By Kevin D. Williamson
Monday, November 20, 2023
Allow me to let my inner hawk off his leash for a moment.
I did not think that the conversation about Hamas’ brutal—ongoing—massacre of
Israeli civilians could get any more banal or dishonest, but it has.
A few points:
The moral test for Israel is not whether its leaders can
show superhuman restraint in their response to the massacres and outrages
inflicted on their people by Hamas. In light of the kidnapping, the
hostage-taking, the rape and dismemberment of children, the burning to death of
babies, the beheadings, the theatrical sadism inflicted on women, children, the
elderly, it is remarkable how much restraint the Israelis have shown. They
have, in my view, shown incommensurate restraint, if I may be forgiven some friendly
criticism at this ghastly moment.
No, the great test for Israel is not restraint at
all, but diligence in its national pursuit of the actual moral
imperative in front of it, which is the annihilation of Hamas. Put bluntly:
Israel’s moral imperative at this moment is in the major part a matter of
killing and only in the minor part a matter of not killing. Justice, prudence,
and responsible government all call for the same thing at this moment: hunting
down and killing as many of the men responsible for this atrocity as possible,
beginning with Hamas political chief Ismail Haniyeh.
The Four Seasons in Doha is very keen to repeat that the
Hamas boss absolutely, positively does not live in a penthouse suite in the
hotel. Really, truly: He is in some other penthouse suite, or perhaps a
beachfront villa, elsewhere in Qatar,
living the good life as a guest of the hereditary monarchy that has long
sheltered and funded the terrorist organization. The Qataris are to Hamas what
the Taliban was to al-Qaeda, and Qatar is, functionally, very little more than
Afghanistan with money. The United States cut a bloody road through Afghanistan
and Pakistan to get at Osama bin Laden, but Qatar has been treated with
extraordinary deference rooted in American political miscalculation. Back to
that in a minute.
The important point is this: Israel’s campaign isn’t a
police action to arrest criminals—it is war. The applicable model isn’t Eliot
Ness vs. Al Capone in 1931 Chicago—it is Air Marshal Arthur
Harris vs. Wilhelm Keitel in 1945 Germany. Keitel, the commander of
Adolf Hitler’s armed forces, survived the war but not the peace, a necessary
precondition of which was his being hanged. To the extent that international
law enters into this, it is largely on Israel’s side: Israel does not willfully
target civilians, Hamas does; Israel does not torture captured civilians, Hamas
does; Israel does not target legally protected sites such as hospitals, Hamas
converts those sites into legal targets by using them as staging grounds for
military actions and as hidey-holes to cower in when they are faced with
soldiers instead of toddlers.
Israel is unhappily obliged to live and work in a world
in which its leaders must give excessive consideration to worldwide elite
opinion (and please do not mistake me here for using the word elite in
the imbecilic pejorative sense it is deployed in our domestic political
conversation), unhappily because that opinion is distorted by
neurotic Jew-loathing. That loathing flourishes in European capitals and among
critical constituencies in the Democratic Party here in the United States,
where you can have a comfortable career as an MSNBC pundit after
helping to launch a pogrom against Jews in New York, where you
can have
the ear of Barack Obama while indulging an imaginatively
expansive Judenhass the expression of which would have
embarrassed Wilhelm Stuckart, who authored the Nuremberg racial code.
