By Nick Catoggio
Wednesday, January 10, 2024
On
Tuesday, Donald Trump’s lawyer suggested to three federal judges that if a
president ordered an arm of the U.S. government to assassinate a political
rival, that president probably shouldn’t face criminal consequences for it.
Add
that to the ever-unspooling list of “things I can’t believe we’ve actually had
to talk about since 2016,” as one of my editors said this morning. To make
matters more absurd, Trump was sitting right there in the courtroom when his
attorney, D. John Sauer, said it.
The
occasion was an appellate
hearing on Trump’s claim of absolute immunity for his conduct
surrounding January 6. He can’t be prosecuted for “official acts” taken in the
course of his presidential duties, Sauer insisted, touching off a predictable
debate over the potential absurdities of such an argument. Anything a
president does that can kinda sorta be characterized as “official” is above the
law? Selling pardons? Droning American citizens? Staging a coup in the name of
protecting “election integrity”? Anything?
Yep,
said Sauer—unless Congress impeaches and removes him from office
over his actions. Then he can be prosecuted.
He
based that argument on a deliberate misreading of Article I,
Section 3, Clause 7 of the Constitution. As George Conway explained
in The Atlantic, the point of that provision is simply to make
clear that double jeopardy doesn’t apply to impeachment. Corrupt officials
who’ve been removed by the Senate can also be prosecuted for the underlying
misconduct. From that logic Sauer drew a twisted inference, though: If a
corrupt official hasn’t been removed by the Senate then
he can’t be prosecuted, at least not for official acts.
Which
led to this exchange, destined to be memorialized for posterity in a special
wing of the Donald J. Trump Presidential Library and Casino:
In
other words, whether Biden could eventually be charged with murder for having
the CIA kill Trump would depend entirely on whether our Democratic-run Senate
could find 67 votes for removal. Huh.
There’s
a lot to say about that, starting with the fact that it means Sauer’s notion of
“absolute immunity” is, uh, not absolute. And that’s no minor contradiction:
Per Conway, if the point of immunity is to shield a political actor like the
president from criminal liability for discretionary decisions he made in
office, it seems strange to grant the power to remove that shield to an
institution as nakedly political itself as Congress.
But
what else could Sauer have argued, realistically? He’s not stupid. He was
trapped, as so many others have been, by the impossible choices and civic
deformities caused by Trump’s somehow still-not-concluded political journey.
***
There
is, I think, both more and less to yesterday’s “SEAL Team Six” exchange than
meets the eye. If all you knew of it were the breathless headlines
afterward—WOULD-BE DICTATOR CLAIMS POWER TO KILL WITH IMPUNITY—you wouldn’t be
well informed about what had happened and why.
As
one of my colleagues pointed out in the Dispatch Slack
channel, both sides were forced to make uncomfortable logical concessions
during the hearing, not just Trump’s. There was no disagreement between the
parties, for instance, that former presidents can’t be prosecuted for most “official
acts” taken in office. The dispute boiled down to whether all “official
acts” should be immune, as Team Trump insists, or whether certain decisions
made in the president’s discretion might fall outside the scope of immunity due
to sheer awfulness, as special counsel Jack Smith and his team maintains.
That’s
trickier than it might seem. Imagine that a president ordered the deaths of a
number of American citizens abroad, which happens not
to be hypothetical. Imagine further that he made his decision based on
embarrassingly thin intelligence and without meaningful deliberation. Should he
be immune from criminal consequences for an avoidable massacre simply because
his order to the military was, unquestionably, an “official act”?
We
don’t want the president looking over his shoulder when he has to make
life-and-death decisions, fearful that he’ll face charges if he chooses poorly
in good faith. But we don’t want him feeling free to be as negligent as he
might prefer either, just in case he happens to be a narcissistic sociopath.
Ahem.
To
use another wild, not-so-hypothetical example, what if the president were
convinced that a national election had been rigged against him, yet his top
deputies at the Justice Department weren’t pursuing the matter zealously? What
if he resolved to replace the acting attorney general with a lawyer who was zealous
about the matter and willing to open criminal investigations that cast doubt on
the results?
