By Rich
Lowry
Friday,
October 06, 2023
Donald
Trump is getting indicted and tried all the way into a third Republican
presidential nomination, and perhaps a second term in office.
Trump’s court
dates and legal entanglements aren’t a distraction from his campaign, as some
observers predicted; in large part, they are the campaign.
We’re
all familiar with the so-called front-porch campaigns of the late 19th century,
most famously the Republican William McKinley, who would have delegations of
supporters visit him at his home in Canton, Ohio. Joe Biden built on the
concept with his lockdown-compliant basement campaign during the 2020
campaign (at least McKinley interacted with real people).
Now,
Trump has come up with another variant of this concept — the courtroom
campaign.
It
involves massive media attention before, during, and after court appearances;
images and statements of bold, unadorned defiance; and inflamed Republican
emotions from the sense that he is being treated unfairly.
This is
the potent political cocktail that Trump has used to build what appears to be a
nearly unassailable lead in the Republican primaries. Perhaps GOP voters were
going to swing toward Trump no matter what, or maybe the struggles of the Ron
DeSantis campaign have played a big role. But everything suggests that, so far,
Trump’s legal travails have been political gold.
Certainly,
Trump’s opponents within the party have been thinking, “Please, make it stop,”
since the initial Alvin Bragg indictment. But it hasn’t stopped, and it’s not
going to stop.
Every
key juncture of Trump’s legal drama has allowed him to dominate the fight for
media coverage, which, as we learned in the 2016 nomination battle, is key
terrain in a primary. Trump’s various indictments, arraignments, and court
appearances have given him an entirely new way to blot out the sun.
It used
to be that candidate debates were, besides some traditional occasions (a state
fair, a party dinner), the most important events on the political calendar. No
more.
So there
was a nice initial Republican debate in August? Well, the next day there was an
instantly iconic Trump mug shot everywhere on TV and social media.
There
was another, not-so-great Republican debate in September. Who cares? Trump
showed up at his civil fraud trial in New York City the following Monday.
When
much of the Republican Party is in a state of high alarm about the instruments
of the establishment being used against the Right, Donald Trump is starring in
a real-life drama about partisan prosecutors and the Biden Justice Department
trying to annihilate his business and jail him ahead of the 2024 election.
What
else is going to generate more interest and sympathy among perhaps a decisive
proportion of Republicans than that? Promises to end the deep state, which we
hear from almost all the Republican candidates, are nothing compared with Trump
spitting his fury at legal adversaries who are playing for keeps.
It only
helps Trump that, despite his sundry deceptions and disgraceful conduct, the
myriad legal actions against him are generally ridiculous at worst and
ambiguous and legally adventurous at best, while almost all represent blatant
selective prosecution.
Perhaps
the political reaction in his favor wouldn’t have been as strong if he’d only
been prosecuted for obstruction related to his handling of classified
documents, a case where special counsel Jack Smith seems to have him nailed.
But not for the first time, Trump and his enemies have a symbiotic relationship
— they want to destroy him by any means necessary, and he uses their enmity as
his chief political calling card.
This
time, the stakes are higher than ever, and we could be heading to a true
“Götterdämmerung” next year, with a major-party presidential candidate at risk
of going to jail months before a national election. Republican voters would be
wise to avoid finding out where this ends by nominating any of the plausible
alternatives to Trump. But none of them are being charged or arraigned like the
front-runner, whose courtroom campaign is overwhelming them all.
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