By John Tierney
Saturday, April 14, 2018
Note: The following piece originally appeared in
City Journal.
Imagine if the head of a federal agency announced a new
policy for its scientific research: From now on, the agency would no longer
allow its studies to be reviewed and challenged by independent scientists, and
its researchers would not share the data on which their conclusions were based.
The response from scientists and journalists would be outrage. By refusing peer
review from outsiders, the agency would be rejecting a fundamental scientific
tradition. By not sharing data with other researchers, it would be violating a
standard transparency requirement at leading scientific journals. If a
Republican official did such a thing, you’d expect to hear denunciations of
this latest offensive in the “Republican war on science.”
That’s the accusation being hurled at Scott Pruitt, the
Republican who heads the Environmental Protection Agency. But Pruitt hasn’t
done anything to discourage peer review. In fact, he’s done the opposite: He
has called for the use of more independent experts to review the EPA’s research
and has just announced that the agency would rely only on studies for which
data are available to be shared. Yet Democratic officials and liberal
journalists have denounced these moves as an “attack on science,” and Democrats
have cited them (along with accusations of ethical violations) in their
campaign to force Pruitt out of his job.
How could “the party of science,” as Democrats like to
call themselves, be opposed to transparency and peer review? Because better
scientific oversight would make it tougher for the EPA to justify its costly
regulations. To environmentalists, rigorous scientific protocols are fine in
theory, but not in practice if they interfere with the green political agenda.
As usual, the real war on science is the one waged from the left.
The EPA has been plagued by politicized science since its
inception in 1970. One of its first tasks was to evaluate the claim,
popularized in Rachel Carson’s Silent
Spring, that the use of DDT pesticide was causing an epidemic of cancer.
The agency held extensive hearings that led to the conclusion that DDT was not
a carcinogen, a finding that subsequent research would confirm. Yet the EPA
administrator, William Ruckelshaus, reportedly
never even bothered to read the scientific testimony. Ignoring the
thousands of pages of evidence, he declared DDT a potential carcinogen and
banned most uses of it.
Since then, the agency has repeatedly been criticized for
relying on weak or cherry-picked evidence to promote needless alarms justifying
the expansion of its authority (and budget). Its warnings about BPA, a chemical
used in plastics, were called
unscientific by leading researchers in the field. Its conclusion that
secondhand smoke was killing thousands of people annually was ruled by a judge
to be in violation of “scientific procedure and norms” — and was firmly
debunked by later research.
To justify the costs of the Obama administration’s Clean
Power Plan restricting coal-burning power plants, the EPA relied on a
controversial claim that a particular form of air pollution (from small particulates)
was responsible for large numbers of premature deaths. To reach that
conclusion, the agency ignored contradictory evidence and chose to rely on
1990s research whose methodology and conclusions were open to question. The
EPA’s advisory committee on air pollution, a group of outside scientists, was
sufficiently concerned at the time to ask to see the supporting data. But the
researchers and the EPA refused to share the data, citing the confidentiality
of the medical records involved, and they have continued refusing demands from
Congress and other researchers to share it, as Steve Milloy recounts in his
book Scare Pollution: Why and How to Fix
the EPA.
Pruitt’s new policy will force the EPA to rely on studies
for which data are available to other researchers, ensuring the transparency
that enables findings to be tested and confirmed. So why is he being attacked?
His critics argue that some worthwhile research will be ignored because it is
based on confidential records that are impractical to share. They say that it
would cost the EPA several hundred million dollars to redact personal medical
information in the air-pollution studies used to justify the Obama
administration’s Clean Power Plan. But even if that estimate is correct — it
seems awfully high — it’s a pittance compared with the costs of the EPA’s
regulations. The Obama EPA estimated the annual cost of its Clean Power Plan at
$8 billion; others estimated it at more than $30 billion. Before saddling
utility customers with those higher bills year after year, the EPA could at
least pay for reliable research.
Pruitt’s critics have also excoriated him for insisting
that the EPA’s advisory boards consist of independent scientists, ending the
practice of including researchers who receive grants from the agency — exactly
the sort of conflict of interest that progressives object to when researchers
receive money from private industry. He has also proposed an analysis of
climate change using a “red-team/blue-team” exercise, an innovative technique
that has been used to draw up plans at the Defense Department and the CIA and
by private industry for industrial operations and projects such as designing
spacecraft. A group of outside experts, the red team, is brought in to critique
the work of the in-house blue team, which then responds, and the teams keep
going back and forth, under the supervision of a moderator. It’s an enhanced
form of peer review, forcing researchers and bureaucrats to defend or
reconsider their ideas, and ideally leading to sounder conclusions and better
plans. A version of this exercise has already been used to bolster the case for
man-made global warming, as noted by Joseph Majkut of the Niskanen Institute.
Given the high stakes and the many uncertainties related
to climate change — the dozens of computer climate models, the widely varying
estimates of costs and benefits of mitigation strategies — who could object to
studying the problem carefully? Yet Pruitt’s proposal has been denounced by
Democrats as well as liberal Republicans such as Christine Whitman, the former
New Jersey governor, who argued that the facts are so well established that
further examination is unnecessary. As a former head of the EPA, Whitman no
doubt appreciates how much easier it is to make regulations without the
nuisance of debate. But what’s good for bureaucrats is not good for science.
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