Appointing
a new head of the Justice Department is as official as presidential “official
acts” get. Was that decision so beyond the pale that the president shouldn’t
enjoy his customary immunity for acting officially, within his discretion?
It’s
not clear where Smith’s team would ultimately draw the line on shielding the
president from criminal liability if he wields state power in an unusually
outrageous but quasi-“official” way. “Let the courts draw that line, decision
by decision, years after the fact” is an unsatisfying standard.
***
There
was also less than meets the eye to Sauer’s “SEAL Team Six” response.
To
read the headlines, you might assume that he raised that possibility at Trump’s
behest, hoping to have the court preemptively bless some sort of killing spree
his client is planning upon returning to the presidency. But Sauer didn’t raise
it. The court did. And he didn’t make the argument he made (I hope) because
he’s keen to see presidents granted all but total legal immunity when abusing
their powers. He made it because, as embarrassing as it was, it was the only
logical avenue available to him.
On
the one hand, he had to argue for extremely broad presidential immunity for
“official acts.” That’s the only way he can get Trump off the hook for trying
to overturn the election. On the other hand, he doubtless recognized that no
court will ever endorse a rule as insane as blanket immunity for anything
“official” that a president does in office, up to and including murder.
So
Sauer landed on a compromise of sorts between impunity and accountability: The
president’s immunity is almost absolute, the exception being
if Congress impeaches and removes him.
Which
is stupid. But when Donald Trump is your client, having to defend the
indefensible will inevitably lead to stupid arguments.
Consider
just how stupid this one is. Under Sauer’s scheme, “a criminal president could
simply resign [before he’s impeached and removed] to receive an instant
get-out-of-jail-free card,” Slate’s Jeremy
Stahl wrote. “Or, if a president’s criminal conduct happened as he was
leaving office and there was no time to impeach and convict, he would also get
off scot-free. Further, if criminal conduct were only uncovered after a
president’s term had ended and he had left office, there would be no way to
hold him accountable.”
All
of that could be fixed by members of Congress deciding that the president can
be impeached and convicted after he’s left office. But as we learned the hard
way in 2021, senators don’t like that idea.
We
can make things more absurd. What if, facing a removal vote in the Senate, the
president ordered government agents to start bumping
off senators prepared to vote against him? “That would never happen.
Those agents would refuse,” you might say. Hopefully! But if that same
president intended to purge
the federal bureaucracy and restaff it with cronies loyal only to him
and his authoritarian vision, who’s to say?
Who’s
to say he wouldn’t merrily abuse his pardon power to indemnify any agents who
committed federal crimes on his behalf, assuming that the Justice Department
run by his toadies even made any effort to prosecute them?
These
are outlandish scenarios, but Sauer’s scheme falls apart even under less
outlandish ones. Given the capitulation of cowardly Republican leaders to Trump
and his feral populist base over the last eight years, it’s preposterous to
make criminal accountability for the president contingent on Congress mustering
the courage to impeach and remove him. I’m convinced that Trump’s fanciful
point in 2016 about shooting
someone on Fifth Avenue has become prophetic in hindsight. If he uses
government power to persecute his political enemies in his next term, I’d
expect congressional Republicans to contrive excuses for why his actions are
justified rather than move against him.
To
fully grasp how feeble Sauer’s immunity argument is, watch this clip from
Trump’s Senate impeachment trial in 2021. In that case, one of his attorneys
resorted to arguing that the Senate should feel free to acquit Trump precisely
because he isn’t immune from criminal prosecution later. Why,
it says so right there in Article I, Section 3, Clause 7 of the Constitution:
As
a wise
man once observed, it’s curious how the former president’s defenders are
forever changing their minds about which institution is the proper one to hold
him accountable. When he’s being impeached, they say the courts should handle
it. When the courts try to handle it, they say the voters should handle it.
When the voters handle it by beating him at the polls, they say the election
was rigged.
That’s
the sort of logic in which Sauer found himself trapped yesterday. Because
Trump’s conduct is so hard to defend on the merits, and because there’s so
much of it to defend, his advocates are forever forced to argue for
total impunity as a rule. Either he enjoys “absolute immunity” by dint of his
presidential tenure or every institution that attempts to reckon with him is
somehow illegitimate and unfit to pass judgment on him.