Joe Biden may not be naturally inclined to listen to the
likes of Linda Sarsour—he certainly is less inclined than Barack Obama was—but
he has a problem with another key Democratic constituency: everybody else. When
President Biden looks in the mirror, he sees Jimmy Carter, a creaky one-term
embarrassment (it is sobering to realize that Carter on the final day
of his presidency was a quarter of a century younger than Biden is today) whose
many failures in office brought Ronald Reagan romping into power in a 44-state
Electoral College blowout. (There is no point sugar-coating the political
reality; that being said, my condolences to the former president and his family
on the loss of Rosalynn Carter, who died
over the weekend at the age of 96.) With persistent inflation mugging
everybody trying to buy a new car or a house, Biden very much fears a modern
version of the Arab oil embargo and the possibility of seeing gasoline at $6 or
$7 a gallon on Election Day. There are many reasons that scenario is not
especially likely to come to pass, but it would be a non-issue if the U.S. government
would take its foot off the neck of U.S. energy production. All of that oil
and gas represents not just wealth but options. Having reduced
those options in the pursuit of utopian green-energy fantasies (or, rather, in
the pursuit of approval from those utopians), Biden is constrained and
cautious, and the U.S. economy remains beset by inflation in the non-energy
sectors as well. With Biden hearing footsteps on his left, Israel gets it from
all directions—from The
Economist, from Davos
Man, from
teary-eyed Bernie bros—which would matter a good deal less with a more
steady ally in the White House. But President Biden is not capable of
steadiness on this issue, or on any other.
“We don’t negotiate with terrorists.” That’s the way
Hollywood heroes put it, and sometimes the way Washington puts it, and it is a
fiction in both cases. But the underlying principle is the right one. By
negotiating with terrorists, hostage-takers, and the like, you create positive
incentives for more terrorism and more hostage-taking. It is easy to say, “We
will not negotiate with hostage-takers” when it isn’t your child who has been
carried off to some Hamas dungeon. But while world opinion demands that Israel
in effect collaborate with Hamas in its terrorism, in its
hostage-taking and its use of human shields (the people of Gaza are, to some
extent, hostages themselves, with Hamas snipers reportedly
shooting civilians who try to flee to safety), refusing to
cooperate is precisely what it necessary. The proper response to a bunker built
under a hospital is a bunker-buster. The Palestinians could have had peace any
time they wanted it, and they have always, consistently, remorselessly chosen
war. Now they have it, and they are whimpering. We have seen this sort of thing
before—the Nazis did the same thing after Dresden, and German neo-Nazis still
call Dresden their own holocaust. It was grotesque, dishonest cowardice then,
and it is grotesque, dishonest cowardice now.
It was not Israel who put that Hamas command outpost
under the hospital—it was Hamas. Michael Ramirez’s now-famous cartoon—cravenly
suppressed by the editors of the Washington Post, where
journalism goes to die in darkness—got it precisely right. Israel did not
choose this war—the Palestinians did. Israel did not put those children, women,
and hospital patients in harm’s way—the Palestinians did. (Say “Hamas did
it,” if you prefer, but Hamas didn’t come out of nowhere. It is a Palestinian
phenomenon, and the Jew-massacring part of its mission is a popular
Palestinian cause, and a horrifyingly popular cause in the wider Arab
world.) The task of the Israeli government is not to offer the world another
edifying example of picturesque Jewish suffering. The task of the Israeli
government is to defend its people and its territory. If Hamas wants to put
Palestinian children between Israeli soldiers and Hamas terrorists, then the
deaths of those children will rightly be understood as an atrocity—but it is
Hamas’ atrocity, not the Israeli Defense Forces’ atrocity.
This is not a time or an occasion for moral muddiness or
intellectual flabbiness. There are hard truths that are understood in at least
some Israeli quarters but that are effectively impossible for the Israeli
government to act on without Washington’s support. And there is very little
evidence that the reality of the situation has sunk in in Washington: that
offering the Palestinians land for peace was
a well-intentioned folly; that there is not going to be a two-state solution,
because the only state the Palestinians are interested in building is an Arab
version of the Taliban regime in Afghanistan and the only solution they are
interested in is Heinrich Himmler’s final one. Hence, Israeli security and
Palestinian sovereignty are mutually exclusive goals; the
Palestinians have had three-quarters of a century to make peace and have not
made peace because they do not desire peace; Israel should, and at some point
almost certainly will, reassert practical sovereignty over Gaza and the West
Bank for the same reason the French reasserted sovereignty over Alsace-Lorraine
in 1945, at which time very few tears were shed for the Germans.
