By Jonah Goldberg
Friday, January 12, 2018
As the sh**hole continues to hit the fan, I find myself
in one of those moods where I think everyone, on the right and left, is arguing
about the wrong things. Lest folks think I’m dodging the issues that they all
seem desperate to debate, I’ll address a bunch of them before I make my case.
Let’s start with the question of Donald Trump’s racism. I
find the competition to be most offended by the offensiveness of President
Trump’s fecal-crater comments to be more than a little tedious.
Don’t get me wrong: I think they were offensive and, yes,
racist. But that, to me, is the least interesting aspect of this episode of The Trump Show. Many liberals seem to
think that if they can just prove Donald Trump is racist, The Trump Show will be cancelled. But it doesn’t work that way, not
least because — all evidence to the contrary — we are not living in a
reality-TV universe. Also, Trump’s bridge-and-tunnel–style bigotry, utterly
familiar to anyone who grew up in New York City, has been obvious for a long
time.
No, he’s not a Klansman. The pillowcases at Mar-a-Lago don’t
have eyeholes cut out of them. But Trump is a man of deeply held prejudices, a
glandular decision-maker who famously thinks his instincts are more dispositive
than any expert’s judgment or any rational argument. His bigotry isn’t the
biological racism of Woodrow Wilson, but of a midtown-Manhattan doorman from
Queens who gives the Nigerian deliveryman a harder time than he deserves.
Vox Deplorable
Then there’s the conservative response, or rather
responses. For the Trump faithful, this incident is just more proof that Trump
tells it like it is and that he isn’t politically correct. The real outrage to
them — per usual — is the hypocrisy of people who are outraged. Thus the waves
of whataboutist fury crashing every few minutes on Twitter.
Biden: It’s a big F—ing deal.
Oh wait, he said when he was in
office. Media didn’t care.
— Dan Gainor (@dangainor) January
12, 2018
In some cases, the “real story” is that Trump’s critics
are unpatriotic:
Anyone notice something?
All those members of the “elite”
hysterical over @realDonaldTrump’s harsh – but factual – comment about other
countries, are those most willing to disparage America, the GREATEST nation
that has ever existed.
#MAGA pic.twitter.com/cmD5LxQ2d7
— Sebastian Gorka DrG (@SebGorka)
January 12, 2018
And, of course, What
about Hillary!?
Wow this is Really really
important. Let’s just forget about that
Clinton-FBI collusion stuff
— Patriot Games (@NotTooOld1)
January 12, 2018
The “What About Biden” talking point is lamer than a
three-legged horse. I agree that Biden got ridiculously favorable press
coverage because many reporters saw him as the wacky, lovable uncle who forgets
to take off his pajamas and shouts crazy stuff into the turkey hole at
Thanksgiving dinner. But Biden’s F-bomb got enormous press coverage. It was
also decried by legions of conservatives, many of whom have suddenly changed
their views of profanity. Is the argument really that Joe frickn’ Biden gets to
define acceptable language now? Lastly, Biden wasn’t disparaging anyone. Saying
something is a “big f***ing deal” and insulting millions of people are
different things, even if both involve profanity.
Then there’s the old standby that this is just Trump being
Trump, and we must all respect the fact that he’s the authentic oracle of his people. Here’s Jesse Watters last
night on The Five:
“This is how the forgotten men and
women of America talk at the bar,” Watters told his co-hosts.
“If you’re at a bar, and you’re in
Wisconsin, and you think they’re bringing in a bunch of Haiti people, or El
Salvadorians, or people from Niger, this is how some people talk,” he said.
“Is it graceful? No,” he added. “Is
it polite or delicate? Absolutely not. Is it a little offensive? Of course it
is. But you know what? This doesn’t move the needle at all.”
“This is who Trump is . . . and if
he offends some people, fine,” Watters concluded.
I think this is largely true. It’s also a pathetic
defense. Donald Trump isn’t the president of “forgotten” white men in bars.
He’s the president of the United States of America. Which means he’s the
president of Haitian Americans and Nigerian Americans and, well, African
Americans. Saying we should deport a blanket category of Americans because they
came from the wrong countries is grotesquely simplistic. (He’s also in charge
of conducting foreign policy, and there is no way to spin this as anything but
a colossal act of unforced dick-stepping.)
