By Jeffrey Blehar
Thursday, July 25, 2024
Did you hear the news? In a process that had nothing to
do with party democracy (so stop asking questions and get in line, peasant),
Vice President Kamala Harris is now the presumptive Democratic presidential
nominee and is off to the races. Forget how she got there. Forget why she
got there, even. Joe Biden certainly did nothing whatsoever to explain the answer in his
supposed valedictory address to the nation last night, except to selfishly note
whilst sitting in the Oval Office that he suddenly stepped away from the
presidential race — but not the presidency (yet), mind you! — to “unite the
party.” (Thanks for making it clear who comes first, President Joe.)
In fact, forget anything you ever may have heard or
read about Kamala Harris prior to three days ago. For in the eyes of
all mainstream media, this woman has been not reborn like a phoenix but, even
more dramatically, born anew, sprung fully formed from the fallen head
of an aged Zeus after he nodded off one too many times. This Kamala
Harris? You’ve never seen a charismatic powerhouse like this before, friends.
This woman has no sins upon her name, and how MAGA of you to suggest otherwise.
You say that Kamala was prominently assigned, in public,
a “border czar” task? You
made it up. Was she rated the most liberal senator in America by GovTrack
in 2019 when she ran for the Democratic presidential nomination? It
never happened. She advocated mandatory gun buybacks? You’re wrong.
Enthusiastically embraced single-payer health care? No way. Endorsed ending the
Senate filibuster to pass the full Green New Deal? Not a chance. She is not
cleansed of her sins; her sins never existed in the first place.
Of course, all
of these things and more happened. Kamala Harris has a past, and no matter
how many times the mainstream media tries to gaslight the public like Jonathan
Frakes smugly
telling you you’re wrong for 47 seconds, no true “fresh start” can really
be in the offing for her. She inherits the Biden administration’s record as
well as her own prior to that; she comes attended by her own natural
weaknesses; she sheds only his age and decrepitude as an issue. So the closest
she can really get to a fresh start is a fresh face as her vice-presidential
pick. And that can matter around the margins — after all, whoever they pick
will at least have the distinct advantage, unlike J. D. Vance, of not having
gone onto Tucker Carlson’s Fox show a few years ago to denounce America as
being ruled by “childless cat ladies.”
CBS News has helpfully informed us (via the Harris campaign, and for all
the usual head-fake and ego-stroking reasons) of a list of potential running
mates being vetted. There are twelve names on the list, but we can safely
dismiss a number of them as fairly obscure longshots that offer no ballast to
the ticket. Admiral William McRaven, the man who helmed the successful Bin
Laden raid under Obama, has already withdrawn his name from consideration in a
bow as much to reality as to anything else. Some others, like Illinois governor
J. B. Pritzker, put me in mind of the dog in that famous Far Side cartoon. Parked behind the open
clothes dryer crudely labeled “CAT FUD,” he prays, “Oh please, oh please,” as
he waits for his rival to take the bait. (Pritzker’s sole qualification for
national office is money, gobs and gobs of money.) Some tout Minnesota governor
Tim Walz as a sleeper pick, but his midwestern appeal isn’t going to change the
game in states like Pennsylvania or Michigan, and any Democratic campaign
seeking to shore up Minnesota has already lost the race.
For despite the chaos of the last month, the electoral
map remains fundamentally unchanged: Harris’s lone plausible path to victory —
given the likely loss of Sun Belt states picked off by Democrats in 2020 — is
hitting all three of the party’s Rust Belt targets:
Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin. One is not enough. Two
is not enough. Only all three will get them over the edge.
Therefore, I think her strongest choices for what remains
an underdog campaign are Arizona senator Mark Kelly, Pennsylvania governor Josh
Shapiro, and Michigan governor Gretchen Whitmer, in that descending order,
though none of them is anything like a magic bullet that will save a campaign
otherwise dependent on external forces — media-fueled buoyancy and the
Trump-Vance ticket’s inherent weaknesses — for success at this late date.
Kelly, of course, doesn’t come from the Rust Belt at all, but his public reputation
— forget the reality here, we’re selling narrative — as an uncontroversial,
sensible, reputedly moderate politician, not to mention an astronaut and
husband of former representative (and survivor of an assassination attempt)
Gabrielle Giffords, is probably best suited to the moment for Democrats.
Shapiro, an enthusiastic pro-abortion culture warrior,
would in any normal circumstance be the ideal choice for Harris, and in a world
where October 7 had never happened he would be the obvious pick. But his having
struck a tone of distinct sobriety and dignity in the public ructions since
October 7, as an avowedly pro-Zionist Jew, might cause a substantial portion of
the Democrats’ coalition to spit the bit. And not just in Michigan, but among a
committed youth and activist vote nationwide. (It is a despairing commentary on
the state of the Democratic coalition that such calculations are now openly
discussed by political oddsmakers on all sides, and we barely pause to consider
how insane this is.) Whitmer would signal, tonally at least, a “girl power” ticket
— and for conservatives who loathe her, I warn you that some of her steelier
appeal may translate in ways you fail to anticipate.
Finally, there appears on the list Secretary of
Transportation Pete Buttigieg, once known to the world as “Mayor Pete,” the
buttoned-down, McKinsey-consultant embodiment of Harvard-elite progressivism,
complete with an enthusiasm for bike lanes. He somehow leapfrogged his way from
small-town mayor of South Bend, Ind., to a comically narrow win in the 2020
Iowa caucuses before vaporizing like a cloud of fresh-linen-scent Febreeze once
the race hit South Carolina. (All you need to know about how controversial
Buttigieg’s victory in the 2020 Iowa Democratic caucuses was is that, because
of it, there will likely never be an Iowa Democratic caucus again.) This
showing was enough to vault him into Biden’s cabinet, where he has (with karmic
perfection) presided over a series of historically chaotic interstate transportation disasters the
likes of which are unparalleled in living memory. So perhaps Mayor Pete’s
closest literary analogue was right when he said that “chaos is a ladder.”
But I well recall December 2003, when National
Review ran a legendary cover of Howard Dean bellowing angrily at the
top of his lungs (this was before his flameout in the 2004 Iowa caucuses, mind
you) with the headline “PLEASE NOMINATE THIS MAN.” I can myself offer only the same
plea to Democrats about Buttigieg. I remain as unwilling to vote for Donald
Trump as ever; that doesn’t mean I wouldn’t enjoy watching immensely what
happens when the Democrats try to double down on the exact aspects of their
political identity that are already dissolving the original core of their
coalition like hydrochloric acid. What can I say? I love science experiments.
So who knows what Kamala may end up doing? Most people
would tell her to pick someone safe and boring. Me, I like to think of myself
as more of an outside-the-box guy, a galaxy-brain type if you will. Kamala
needs a game-changer, a choice that shows America what can be, unburdened by
what has been. Kamala Harris should tag none of these sad-sack losers. No, I
instead recommend she lunge boldly to the center by making a true unity pick,
bringing every faction of the Democratic Party together. Think about it: We all
remember how brutally Kamala Harris savaged Joe Biden during the 2020 campaign
as a racist and a hypocrite for opposing busing, and we remember how graciously
forgiving Biden was in choosing her as his running mate and then assigning her
such weighty responsibilities. I therefore suggest that history should repeat:
Kamala will unite the clans by burying the hatchet with her oldest enemy as
well. Ladies and gentlemen, get ready for Vice President Tulsi
Gabbard.
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