I do keep coming back to the German example. It is an
instructive one, and not only because the Nazis and Hamas have the same goal,
that being the eradication of the Jewish people.
The world was not at war on October 16, 1946; the war had
concluded, and Germany was in no real position to threaten anybody. U.S.
soldiers spent the early morning hours of that day hanging Germans, Field
Marshal Wilhelm Keitel among them. (Fritz Sauckel, who once had rejoiced in the
title “General Plenipotentiary for Labor Deployment”—and you can guess
what labor deployment meant in that context—complained that he
was being treated very unfairly and offered as his last words, “Make Germany
great again!”) They would have hanged more Germans if Hermann Göring hadn’t
committed suicide the night before. Winston Churchill, who was not enthusiastic
about the legal process at Nuremberg, would have had most of the Nazi
leadership simply shot on sight if he had had his way, without the trials. And
Churchill, as usual, had the better argument. In our time, a dedicated few are still hunting
down Nazis: In 2022, a 101-year-old
German was convicted for his role in running the concentration camp at
Sachsenhausen; earlier this year, a 98-year-old German was
charged over crimes at the same camp.
Germany lost territory after its defeat in World War II,
paid reparations, and was occupied by foreign forces. Germany was formally
stripped of its sovereignty and did not get it back in full until 1991—and I do
not mean East Germany under Soviet domination but West Germany, over which the
Allied powers maintained formal legal power until after reunification. Germany
was reduced after the war and, some decades later, the expanded Soviet empire
was disbanded and Moscow’s footprint in the world much reduced. Hirohito’s
empire was liquidated after Japan’s defeat, as Napoleon’s had been before
Hirohito’s and many more had been before that. Vanquished powers—and,
especially, vanquished powers that start unprovoked wars of aggression—suffer
all kinds of reductions and limitations, and some of them go away altogether.
Question: Why, exactly, do we believe that the Palestinian statelet, led by
Hamas on one side and by Mahmoud
Abbas’ homicidal mafia on the other, must endure forever?
I cannot think of an answer.
But, while I am in a question-asking mood, here is
another:
How is it possible that Sheikh Tamim bin
Hamad Al Thani, the emir of Qatar, is walking around in daylight? The attack on
Israel was certainly planned, financed, and managed from within Qatar, where
the leadership of Hamas resides—in great comfort and with great wealth—with the
blessing of the Qatari government. With all due respect to the Israelis and
others who suffered the brunt of that horrific attack, there were Americans
killed, too—and there are American hostages. One of those American
hostages is 3 years old. The emir of Qatar and his regime are neck deep in
this blood, even as they play at diplomacy,
looking for opportunities to profit from the mess that they did so much to help
create. Call me jingoistic, but my view is that the one unalterable rule of
foreign relations should be that if you kill Americans, you never get another
good night’s sleep. The gentlemen in Doha would, under any sensible policy,
already understand that this is an existential crisis for them.
But they do not think that it is that, because it isn’t,
because these are muddleheaded times. The fact that U.S. forces are not on
their way to Doha to drag these gilded villains out by their beards is
difficult to understand. This isn’t a major world power we are talking about
here—there are fewer Qatari nationals than there are residents of Lubbock
County, Texas. Qatar is a splendidly air-conditioned, semi-jihadi shopping
mall, and such consideration as it may have been entitled to evaporated when its
guests started murdering Americans and kidnapping American toddlers. At the
very least, the Qatari ambassador should be expelled rather than swanning
around the Metropolitan Club in Washington. The Israeli government has awakened
to the fact that Qatar is an enemy state; the United States, on the other hand,
maintains an expansively cooperative security relationship with Qatar. “Since
2016, the U.S. has … authorized the permanent export of over $2.8 billion in
defense articles to Qatar via the Direct Commercial Sales (DCS) process. The
top categories of DCS to Qatar include: aircraft, special operations training,
and fire control/night vision.” So reports the
State Department.