This argument sets a profoundly pernicious precedent. The
idea that anything the president says can be justified by simply asserting that
he’s speaking in the authentic voice of his base is an argument no conservative
would dream of making under an Elizabeth Warren presidency. Lending credence to
it is not only politically myopic, but it lends support to the centrifugal
forces tearing this country apart. It is the type of thinking I associate with
“sh**hole” countries — to borrow a phrase. In many third-world countries,
tribes and other factions vie to gain power and then reward only their team.
That is contrary to virtually everything good and noble about our
constitutional system.
Authentic
Asininity
This defense is of a piece with the putrid moral relativism
coursing through conservatism these days. The other day, Jerry Falwell, the
Bishop of Hereford of the Trump administration, tweeted:
Complaining about the temperament
of the @POTUS or saying his behavior is not presidential is no longer relevant.
@realDonaldTrump has single-handedly changed the definition of what behavior is
“presidential” from phony, failed & rehearsed to authentic, successful
& down to earth
— Jerry Falwell (@JerryFalwellJr)
January 10, 2018
I could write a whole “news”letter on the problems with
this effort to define deviancy down. Too much can be invested in the idea of
“presidentialness.” But a normal, traditional, conservative understanding of the term involves being
well-mannered, temperate, decent, and mindful of the dignity of the office. It
is, in short, an ideal of leadership and good character (as Jim Geraghty
discusses well today). Falwell, in a riot of sycophantic sophistry, not only
wants to argue that whatever a president does is presidential but also seeks to
elevate the idea that authenticity is its own reward. This is contrary to vast
swathes of conservative and Christian
thought. A person can be authentically evil, crude, bigoted, or asinine. That
is not a defense of any of those things. I’m no expert, but my understanding of
Christianity is that behavior is supposed to be informed by more than one’s
“authentic” feelings and instincts. Satan is nothing if not authentic.
As I write at length in my forthcoming book, this
society-wide romantic obsession with authenticity — not just among Trump
supporters, but across the left and much of the right — is a deeply corrupting
force. But let’s stay on topic.
The White House’s initial statement — which didn’t deny
the sh**hole report — says in part, “Certain Washington politicians choose to
fight for foreign countries, but President Trump will always fight for the
American people.” Put aside the blasé and unsubstantiated insinuation of
unpatriotic motives to critics and the political class generally. The upshot of
this claim is that calling scores of nations — many of which are our allies —
“sh**holes” is really a form of fighting for the American people. If that were
true, virtually any crude insult would be just another example of
“presidential” heroism. Count me out of that idiotic argument.
Distinctions
Matter
Finally, some serious conservatives have tried to make
the case that there’s a legitimate argument behind the great “sh**holes versus
Norway” distinction. My friend and colleague Rich Lowry made a manful effort in
this regard Thursday night. He conceded that the remark was offensive and
ill-advised, but quickly pivoted to the fact that the “freak out” over this
incident betrays a refusal to deal with the realities of the world in general
and immigration generally. We should be able to distinguish sh**holes from
shinolaholes, as it were.
On the merits, I think Rich largely came out the winner,
though I have my disagreements. For instance, I think there’s much to recommend
a skills-based system of immigration. But a skills-based system wouldn’t bar
all Africans or Haitians from immigrating to America. Unfortunately, it’s not
at all clear that the president doesn’t think “skills-based” isn’t a euphemism
for “white people.” Donald Trump is worried that Nigerian immigrants won’t “go
back to their huts.” Maybe that’s because Nigerian
immigrants are better
educated than the average American.
But yes, I would rather live in Norway than Haiti. Yes,
some African countries are, as Rich says, “basket-cases.” And yes, Ben Shapiro
is right when he says:
We should all be able to agree to
two basic propositions:
(1) It is inarguable that some
countries are crappy.
(2) It is bigotry to suggest that
all people who want to immigrate from those countries to America are crappy.
— Ben Shapiro (@benshapiro) January
12, 2018
The problem with being forced to make these arguments in
defense of Trump is the risk of having people think that, when you pull off the
mask of intelligent conservatism, all that lies underneath is the face of
Trumpism. Trump is unaware of the sophisticated arguments for many of his
positions. Why so many conservatives feel compelled to say “What he really
means is X” is often unfathomable to me.
The Real Issue(s)
If anyone is still with me, let me now turn to what I
think is the real significance of all this. It’s not immigration or racism or
profanity; it’s Donald Trump and what he is doing to the country and his party.
Remember how this week unfolded. A few days ago, in the
wake of the Michael Wolff book, there was an at times hysterical national debate
over whether Trump was mentally unfit for office. Then Trump held a meeting on
camera for 52 minutes, in which he managed to remember everyone’s name (thank
you, nameplates!). He was sociable, polite, and rational. The fact that many
are arguing that being able to demonstrate these qualities for just shy of an
hour constitutes a brilliant political masterstroke is one of the great
examples in modern memory of lowering the bar to just off the ground.
