By Elliott Abrams
Tuesday, February 15, 2022
In July 1940, a short book appeared in Britain
entitled Guilty Men. It was a tough indictment of 15 men who were
accused in the book of appeasement — of being responsible for Britain’s failure
to rearm on time and of so dangerously misjudging Hitler.
Germany today needs such a volume, to address the
question of who put Germany into Russia’s and Putin’s hands.
Today, Russia supplies just over half of all natural gas
consumed in Germany, where gas is critical for home-heating as well as
industry. The Nord Stream pipeline that opened in 2011 increased Germany’s
dependence on Russia, and the Nord Stream 2 pipeline now under construction
will increase it even more.
Given who Vladimir Putin is, the foreign policy he is
pursuing, and the fact that he has previously cut gas supplies (to Ukraine and
Eastern Europe) for political reasons, how did Germany ever get into his
clutches in this way? Given German and Russian history, who were the officials
who did not understand that this would end in disaster? Who were the people in
charge that approved all the plans and investments that made this possible?
Some good German researchers can write the German version
of Guilty Men and Women, but two names must lead the list.
The first is the execrable former chancellor of Germany,
Gerhard Schröder. To say that he has sold out to Putin is an understatement:
Since leaving the government in 2005, Schröder has been nominated to serve on
the board of the Russian gas giant Gazprom, and has served as chairman of the
supervisory board of state energy company Rosneft, chairman of the
shareholders’ committee for Nord Stream AG, and president of the board of directors
at Nord Stream 2 AG. It is scandalous; whether it is treasonous we can leave to
German researchers and lawyers.
The second is someone whom history will find far less
admirable than the press did during her years in power: Angela Merkel. She
served as chancellor from 2005 to 2021. If Schröder was playing for Putin in
those years, Merkel had the power to stop him. That Germany is in Russia’s
hands when it comes to gas is not only her fault, for the story goes much
farther back in the Cold War. But the pipeline decisions are hers, and equally
important was her decision to close all German nuclear-power plants after
Fukushima. That was a foolish and hasty decision; compare France, whose 56
reactors supply 75 percent of its electricity — and which is building six new
nuclear plants.
Today, France imports 44 percent of the energy it uses
while Germany imports 61 percent — and more to the point, Germany imports not
from friendly neighbors or from the world market but is very dependent on
Russia.
As we watch Germany squirm over the Ukraine crisis, we
can see how badly the dependence on Russia is affecting Germany foreign policy,
solidarity with its neighbors, and willingness to defend its NATO allies. All
of that was entirely predictable. Those who let it happen and helped it happen
deserve to be described, when the history of this era is written, as the Guilty
Men — and Women.
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