By Nick Catoggio
Monday, July 15, 2024
On Saturday morning, New York Times reporter
Jonathan Swan shared the news online that he’d become a naturalized U.S.
citizen. Scrolling past it, I had two thoughts.
First: Congratulations! It’s heartwarming to see an
immigrant excited about becoming an American, even for those of us who have
lost all sense of national communion.
Second: This is like putting your life savings into Enron
in 2001.
The bankruptcy analogy was still on my mind a few hours
later when an assassin missed
a kill shot aimed at the body politic by roughly an inch. “Gradually, then
suddenly” is how Hemingway famously described the process of going bankrupt.
That’s how America’s civic collapse over the last 10 years has proceeded too:
Gradually, and then—almost—very suddenly in Pennsylvania.
The strange thing about the attempt on Donald Trump’s
life is how familiar elements of it felt despite the fact that political
assassinations in the U.S. are rare. (Although not that
rare.)
To start with, there was a massive
institutional failure by an arm of the federal government. The Secret
Service will eventually muster some excuse for why it let a rooftop with a
clear line of sight to the former president’s podium go unpoliced, but there is
no excuse, obviously. They screwed up. Uncle Sam does it a lot nowadays.
There was Trump himself, a creature of instincts,
reverting to instinct at a primal moment. Pumping his fist, playing to his
fans, exhorting them to “fight, fight, fight” as bullets whizzed around was the
essence of his persona laid bare by danger. It was an impressive show of
bravado by someone whose bravado isn’t
as impressive when the cameras aren’t on.
Then there was the shooter, the very picture of the
nebbishy loner we all expect whenever news breaks of another school shooting. Bullied
by classmates, drawn to
guns: He was so stereotypical that a relative told me she wondered if he
directed his homicidal urges at Trump simply because schools are out for the
summer.
In fact, as details about the gunman emerged on Sunday,
right-wing demagoguery on social media about the great
unspecified “they” who are supposedly to blame for the shooting seemed to
quiet down a bit. Maybe MAGA types were mollified by Joe Biden and other
Democrats scrambling to send well wishes to Trump, but I suspect their own
hunches about what typically motivates nerdy young weirdos to kill began to
inform their theories of what happened.
We may yet learn that the assassin was a left-wing
radical driven to murder by Biden’s warnings about democracy being on the
ballot this fall. But no one will be surprised, I think, if it turns out that
he was just another twisted young man starved for respect who thought his own
show of bravado involving an AR-15 would earn him some in death.
His epitaph should read that he was an enemy of
democracy. There are a lot of them in this story.
***
Political violence inspires tedious writing because most
commentators are decent people and decent people all have the same predictable
reaction to it.
“It’s time to cool it down. We all have a responsibility
to do that,” the president said in his address from
the Oval Office on Sunday night. Everyone involved in politics who cares about
their country—even those at the periphery—will reflect that same priority
because they understand the implications of not doing so.
I’m no exception.
Assassins are enemies of democracy. They’re murderers
too, of course—one of the bullets meant for Trump killed
a father of two—but they warrant special hatred for their affront to the
political order. It’s one thing to kill, it’s another to deprive hundreds of
millions of citizens of their choice of national leader. The words “rigged
election” have been wildly overused since November 2020 but assassination
really is election-rigging of the highest order.
It’s not regicide. It’s an attack on the people
themselves.
Assassins are also enemies of liberalism. We can debate
the finer details of what liberalism requires of its supporters, but granting
people the right to advocate for bad policies without fear of having their
heads blown off is part of the basic package. You might think you believe in
freedom of speech and of association, but if you’re willing to murder someone
for exercising those rights in a way you don’t like, you don’t.
The paradox of liberalism is that it doesn’t withhold its
protections from those who oppose it.
That’s not because it’s inherently virtuous; it’s because
liberalism with exceptions is nonsensical. If it’s okay to shoot Donald Trump
because his vision for America is illiberal, then America is already illiberal.
To embrace exceptions is to set the rules of engagement in fascists’ favor. at
that point, all we’re arguing about in November is which side gets to exploit
the power of the federal government to terrorize the other.
You can’t save liberalism by forfeiting its moral
superiority to the alternative. We are not going to murder our way to a
healthier America.
The very idea of trying to do so reminds me of a
phenomenon doctors observed early in the pandemic, when some patients succumbed
not because they responded too weakly to the virus but because they overreacted.