Out of necessity, Washington maintains some indecent
relationships with Arab tyrants, for instance trying to court (often with
catastrophic incompetence) Mohammed bin Salman al-Saud in the hopes of
fortifying an alliance against Iran. Isolating Iran is a worthy goal, and the
U.S. government can be expected to put up with a lot of Saudi-style grossness
in the pursuit of that goal. But such cooperation has limits—limits that are
well short of October 7. And Qatar is working the other side of that deal, in
any case, in part because of its extensive business relationships with Iran and
in part because Qatar resents its long history of domination by Saudi Arabia.
That Qatar feels free to do this with impunity is another reminder that the
world increasingly does not take the United States seriously—as a friend or as
an enemy.
And now Israel has to worry about what kind of friend the
United States is prepared to be.
Economics for English Majors
Why worry about the national debt? An answer in two
words:
“F—k you.”
Donald Regan, Treasury secretary during the Reagan
administration, made a great contribution to American letters, giving us the
phrase “f—k-you money.” (He did not coin the phrase, but he contributed
mightily to its popularization.) Regan had been CEO of Merrill Lynch for a
decade before his service in the Reagan Cabinet, and he liked to boast that he
could not be bullied or leaned on by anybody because, unlike most of his
colleagues, he was fabulously wealthy. When Nancy Reagan interfered with the
policymaking agenda, as she apparently did from time to time, some Reagan
staffers and executives were cowed, but not Donald Regan. “I’ve got ‘f—k you’
money,” he said. “Anytime I want, I’m gone.”
An immortal formulation, one for the ages. But this is
the economics section, not the language section.
The United States has f—k-you power, and
Israel does not. That is a big part of what the main section above is about.
But f—k-you power isn’t worth anything if you are not willing to say “F—k you”
from time to time. The money works the same way: Think about how easy it has
been to bully gazillionaires such as Mark Zuckerberg and Jeff Bezos into utter
political and social conformity. Bezos has everything that money can buy, but
there are other things he wants, too, such as having his girlfriend
pose in Vogue. And you don’t buy Vogue coverage
with money—you buy it with craven, abject conformism.
But back to the power: F—k-you power, like the
f—k-you money that is a critical constituent of it, requires maintenance and
investment. Power is a capital-intensive project. The U.S. government is
currently spending a good deal more money—a total upward
of $1 trillion a year—on interest on its debt than it spends on its
warfighting capabilities. (The 2024 Defense Appropriations Act contains $832
billion in funding.) Another way of looking at the number is that our current
interest expense—interest alone, right now, without a single new dollar in
debt—amounts to nearly four times what we spend on the Air Force, our most
expensive service branch. The vast majority of our new debt going forward into
the foreseeable future is
driven by Social Security and Medicare. If you aren’t talking about
entitlement reform, you aren’t talking about anything.
Our progressive friends have an irritating formulation of
which they are very fond: “X is a not-X issue.” E.g.:
“Trans rights are a climate-justice issue,” “Childcare subsidies are a
national-security issue,” etc. Sen. Marco Rubio does a little bit of that,
too, insisting
that sugar subsidies are a national-security issue. (Why, yes, I have mentioned
that once or twice before. I am not going to give up before Sen. Rubio does.)
But just as there is a time for Nazi comparisons in politics—for instance, when
you are faced with a violent political movement dedicated to the extermination
of Jews—there is a time for that formulation, too.
And as it turns out, entitlement reform is a
national-security issue. Every $1 trillion in interest payments that goes out
the door because of federal programs funding free
false teeth is $1 trillion not spent on other priorities. It is
possible to spend too much on the military; at times we have, and there is a
not-indefensible argument that this is one of those times. But, as with
allowing the energy industry to flourish in the free market, spending on
military capabilities isn’t in the end a matter of having so many tanks and so
many aircraft carriers—what we are buying with our defense dollars, when they
are well spent, is options. Faced with a security challenge,
Washington can choose between A, B, C, and D, whereas Brussels has to make do
with C or D, while Delhi looks up longingly at D from way down in the alphabet.
