By Andrew C. McCarthy
Saturday, October 10, 2020
Did she or didn’t
she?
Of course she did. In late July 2016, Hillary Clinton, in
an effort to divert attention from the email scandal that was haunting her
presidential bid, directed her campaign to peddle a political narrative that
Russia’s suspected hacking and leaking of Democratic Party emails was in
furtherance of a conspiracy between Vladimir Putin and Donald Trump to swing
the election to Trump.
That is, as I argued in Ball
of Collusion, the Clinton campaign dreamed up, paid for, and peddled
the Trump–Russia collusion farce. And in promoting it, President Obama’s former
secretary of state had a willing and able partner in the Obama administration —
very much including its intelligence and law-enforcement apparatus.
Democrats Change Their Tune
It was amazing to watch Democrats play Twister this week,
as National Intelligence Director John Ratcliffe added documentary
corroboration to the disclosure
he’d made the week before. In that first revelation, via letter to the Senate
Judiciary Committee, Ratcliffe explained that, because our spy agencies have
very effective foreign-intelligence-gathering methods, they were able to
“obtain insight” into a Russian intelligence analysis that concluded Clinton
orchestrated the damaging political narrative. That is, Clinton actually did what she accused Trump of doing: She colluded
with Russians (through yet another foreigner she recruited to meddle in the
2016 presidential campaign: the ludicrous former British spy Christopher
Steele) in order to damage Trump’s campaign and cinch the election for herself.
As ever with the Clintonistas: When they’re moving their
lips, they’re projecting.
Ratcliffe’s initial revelation came with a caveat: While
our spy agencies judged Moscow’s analysis about Clinton to be authentic (in the
sense of truly being a Russian intel product), they could not vouch for its
accuracy (i.e., it might reflect what the Russians really believed, but it
might alternatively be exaggeration or fabrication). This was not a wobble.
Intelligence agencies sweep up scads of information, and they must always grade
its reliability with a skeptical eye to avoid deluding themselves.
But this was all Democrats needed . . . at least at
first. At a Judiciary Committee hearing, former FBI director James Comey and
Senate Democrats scoffed at Ratcliffe’s frank, professional concession,
claiming it discredited his disclosure in its entirety, and called his
competence into question. He’d clearly been duped by Russian disinformation . .
. said the people who seem to have made a habit of being duped by Russian
disinformation.
Did the Russians have a window into the Clinton campaign?
It sure looks that way, between Secretary Clinton’s security practices (which
even Comey has described
as irresponsible) and her retention of Steele, with his stable of Russian
oligarch clients and his dossier “primary
subsource,” whom the FBI suspected (with copious reason) to be a Russian
asset.
But the point here is not whether Russian spies, thanks
to Clinton’s own carelessness, had effectively infiltrated her campaign. The
point is: Clinton was undeniably doing
what, it turns out, the Russians were contemporaneously detecting.
Want to play epistemological acrobatics? Okay, fine. We
can spend hours pondering whether Russian spies generated an assessment about
what Clinton was up to because they legitimately wanted to inform their Kremlin
superiors, or whether they did it because they wanted our spies to see it and
to wonder whether the Russians knew that we knew that the Russians knew . . .
I’d prefer to keep my eye on the ball, which has precious
little to do with spy games and Russian disinformation. The Russians were able
to deduce what Hillary Clinton was up to because
it was patently obvious. It did not take a super sleuth to figure this one
out. Just eyes to see and ears to hear.
That’s why you might have noticed a shift in Democratic
tone when Ratcliffe released more documents.
The second set of disclosures showed that the CIA had
taken the Russian information seriously enough that (a) then-director John
Brennan quickly briefed President Obama and his administration’s
national-security team about it and (b) the agency included the Russian intel
about Clinton in a memo to the FBI, which laid out information gleaned by the
“Crossfire Hurricane fusion cell” that Brennan had assembled to promote the
Trump–Russia storyline.
