account for the public reporting suggesting his own appointees
advised against it. “They didn’t tell you that they wanted troops to
stay?” Stephanopoulos
asked. “No,” Biden replied. “Not in terms of
whether we were going to get out in a timeframe all troops. They didn’t argue
against that.” Incredulously, the anchor asked the same question again;
specifically, that no one advised Biden to maintain at least 2,500 troops in
theater. “No,” Biden said. “No one said that to me that I can recall.”
That was not true. Biden’s definitive
denials suggest that he absolutely could recall the conversations he had with
his military and civilian advisers prior to the debacle this administration
engineered in Afghanistan. Whether the Pentagon initiated the plan, as Biden’s
civilian advisers contend, or his political and diplomatic strategists were its
biggest boosters remains the subject of an ongoing congressional inquiry. But
we don’t need an investigation to know that Joe Biden was its executor.
The Biden administration has sought refuge
from the political whirlwind they unleashed with their haphazard Afghanistan
strategy in the idea that the plan was unalterable and imposed on them by the
last administration. That is false. This tragedy was perfectly evitable, and
opportunities to reverse course and prevent the worst outcomes regularly
presented themselves. Joe Biden ignored them, pursued his own objectives, and
unleashed an ongoing crisis in which American citizens, permanent residents,
and visa holders were betrayed and left stranded in Central Asia behind Taliban
lines. That
much we now know for sure.
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