But while the optics of the meeting were good, the substance
was little better than a train wreck. The president revealed that he
understands remarkably little about the signature issue of his campaign (listen
to The Editors’ latest podcast for
the best dissection of this whole Very Special Episode of The Trump Show). In the meeting, Trump said things that had Ann
Coulter figuratively punting her cat across the room.
That’s all ancient history in our hyper-accelerated news
cycle, but the important point isn’t that Trump proved his mental competency;
it’s that he proved, once again, that he lives solely in the moment. The arrow
of his compass doesn’t point to true north, but at him.
Guys at the bar in Wisconsin may — or may not — love the
way he talks. But most Americans don’t. His biggest fans may think he’s a Sun
Tzu–reading chess master, but, for a majority of Americans, he’s a pilot who
talks a big game but doesn’t really know how to fly. He’s winging it.
Indeed, the furor over the meeting — and now the shadow
of the sh**hole — eclipsed another perfect example of Trump’s free-floating
conception of his interests. His administration has been working for months to
get the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act (FISA) renewed. But all it took
was a libertarian stem-winder by Judge Andrew Napolitano on Fox and Friends to have the president
flip positions on the issue. For 90 minutes, the White House and Congress were
thrown into chaos because of a tweet belched out from the contextless void of
presidential “executive time.”
I have no desire to try to persuade the Resistance types
about anything. And I am under no illusions that anything I can say will
persuade the Trump cheerleaders. But, when it comes to the broad cross-section
of reasonable conservatives, I still feel compelled to act like Chief Brody in Jaws 2, yelling at the town council that
we have a shark problem.
Every day, I hear people on Fox or Fox Business arguing
that economic growth will compensate for the tweeting and all the other drama.
There’s zero evidence for this in the polls. Trump gets a lot of credit for the
economy, and confidence in the economy itself is very high. The latest
Quinnipiac poll has 66 percent of the country feeling that the economy is “good
or excellent.” It also shows that 66 percent of the country believes that Trump
has damaged America’s reputation around the world (this was before the sh**hole comment). It also
finds:
• 67 percent disapprove of Trump
• 75 percent say he does not share their values
• 81 percent feel Trump isn’t level-headed
• 72 percent believe he isn’t honest
• 69 percent say Trump doesn’t care about average
Americans
Republicans have bet that James Carville was right and
that the logic of “it’s the economy, stupid” will vanquish all obstacles. But
this has never been an Iron Law of Politics. Not long ago, conservatives
understood this. We used to mock the weak-tea Marxism of “What’s the Matter
with Kansas?” arguments that held economic interests were the only valid reason
to support a party or politician. Now, economic determinism is the story
Republicans tell themselves as they white-knuckle it through the night.
It’s certainly possible that 4 or 5 percent economic
growth will rally more support. But every time we have one of these moments —
when parents have to turn off the news because they don’t want their kids to
hear what the president said or did — it makes economic growth matter less. As
I’ve been saying for over a year, the real base or key constituency of the
Republican party is suburban, college-educated families. They surely like lower
taxes and economic growth. But they also like being able to say they support a
Republican president without being embarrassed. As we saw in Alabama, all that
is required for Democrats to win is for those people not to show up — and that
was in Alabama.
Of course, this is unbridled speculation, but I would
wager that the sh**hole controversy alone is worth about $171 billion in GDP
growth. That’s 1 percent of GDP. What I mean is, every time we have one of
these crazy episodes, the need for more economic growth to compensate
increases.
But forget about 2018 or even 2020. The long-term threat
to conservatism and, by extension, the GOP is profound. Young people — the
largest voting bloc now — are utterly turned off to the Republican party. That
doesn’t make them right, but that’s irrelevant. Their opinions are hardening
every single day, even as old white people shuttle off this mortal coil.
Maybe there’s a deep and principled argument to make in
favor of Trump’s sh**holish gaffes. But very few people outside the ranks of
the converted want to hear it. All they hear are defenses of, or deflections
from, the issues that arouse their passion. When conservatives and Republicans
rush to defend Trump’s indefensible actions, all they are doing is convincing
more people that “Trumpism” isn’t confined to Trump. That damage won’t be
erased by another record stock-market closing or an uptick in the GDP numbers.
It will outlive The Trump Show for
generations.
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