By David French
Friday, March 08, 2019
Last week I kicked a hornet’s nest on Twitter. Tired of
the Trumpist tendency to write off the conservative movement as a failure that
didn’t “conserve anything” — and of the tendency to denigrate the
accomplishments of prior GOP presidents — I sent out a tweet:
I appreciate Trump’s pro-life actions, but he can’t yet
match GWB. Bush:
1) Signed 2002 born-alive act
2) Signed 2003 partial-birth abortion ban
3) Appointed 330 lower-court judges
4) Appointed 2 SCOTUS justices who have pro-life records
5) Reinstated Mexico City policy.
The reaction was entirely predictable: How dare you praise George W. Bush? Don’t
you know he was the big-government “conservative” who ensnared us in endless
wars? There was little acknowledgment that the list above was real, it
mattered, and it continues to matter. The new narrative must be preserved, and
the new narrative tells us that Trump taught a failed movement how to fight.
But that’s simply wrong. Even just in the years since the
end of the Reagan administration, the conservative movement’s impact on
American law and culture has been immense. And when it has failed, it hasn’t
been for lack of effort. So, what has conservatism conserved? Let’s go down the
list, beginning with the most important issue: the right to life.
Any analysis of abortion rights in America begins of
course with profound loss and disappointment. The Supreme Court decided Roe before the modern conservative
movement began, in a very different American political and cultural
environment. How different? The Southern Baptist Convention supported abortion
rights at the time. There was no meaningful “religious Right,” and the
originalist judicial revolution instigated and sustained principally by the
Federalist Society was years away. Even after the Federalist Society was
founded in 1982, it took at least one full generation to cultivate the
conservative judicial talents who now sit on courts from coast to coast.
But since the pro-life movement got organized, and since
religious conservatism became a true force in American politics, the results
have been astonishing. Indeed, the pro-life movement has to a large degree all
by itself refuted the Left’s “arc of history” argument — the assertion that
culture will move inexorably in the direction of so-called social justice.
As the pro-abortion-rights Guttmacher Institute reported
in 2016 (when the conservative movement had allegedly forgotten how to win),
since Roe, states had enacted an
impressive 1,074 different abortion restrictions. More than a quarter of those
restrictions had been enacted in just the previous five years — “more than any
other single five-year period since Roe.”
Of course, even the laws above would represent hollow
victories if the American abortion rate had continued to grow. That would
indicate that the pro-life movement was winning the politics but losing the
culture. Yet here the picture is improving substantially as well. While there
are still far too many abortions in the United States, decreases in the
abortion rate have added up to millions of lives saved, and in January 2017
(before Trump took office), the abortion rate fell to its lowest level since Roe.
No, the pro-life movement hasn’t won. Yes, there have
been profound disappointments. But it is winning.
From virtually nothing — with the entire media, academic, and pop culture
establishments pitted against it — it has accomplished heroic things.
Now, let’s move on to gun rights. Here, the story of the
conservative movement is the story of a thorough, sustained rout of the legal
and cultural Left. In 2017, my colleague Charlie Cooke published this
chart showing the transformation of American gun laws from coast to coast
since 1986. It’s fascinating.
In 1986, 41 states were “no issue” or “may issue,”
meaning either they did not grant concealed-carry permits at all or they
required citizens to petition the government for permission to carry and show
reasons for their request, at which point government officials exercised their
judgment in determining whether to grant the request. By 2017, there were zero
“no issue” states, and 42 states were either “shall issue” (where the
government is obliged to grant a permit to those who request one and meet
certain basic requirements) or “constitutional carry” (where concealed carry is
allowed without a permit).
Moreover, just in the new century, the federal
assault-weapons ban has been allowed to lapse. The Supreme Court has recognized
the plain constitutional truth that the Second Amendment protects an individual
right and has extended that right to the states through the 14th Amendment. And
all this has happened as American crime rates have fallen from their terrible highs early in the Clinton
administration.
I can keep going. I will keep going. Let’s talk for a
moment about a topic that’s near and dear to American hearts: education. The
cornerstone of the conservative approach to school reform is school choice —
introducing competition to the public-school monopoly and granting parents more
power over the education of their children. From home-schooling to
private-school-choice programs to the explosive growth of charter schools, the
school-choice movement has in just a few decades grown into a juggernaut that
helps millions of families each year.