After Ratcliffe published these documents, we were no
longer hearing much about disinformation. Now the talking point became: Well,
there was nothing criminal in what
Clinton did; she was simply worried about a potentially corrupt conspiracy
between Trump and Putin — and who wouldn’t be?
Right . . . worried based on absolutely zero evidence.
There was not a shred of proof that Donald Trump and his campaign had any
foreknowledge of, much less complicity in, the suspected Russian hack of DNC
emails. That, you may remember, was the sinkhole on which the collusion farce
was constructed.
Clinton Retains Steele to
Craft Trump–Russia Narrative
At this point, Democrats have no choice but to concede
Clinton’s catalytic role in the collusion narrative because there is no other
rational way to look at what happened — not for any sentient person, never mind
Russian intelligence agents.
Let’s look at the timeline.
In spring 2016, the Clinton campaign, through their
lawyers at Perkins Coie (an activist Democratic firm that also represents the
DNC), retained Steele to compile opposition research connecting Trump and
Russia. By June 20, Steele had produced the first of his dossier
“reports.” It sets forth the infamous “pee tape” farce, at which any competent
investigator would have rolled his eyes, especially if he knew anything about
Steele’s self-professed Trump derangement. For Steele, the rumor that Putin has
a video of Trump cavorting with prostitutes is not good enough; he figures the
story is better if he adds that Trump went out of his way to stage the “golden
shower” performance on a bed in which the Obamas — “whom he hated” — had slept.
It’s melodrama, in the now familiar genre of Trump
fever-dream. Beyond that, Steele’s “report” could have been written by Clinton
or Brennan themselves. It frets over Trump’s by-then-well-documented skepticism
about NATO, surmising that such thinking couldn’t possibly be explained by
anything other than Trump’s being blackmailed by Putin.
As usual, what’s actually interesting about a Steele
“report” is what’s not in it. There’s nothing about emails. That this is a
Steele pattern would also have been a red flag for the FBI if its top
officials, like other devotees of the progressive international order, had not
been as repulsed by Trump’s candidacy as Steele was. None of the seemingly
important things Steele reports are verifiable (and some of them are plain
false); by contrast, the actually important things that happen are never in
Steele’s “intelligence reporting” until
after they happen. He was not unearthing information as an intelligence
professional; he was a paid political hack conveniently folding reported news
into Clinton’s anti-Trump campaign narrative.
Assange Issues a Threat as
the Clinton Emails Scandal Intensifies
As Steele might have noted had he been paying attention,
over a week before his June 20 “report,” WikiLeaks chief Julian Assange had
publicly said, “We have emails pending publication,” which were “in relation to
Hillary Clinton.” Western intelligence services have long observed that
WikiLeaks has a collaborative relationship with Russia.
At the time, it was not common knowledge that the DNC had
been hacked. Nor was it widely known that the FBI and the DNC had been slow to
react to the hack, or that the DNC would deny the FBI access to its servers
(with the support of the Obama Justice Department, which did not take action to
seize them for forensic examination). Thus, anyone who was focused on Assange
would have assumed that the emails he was talking about were Clinton’s personal
emails — the 33,000 she had declined to surrender to the State Department even
though they were rife with official business.
The start of summer was a time of frenzied activity
regarding Clinton’s email scandal. The FBI, driven by the political calendar
and the Obama administration’s determination that the putative future
Democratic president would not be charged with a crime, raced to close its
probe-for-show before the Democratic national convention, scheduled to begin on
July 25.
In rapid succession: On June 27, Obama attorney general
Loretta Lynch had her tarmac tête-à-tête with Mrs. Clinton’s husband (the
former president who had first brought Lynch to prominence by appointing her
U.S. attorney in the Eastern District of New York). On Saturday, July 2, the
FBI and the Justice Department did their cursory close-out interview of Clinton
(which was such a sham that she was permitted to have two other subjects of the
investigation present and assisting her as “counsel”). And on July 5, FBI
director James Comey held his infamous “exoneration” press conference, which
illustrated that there was damning evidence of Clinton’s mishandling of
classified information and destruction of government records, and of her
promotion of a culture of national-security recklessness at the State
Department; but, nevertheless, that the Obama administration would not charge
her, even though her conduct violated the literal terms of the espionage
statute.