Their immune systems went haywire, producing so many antibodies that the
resulting hyperinflammation ended up killing them instead of the COVID itself.
In politics, as in virology, sometimes the cure really is
worse than the disease.
To all of that one might say that Trump is no ordinary
advocate for illiberalism. He’s the frontrunner for president, has well-articulated
authoritarian plans for a second term, and leads a personality cult
unlike any in U.S. history. If ever there were a case where America might
profit on balance from suspending the usual rules of liberalism, it’s this one.
But that’s silly even if you ignore my point about
liberalism being devoured by its exceptions. It’s silly because, as regular
readers know, there
is no “Trump problem.” Trump’s influence exacerbates the actual
problem, but removing him from politics won’t solve it. It will persist after
he’s gone. And depending on the manner in which he departs, it could plausibly
get much worse in his absence.
Again: We’re not going to assassinate our way to a more
sensible Republican Party. If you think we are, I’m sorry to inform you that
you’ve grossly underestimated the scale of illiberalism on the American right.
However cynical you might think you are about Trump and the nature of his
movement, it turns out you’re not cynical enough. Still, I understand why some
find it galling to see Trump’s critics rally to his defense at this moment.
It’s less a matter of believing that American life would improve without him
than of resenting that so many have rushed to extend him a moral courtesy he
routinely denies to others.
No American leader has done more to normalize violence as
a tactic, David Frum noted
on Sunday. Trump has raised the proverbial temperature so high that it’s
now in liberalism’s interest to treat him as a sympathetic victim for the sake
of anathematizing further violence than to shun him for having mainstreamed
menace as a political tool:
The despicable shooting at Trump,
which also caused death and injury to others, now secures his undeserved
position as a partner in the protective rituals of the democracy he despises.
The appropriate expressions of dismay and condemnation from every prominent
voice in American life have the additional effect of habituating Americans to
Trump’s legitimacy. In the face of such an outrage, the familiar and proper
practice is to stress unity, to proclaim that Americans have more things in
common than that divide them. Those soothing words, true in the past, are less
true now.
Nobody seems to have language to
say: We abhor, reject, repudiate, and punish all political violence, even as we
maintain that Trump remains himself a promoter of such violence, a subverter of
American institutions, and the very opposite of everything decent and patriotic
in American life.
Trump has winked at or celebrated violence against his
political enemies repeatedly, from offenses as grand as honoring the miscreants
behind January 6 to ones as petty as mocking Nancy Pelosi’s
elderly husband after he was nearly bludgeoned to death. When a child
aroused by fire is warned not to play with matches and persists, it’s
understandable to treat his inevitable singeing as a hard but useful lesson
that might make him behave
more responsibly.
But that’s more optimistic about Trump’s nature than I’m
willing to be. And to believe that he had it coming amounts to taking what we
might generously describe as an “anti-anti-assassination” view of what happened
on Saturday. To hold that belief is to align oneself with the man who pulled
the trigger, an enemy of democracy.
I won’t do it. But I also won’t align myself with his
target, an enemy of democracy himself.
***
“One Democratic strategist who has worked on multiple
presidential campaigns and on Capitol Hill said that the physical targeting of
Trump robs Biden of his main argument against the former president,” NBC News reported
on Sunday. The president has accused Trump many times of being a threat to
the constitutional order but “that message is dead” now, the strategist said.
I’ve heard the same thing from friends. If Democrats
believe it’s urgent to “cool down” the political temperature and speak more
responsibly, how can they go on catastrophizing about Trump by insisting that
“democracy is on the ballot”? The more apocalyptic their rhetoric is about his
return to power, the likelier it is that another crackpot will take a shot at
him.
I don’t know what Democrats will do, but I can tell you
what I’ll do in this newsletter. I’ll go on catastrophizing about Trump because
he is, in fact, a catastrophe for America’s civic tradition.
Democracy is on the ballot. If Republicans
don’t like hearing that, they shouldn’t have nominated a coup-plotter and coup-enabler.
Just as an assassin shouldn’t deprive Trump of his life or the people of their
choice of leader, neither should he deprive me of my prerogative to point out
that MAGA’s emperor isn’t wearing any clothes. The truth is the truth,
no less so today than it was before that worm aimed and fired on Saturday.