Last year, a half-million students were enrolled in
private-school-choice programs, an increase of 45,000 over the year before. The
first charter school opened in 1992. By the turn of the century, 400,000
students attended charter schools. By 2015, that number had hit 2.8 million. As
for home-schooling? I’d call this growth:
It’s worth repeating, these numbers represent lives (and
families) transformed through patient, persistent, and often-courageous legal,
political, and cultural engagement.
Now let’s talk about individual liberty. In addition to
the Second Amendment protections outlined above, modern courts — shaped by the
conservative movement well before Trump’s recent, excellent appointees — have
expanded the scope of First Amendment protections and have doubled down on
protecting the fundamental freedoms in the Bill of Rights.
Not only has the Supreme Court protected free speech and
religious liberty (some key decisions have been 9–0), lower courts have
relentlessly struck down college speech codes and have protected due-process
rights in cases from coast to coast. Groups such as the Institute for Justice
and the Goldwater Institute have fought in court for economic liberty, winning
significant victories for struggling entrepreneurs and weakening
occupational-licensing laws that limit economic advancement. Not even to mention
the vibrant right-to-work movement, which has sparked faster economic growth
and greater increases in real purchasing power in the states that have embraced
it.
Then there’s foreign policy, the arena where traditional
conservatives face the most scorn from Trumpists. Has there ever been a
great-power conflict whose end was handled as deftly as the Cold War’s? And as
for all the hate piled on George W. Bush, his critics ignore two huge
accomplishments: a foreign-aid program to combat AIDS in Africa that may be one
of the most life-saving foreign-policy initiatives in all of human history, and
an effective post-9/11 defense of America from large-scale jihadist attack.
At the same time, American global leadership has helped
safeguard free trade and sustain a world economy that is steadily obliterating
absolute poverty. Yes, there have been American failures, but these successes
are of world-historic importance.
Let’s deal with national politics. One of the most absurd
contentions in all of modern political discourse is the idea that the
Washington GOP “didn’t stand up to Obama.” Hogwash. If the GOP rolled over,
where is the carbon tax? Where is a new assault-weapons ban? Where is card
check? Where’s the Employment Nondiscrimination Act? Where’s Democratic
immigration reform? Where’s Justice Merrick Garland?
We forget the extent to which the GOP House helped impose
fiscal discipline on the Obama White House as well. After the extravagant
deficits of the early Obama years (when he briefly held a filibuster-proof
majority and enacted a massive stimulus package), the deficit declined to well
less than half its Obama-era peak. The claim that the GOP before Trump failed
at fiscal discipline is laughable in any case, because the GOP under Trump is
already pushing the deficit close to early-Obama levels in a time of peace and prosperity.
Finally, lest we think that the Obama elections marked
the GOP as the party of “losers,” we should remember that Obama presided over
the electoral collapse of Democrats across the United States. By 2016, before
Trump’s election, the Democratic party was near its lowest ebb in almost a
century. In fact, that string of losses was part of the reason for the string
of state and local conservative successes outlined above.
There is no question that since the Reagan era
conservatives have suffered significant defeats. Just as we’ve made cultural
gains in life, we’ve suffered profound cultural losses as well. When it’s verboten in key cultural institutions to
argue that men can’t get pregnant — or when you’re presumed to be a bigot
merely because you hold to orthodox Christian beliefs about sexual morality —
you know that the Left has made its share of gains. Conservatives have real
work to do to in the effort to restore an American marriage culture, a project
that’s indispensable in preventing the deaths of despair that are destroying
American families and communities. The failure to repeal Obamacare was deeply
disappointing, and we’re now waking up to the reality that the rank-and-file Republican
voter is far less fiscally conservative than many members of the conservative
elite hoped. This populist moment most assuredly does not feature much fiscal
restraint.
But these defeats do not change the facts about
considerable and consequential conservative victories. Moreover, denying those
victories (especially for the sake of propping up a single politician) does
real damage to our body politic. It deepens Republican fear and hopelessness.
It makes voters more vulnerable to grifters and conmen, and it places too much
importance on the race for the presidency.
How did two generations of conservative activists win
their battles? Not always (or even principally) through the presidency, but
through the patient, persistent work of faithful cultural and political
advocacy. We can’t ignore defeats, and we can’t grow complacent in the arenas
where we’ve competed and won. But as we ponder the present and future of the
conservative movement, it’s time to tell the truth about its recent past. What has
conservatism conserved? It’s conserved life, liberty, and prosperity. That
makes it one of the most consequential and successful movements in American
history, whatever its detractors might claim.
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