It is a long climb up to F from U.
We have challenges today. We will have new and different
challenges tomorrow. And we are spending $1 trillion a year paying off benefits
enjoyed mainly by relatively wealthy oldsters. Benefits that we didn’t have the
rectitude either to fully fund 20 years ago or to cut down so that our
obligations match what we are in reality willing to spend. I don’t know that we
need 77 new aircraft carriers, but that’s about 77 new aircraft carriers—year
after year after year—on interest payments alone.
And Canada Will Pay for It!
Headline:
“Vivek Ramaswamy Wants to Build a Wall Between the U.S. and Canada.”
The plan is to make Latin American countries pay for it.
That’ll be a hard sell. But Canada might volunteer.
Words About Words
As I might have predicted, I have been taken to task
over my
use of the phrase “factless factoid.” “Harrumph,” some correspondents
snorted, “don’t you know that a factoid is factless by nature, that a factoid
is a non-fact in the same way that a humanoid is a non-human? That’s why we
don’t just call ’em facts!”
The first
recorded use of factoid is in Norman Mailer’s Marilyn, his
not-entirely-factual potted biography of the famous actress in which he
insisted that the U.S. government had Monroe assassinated over a sexual
entanglement with Robert F. Kennedy. (No, not that one, his
father.) Mailer later explained that factoids are “facts which have no
existence before appearing in a magazine or newspaper, creations which are not
so much lies as a product to manipulate emotion in the Silent Majority.” Which
is to say, in Mailer’s estimate, the factfulness or non-factfulness of a
factoid is beside the point—it may be an invention, or it may be an irrelevant
fact deployed for nefarious purposes. Factoid has come to be used to mean
something between trivia and anecdote, a little nugget of information (possibly
inaccurate!) that is supposed to bolster an argument or an opinion. Someone
says, “There is too much money in our politics!” and someone else (in this
case, me) answers with the factoid: “We spend 27 times as much on pornography
in four years as we do on presidential elections.” The factoid is not
dispositive, but it may be at times deployed as though it were.
So, my usual love of prescriptivism and pedantry
notwithstanding, I worry that if I write factoid to refer to something that is
made up, people will be confused. Hence, “factless factoid.” If we take Mailer
at his words that factoids may be facts or fiction, as needed, then “factless
factoids” can be understood as a subset of the overall category.
Department of History Started Yesterday
Headline: “Could
Mississippi Really Elect a Democratic Governor? We’re About to Find Out.”
The GOP kept Mississippi this time. But Mississippi
elected only one Republican governor in the 20th century and then reverted back
to a Democrat. Depending on how you count it (Mississippi was staunchly behind
Jefferson’s Democratic-Republican Party, the forerunner of the modern
Democrats), Mississippi has elected about 46 Democratic governors; the current
Republican streak is only three governors deep. Before that, you reach back to
Kirk Fordice in the 1990s, and before that you reach back to Radical Republican
Adelbert Ames, who became governor of Mississippi in 1874.
Yes, Mississippi really could elect a Democratic
governor. But it didn’t.
In Closing
“There never was a good war or a bad peace,” Benjamin
Franklin wrote, and there is some truth in the maxim, but those words are
rhetoric, not serious moral reasoning, something of which Franklin was only
intermittently capable. There may not be good wars, but there are necessary
wars, and we do not need to look very hard to find a bad peace, or an
intolerable one. It was a bad peace that created the conditions that provided
the impetus for the creation of the modern state of Israel in the first place;
it wasn’t that the Jews of Europe wanted to be in Haifa—it was that they
did not want to be in Bełżec, Sobibór, Treblinka, Auschwitz.
Do you know the name Emily Hand? You
should. Her birthday was last week. If she is alive, as she is believed to
be, she turned 9 while a prisoner of Hamas. Please let us not pretend that we
do not know what that means. People are tearing down posters of the hostages.
Please, let us not pretend that we do not know what that means. Let us not
pretend to be surprised.
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