If Director Comey thought his press conference was going
to put the email scandal behind the Bureau and the Clinton campaign, it had the
opposite effect. Republicans were outraged that the fix was in. Democrats were
outraged at the director’s misconduct in going public with the evidence against
an uncharged person. At the congressional hearings that immediately ensued,
Republicans questioned Comey in excruciating detail about all the disclosures
he’d made concerning Clinton’s mishandling of classified information. It
emerged that he’d begun preparing his exoneration speech months earlier, even
though Clinton had not been questioned, other central witnesses had not been
interviewed, and key evidence had not been obtained, let alone analyzed.
Heading into the convention that she’d hoped would be a
coronation, Clinton was reeling. Her email scandal was intensifying rather than
dissipating. And Assange seemed to be threatening to leak the very emails she
had taken pains not just to delete but to destroy — employing the BleachBit
program so no one could ever read them. (Of course, as the Clinton campaign had
to realize, if a foreign intelligence service had hacked into her non-secure
homebrew system to copy the emails and slip them to WikiLeaks, an
after-the-fact BleachBit treatment would not have helped.)
The DNC Emails
On July 22, Assange pulled the trigger, but it was not
the shot anyone was expecting. He began rolling out thousands of emails. But
not Secretary Clinton’s emails. These were the DNC’s emails.
For Clinton, this was manna from heaven.
Even though Assange had characteristically sought to drum
up attention by promising emails “in relation to Clinton,” the Democrats’
nominee was not an active participant in the DNC emails. Nor could the hacking
of the DNC be blamed on her reckless use of a non-government server system.
Although Assange had implied that the emails he was about to release would
damage Clinton, they did not damage her at all.
To the contrary, they
helped her. Clinton was able to pose as the victim, targeted by a
WikiLeaks-Russia scheme; yet she suffered none of the harms of such a scheme,
since her own emails were not at issue. In addition, the fact that emails were
at the center of the controversy would enable her to conflate her email scandal
with the hacking of the DNC. Now, if Trump or other Republicans referred to her
destroyed emails, it would be spun as a reference to the DNC emails that Russia
was suspected of hacking. When Trump foolishly chided that he hoped Russia
found Clinton’s emails, it would be spun as a plea that Russia hack the DNC —
even though he was obviously referring to the emails Clinton had purged, and
doing so under circumstances where Clinton’s private servers had long been
decommissioned and in the FBI’s possession.
Steele and the Campaign Get
On-Message
Naturally, publication of the hacked DNC emails was
included, post facto, in the Trump-Russia narrative that Steele, at the Clinton
campaign’s urging, had already been fabricating for weeks. The well-paid former
spy got busy, writing a new “intelligence report.” He thundered about an
“extensive conspiracy between TRUMP’s campaign team and Kremlin, sanctioned at
the highest levels and involving Russian diplomatic staff based in the US,”
which explained the Kremlin’s responsibility for the “recent appearance of
DNC-emails on WikiLeaks.” This, of course,
had been done “with the full knowledge and support of TRUMP and senior members
of his campaign team” — a quid pro quo for Trump’s supposed agreement “to
sideline Russian intervention in Ukraine as a campaign issue.”
After the lurid “pee tape” story, should we be surprised
that Steele was just getting warmed up? He related that this “well-developed
conspiracy of cooperation” between the Trump campaign and “the Russian
leadership” was being coordinated on the Trump end “by the Republican
candidate’s campaign manager, Paul MANAFORT, who was using foreign policy
adviser, Carter PAGE, and others as intermediaries.”
