By Steven Wills
Tuesday, July 02, 2024
Naval warfare had become something of a forgotten
discipline prior to the war in Ukraine and the spillover of the Hamas war
against Israel into the Red Sea. Wars against post-Cold War rogue states and
non-state actors were fought on land, with maritime forces providing mobile air
and troop support, as well as humanitarian aid in the event of a rebellion,
coup, or natural disaster. However, a series of recent events in the Levant,
the Red Sea, and the Western Pacific should remind decision-makers that naval power
remains the cornerstone of success in great-power competition.
Employed effectively, naval forces can rapidly accomplish
U.S. strategic objectives at all levels of escalation. As stated in the U.S. Navy’s Naval Doctrine Publication One, naval
forces are “lethal, mobile, expeditionary in nature, self-sustaining outside
land bases and scalable in capability and capacity for different operations.”
America’s political leaders routinely fall back on the Navy to respond to
crises, but they lack the expertise and mindset to make best use of the tools
at their disposal.
Consider the evidence of recent history. U.S. Navy
warships in the Red Sea have seen their deployments extended multiple times to
continue their mission against Houthi missile and drone attacks, but Washington
lacks the political will to prosecute the campaign to a decisive conclusion. An
unclear decision-making process stimulated by political concerns produced an unstable floating Army pier for humanitarian-aid delivery
to Gaza. Ignored was the proven method of delivering aid by helicopter and
landing craft from U.S. Navy amphibious warships — the kind of operation that
U.S. Sailors and Marines routinely conduct in response to natural disasters around
the world. Finally, in the Philippine archipelago, a U.S. ally is beleaguered
by a vigorous Chinese Communist Party gray-zone campaign against its
territorial waters and maritime interests.
While many in D.C. profess to be “navalists,” effective
use of the Navy is too often needlessly limited. Soon, the shrinking fleet will
be unable to manage even moderate crises in more than one geographic location.
The understanding of navalism as a tool of geopolitical statecraft appears at
its nadir just as the above-mentioned crises are presenting themselves.
Take Yemen’s Houthi rebels, who are firing missiles and
launching drone strikes against commercial vessels transiting the Red Sea and
the Bab-al-Mandeb Strait. Self-sustaining expeditionary naval forces with
lethal firepower were able to provide a prompt response to these attacks.
However, even networked U.S. assets are hard-pressed to stop Houthi missile launches emanating from multiple
locations along the 1,900 kilometer-long Yemeni coastline. U.S. naval
forces have been allowed some freedom to attack identified Houthi missile launchers ashore. But the
act of destroying those targets has not by itself been enough to halt the
overall missile barrage against commercial shipping. Logical next steps would
include marshaling those commercial vessels desiring protection into a defined maritime-security-transit corridor or — better yet — taking
the conflict directly to the Houthi leaders in charge of the missile attacks.
Just as they weren’t during the United States’ early 19th-century campaign
against the Barbary pirates, attacks on means alone (in this case, the
Houthi missiles themselves) are not enough. Direct attacks on Houthi leaders
themselves may be the only way to force them to cease missile and drone
strikes. So far, the U.S. government has not authorized this, and U.S. warships remain on the defensive and vulnerable to
attack as the Houthis continue their missile campaign.
Houthi attacks began under the pretext of support to
Hamas in its Oct 7, 2023, attack on Israel, thus linking the two fights. While
there is a vigorous, although misdirected naval response in the Red Sea, a
familiar naval tool for providing aid was rejected out of hand where it could
have best been applied. To provide humanitarian aid to Gaza, the Biden
administration chose a rarely used and weather-dependent deployable floating pier. A key selling
point was no American “boots on ground” that might lead to greater U.S.
involvement in the crisis. A more effective and proven choice would have been a Navy Amphibious Ready Group (ARG) of specialty ships
equipped with landing vehicles and rotary-wing aircraft easily capable of
transferring aid supplies ashore. An ARG’s landing craft include the aircushion
LCAC and more conventional LCU vehicle, and could also move trucks to the
Gaza beach without a U.S. presence ashore.
Finally,
in the remote Second Thomas Shoal of the Philippine archipelago, a former
U.S. Navy tank-landing ship now owned by the Philippine military has become
a sort of maritime firebase anchoring the Filipinos’ claim to those
shoals against a hostile Chinese attempt to force their retreat. Employing
classic Cold War tactics, Beijing has declared a “nine-dash line” border of maritime control over almost the
entire South China Sea, and used its Coast Guard to harass, intimidate, and
bully smaller neighboring states into surrendering their maritime claims to
China. An easy U.S. maritime response would be to undertake the resupply of the grounded Philippine ship with
U.S. Navy assets. The PRC is unlikely to use water cannons on a U.S. Navy
ship, and in any case the United Nations already confirmed the maritime
boundaries of the Philippines in its landmark 2016 South China Sea arbitration
decision, which the Chinese Communists rejected. The U.N.
arbitration award was very specific, declaring, “The ‘nine-dash line’ thus
cannot provide a basis for any entitlement by China to maritime zones in the
area of Mischief Reef or Second Thomas Shoal that would overlap the entitlement
of the Philippines to an exclusive economic zone and continental shelf
generated from baselines on the island of Palawan.”
The U.S. cannot go wrong by standing with its Philippine
ally in defense of sovereignty and international law on the Second Thomas
Shoal. Their gray-zone aggression aside, the Chinese are unlikely to start a
war there.
Navies are the Swiss Army Knife of the diplomatic tool
kit. They are the only form of military unit that can make a port visit to a
competitor state one day, deliver humanitarian aid the next day, and go to war
with vigor on the day after that. National decision-makers have forgotten how
to use this essential tool of diplomacy and deterrence that presidents from
Harry S. Truman and John F. Kennedy to Ronald Reagan and George H. W. Bush used
to achieve U.S. policy goals without provoking a global war. Everyone in D.C.
may think today that they are a “navalist,” but current misapplication of naval
forces suggests reeducation is in order. Policy-makers have realized sea power
is important, but there is precious little understanding of how to use maritime
forces in a nuanced or effective way. Much of this stems from wanting maritime
forces to operate in the same manner and to the same ends as land-air forces,
when they are in reality qualitatively different tools.
That mindset needs to change in D.C., and it needs to
change quickly. The Navy can be a tremendously effective tool for achieving
U.S. policy aims — but only if our leaders know how best to use it.
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