So
the hype over yesterday’s “SEAL Team Six” exchange is a little overblown as a
harbinger of second-term doom. But not entirely.
***
After
Trump was impeached the first time in 2020, Republican Sen. Susan Collins was
asked to justify her vote to acquit him. “I believe that the president has
learned from this case,” she said,
infamously, during an interview. “The president has been impeached. That’s a
pretty big lesson.”
She
was justly mocked for that, but she wasn’t wrong. Trump does learn lessons from
his scandals. The lesson he learned from that one is that Senate Republicans
are so terrified of antagonizing the party’s base by challenging his grip on
power that he could do anything he liked as president going forward, no matter
how corrupt, and they wouldn’t dare remove him from office for it.
A
year later, we saw him act on that lesson. He turned out to be right: Having
done the most irresponsible thing a president has ever done, at least outside
the domain of policy, he still didn’t come within spitting distance of being
convicted by the Senate.
In
a piece
at The New Republic, Greg Sargent wonders what sort of lessons
a guy with autocratic ambitions might draw from a ruling in his favor finding
that presidents do indeed enjoy absolute immunity for anything resembling an
“official act” taken in office. In a better world, with Trump having already
retired from politics in disgrace, that would be an intriguing but ultimately
academic question of law. In the morally diseased world in which we live, current
polling suggests that the courts’ judgment on the scope of
presidential immunity will have momentous consequences for America next year.
If he wins on this front, he’d be largely
unshackled in a second presidential term, free to pursue all manner of corrupt
designs with little fear of legal consequences after leaving office again.
That Trump might attempt such moves is not
idle speculation. He’s telling us so himself. He is openly threatening a range
of second-term actions—such as prosecuting political enemies with zero basis in
evidence—that would almost certainly strain the boundaries of the law in ugly
new ways.
Now imagine him pursuing this project with a
get-out-of-prosecution-free card in his pocket.
Forget the hopefully far-fetched SEAL Team Six scenario, Sargent argues. Consider a more realistic one, in which Trump tasks the newly restaffed and “loyal” FBI with harassing Fulton County district attorney Fani Willis in hopes of obstructing her state prosecution of him. Law professor Orin Kerr has been thinking about that too:
The
“absolute immunity” argument, were it to prevail, would formalize in law
Trump’s sense that he’s rightly accountable to no one, including the state. It
would be a license to luxuriate in corruption. And a guy like this …
…
doesn’t need any further encouragement to indulge his worst impulses.
He’s
probably already learned dangerous lessons from this process that don’t depend
on the outcome. He’ll lose his “absolute immunity” appeal, almost certainly,
but he’ll come away from it understanding that the president nevertheless has
a lot of leeway to behave badly provided that his behavior can
be semi-plausibly described as an “official act.” That will influence how he
behaves in a second term, particularly since—as the events underlying both of
his impeachments demonstrated—he sees no reason not to use his “official”
powers to serve his personal interests.
What’s
the worst that can happen to him afterward if he pushes the legal envelope as
president in his second term? Several more years of tedious constitutional
litigation when he’s well into his 80s and unlikely to serve time in prison
even if he’s convicted?
The
more he thinks he can get away with, the more he’ll try. That’s his psychology.
We see it every
day, including in
an appearance before reporters following Tuesday’s hearing. The fact
that his coup attempt has been rewarded by making him the odds-on favorite to
be president in 2025 already constitutes immense, potentially catastrophic
reinforcement of his suspicions that he can get away with anything.
As
for poor John Sauer, I suspect he was stuck making an argument that ultimately
doesn’t represent the true position of his client. Trump does believe
that he should be absolutely immune for his actions as
president, no doubt, but he surely doesn’t believe that Joe Biden or Barack
Obama should. His ethos, and the
ethos of the New Right that’s formed around him, is that the law is just
another lever of power to be used against, and only against, the enemy. But you
can’t argue that in a federal court to three judges steeped in classical
liberalism and intent on crafting a rule of presidential immunity that will
apply neutrally to both sides.
Which is how we ended up with Donald Trump’s surrogate arguing in favor of Joe Biden’s power to have Trump assassinated with impunity, pending objection from the U.S. Senate. What a country we’ve created for ourselves.
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