In fact, Manafort and Page do not know each other. Oh,
and what about that “Russian diplomatic staff based in the US” that Steele
touted? He pointed to the Russian consulate in Miami as a conspiratorial hub.
Alas, there is no Russian consulate in Miami — as any competent FBI agent who
was actually interested in assessing Steele’s credibility would have figured
out in about five minutes (that’s about how long it took a State Department
official to figure it out when Steele subsequently spun this yarn for her).
While Steele was scrivening away, the Clinton campaign
staff at the Democratic convention in Philadelphia was wasting no time. On July
24, with revelations from the hacked DNC emails still breaking and the
convention about to begin, Clinton
campaign manager Robbie Mook told CNN:
What’s disturbing to us is that we
— experts are telling us that Russian state actors broke into the DNC, stole
these emails, and other experts are now saying that they are — the Russians are
releasing these emails for the purpose of actually helping Donald Trump. I
don’t think it’s coincidental that these emails were released on the eve of our
convention here.
That was the narrative. We didn’t need to get it from
Russian intelligence. We got it from the
spokesman for the Clinton campaign itself: Russia hacked emails and
strategically leaked them with the intention of undermining Clinton and
promoting Trump’s candidacy.
It was a great story for Clinton: She would be delighted
to have Americans reading Democratic emails she was not party to, rather than
speculating about her own emails. The DNC emails were basically a dud, making
explicit the already manifest fact that the party was in the tank for Clinton
against Bernie Sanders. More consequential was that they helped the media push
the Clinton email scandal out of the limelight for a few days, between the
embarrassment of a few top Democrats whose emails were published and the
convention drama — speeches by the Obamas and Clintons, and Khizr Khan, the
father of a heroic fallen Muslim American soldier, Captain Humayan Khan,
blasting Trump’s proposed restrictions on Muslims entering the U.S.
The Political Narrative
Seamlessly Becomes an Investigation
Getting her own email scandal out of the public eye was
what Clinton wanted. And the Obama administration went right along for the
ride.
At exactly the time Clinton was rolling out the
Trump-Russia narrative, based on the DNC email hacking, Alexander Downer — an
Australian ambassador who once arranged a $25 million contribution to the
Clinton Foundation, and who was closely tied to Steele’s British intelligence
colleagues — suddenly remembered a conversation two months earlier with a
nondescript Trump campaign adviser. That young fellow, George Papadopoulos, had
made a vague remark about hearing that the Russians had some kind of
compromising information about Mrs. Clinton. Eureka, Downer exclaimed to himself, Papadopoulos must have meant the DNC emails! Whereupon the diplomat
sauntered over to the U.S. embassy to alert officials from the Obama State
Department that Secretary Clinton used to run.
Quite the leap of logic. Remember, the DNC emails did not
involve Clinton. Plus, even Downer admits that Papadopoulos never mentioned the
word emails in their barroom
conversation. There is not a scintilla of indication that Papadopoulos knew
anything about DNC emails or Russia’s suspected hacking of them. Months
earlier, he says he had been told by the mysterious Maltese academic, Josef
Mifsud, that the Kremlin might have Mrs.
Clinton’s own emails from her non-secure homebrew server — which, if the
conversation really happened, would have made Mifsud about the zillionth person
to so hypothesize on that subject. (See, e.g., Director Comey’s July 5 remarks:
“We assess it is possible that hostile actors gained access to Secretary
Clinton’s personal e-mail account.”)
No matter. At the same time that Hillary Clinton had her
campaign proclaim that the DNC emails had been hacked by Russia as part of a
corrupt Trump-Putin conspiracy to swing the election to Trump, and Steele
dutifully reported that the DNC emails had been hacked by Russia as part of a
corrupt Trump-Putin conspiracy to swing the election to Trump, the FBI opened
Crossfire Hurricane on — you’ll never
guess! — suspicion that the DNC emails had been hacked by Russia as part of
a corrupt Trump–Putin conspiracy to swing the election to Trump.
What a coincidence.