Republicans understood that when it was more politically
convenient to do so. In 2011, the left demagogued
the Tea Party for its hot rhetoric about Democrats after Rep. Gabby
Giffords was shot, despite the fact that the shooter turned out not
to have a coherent motive. The right correctly recognized that at the time
as a ploy to silence legitimate political criticism by equating it with
incitement to violence.
In 2024, it’s Republicans who’ve decided that it’s untoward to
criticize a politician who’s been wounded, however legitimate the criticism
might be. “After today, I never want to hear ‘January 6’ from anyone on the
left again,” read one post widely
circulated on Twitter after the shooting. Some analysts complained that
Biden’s reference to the insurrection during his Oval Office address was
“polarizing” and unhelpful, as if political violence glorified by Republicans
deserves some special exemption from appeals to national unity.
Sen. Mike Lee went as far as to say that the pending
criminal cases against Trump should be dropped
after the assassination attempt. (Good
news, Mike!) “Trump might get shot again if we don’t let him do crimes” is
a succinct summation of what modern Republicanism now stands for.
It should go without saying that none of this is sincere.
If it were, people like Lee wouldn’t have looked the other
way for years as Trump and his fans nurtured
a culture
of political
intimidation. Demanding that critics lay off of him post-shooting is simply
their cynical way of pressuring Trump’s opponents into stifling their most
potent objections to him. Republicans have no defense on the merits to the
charge that he’s a threat to democracy—a charge Trump has also leveled at
Biden, by the way—so they’re hoping to exploit the attack to rule the
entire line of criticism out of order as “dangerous.”
Almost certainly, that also explains the curious news on
Monday that Trump has turned
over a new leaf since his frightening brush with death. He’s rewriting his
convention address to ditch the invective against Biden and emphasize national
unity, according to Axios. “I think it’s real,” Tucker Carlson told
the outlet of the possibility that Trump’s heart, like the Grinch’s, grew three
sizes since Saturday. “Getting shot in the face changes a man.”
Maybe. Stranger things have happened than a “dark triad”
personality with a messianic complex embracing altruism after trauma—but not
many. Trump’s rant
this morning about the “January
6th hoax,” for instance, didn’t sound very unity-minded; neither did his new
running mate’s tweet on Saturday blaming Joe Biden “directly” for the
assassination attempt in Pennsylvania. But even if Trump really is momentarily
disposed to take a softer approach to his enemies, the nature of his political
movement is such that it can’t last. The cause of nationalism is to overcome
and subjugate competing domestic tribes in order to establish supremacy. It
doesn’t do “unity.”
I can’t know for sure, I suppose, but I assume Trump’s
“Scrooge on Christmas morning” shtick is less about an earnest change of heart
than about executing a strategy to reassure nervous swing voters that they can
trust him with a second term. The obvious way to counterprogram Democrats’
warnings that he’s an illiberal maniac is to use his big stage in Milwaukee to
present a low-key, kumbaya image instead. It’s shrewd, in keeping with
the professionalism of his operation under advisers like Susie Wiles and Chris
LaCivita.
So long as professions of unity serve Trump’s selfish
interests, he’ll pay lip service to the idea. But if he ends up losing narrowly
again in November, it’ll go down the toilet faster than it did even in 2020.
Meanwhile, Republicans will continue to lean into the
idea that criticizing their nominee in dire terms as a threat to the
constitutional order and a strongman with dictatorial pretensions is as
irresponsible as shouting “fire!” in a crowded theater.
But it isn’t. There really is a fire.
And under those circumstances, it’s more irresponsible to
say nothing than to keep quiet for the sake of “lowering the temperature”
before everyone burns.
There’s a moral duty to shout “fire!” when a fire is
raging, in fact, just as attendees at Trump’s rally fulfilled their moral duty
to shout at police on Saturday to alert them to a gunman on the roof. If you
believe in democracy and liberalism, you do neither any favors by letting your
political rhetoric be dictated by
what’s useful rather than what’s true.
It may not be “useful” at this delicate moment to say
that Trump and his apologists are enemies of democracy. But it’s as true today
as it was last week.
So long as we have elections in America—and there’s still
one scheduled for 2028 [knocks wood]—there’s no conscientious way for
liberals to put out a political fire except at the polls. If and when that
changes, the calculus will change with it. But until it does, assassination
isn’t a fire extinguisher. It’s gasoline.
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