By Rich Lowry
Tuesday, May 21, 2024
‘The stars will never be won by little minds,”
observed the great science-fiction writer Robert Heinlein. If we aren’t
careful, though, they just might be won by the scheming minds of governments
hostile to the United States.
A notable New York Times piece the other day
reported that the “Pentagon is
rushing to expand its capacity to wage war in space, convinced that rapid
advances by China and Russia in space-based operations pose a growing threat to
U.S. troops and other military assets on the ground and American satellites in
orbit.”
There are two things to be said about this — one, it’s
about time, and two, we need to be doing much more.
Space is indeed the final frontier . . . for romantic
nonsense that ignores human realities and the imperatives of war-fighting.
For all the talk of how pristine space is, it is an
incredibly unforgiving environment. Yes, it looks beautiful, but so do the air
and sea. And sure, space has provided the occasion for compelling art, but so
what? We don’t let Herman Melville or J. M. W. Turner convince us that we
should ban all battleships or submarines.
Playing defense in space — or simply trying to protect
our assets — doesn’t make any more sense than doing so on the ground, in the
air, or on the sea. Would we ever just give our troops lots of Kevlar vests and
station them in elaborate concrete bunkers, but deny them the use of rifles or
artillery? Would we ever want our warplanes merely to be capable of evading and
surviving enemy attacks without their own missiles and bombs?
Even if we wanted to keep space weapons-free, space is
already a domain central to modern military operations. Try to operate a U.S.
carrier strike group or even an infantry brigade without the communications,
positioning information, or reconnaissance provided by space. As the assistant
secretary of defense for space has put it, space is “absolutely essential to
our way of war.”
Russia and China realize that. Since they aren’t nice,
well-meaning people content to see the United States continue as the world’s
foremost military power, they have set about finding ways to eliminate our
advantages.
In response, we have been working on making our
satellites harder to take out. We’ve been reducing our reliance on large,
sophisticated satellites that are expensive to build, supposed to last for
decades, and are enticing targets. We’ve been adding higher numbers of smaller
satellites. They are cheaper, aren’t built to last as long so can evolve
technologically more quickly, and can be launched much more rapidly. This — as
well as making satellites more maneuverable — will create a more resilient
force.
But defense isn’t enough. We should arm our spacecraft
with the non-kinetic (electronic- and cyber-warfare capabilities, together with
directed energy) and kinetic weapons necessary to disable or shoot down
threatening satellites. Again, did we make the Sherman tank without a gun in
World War II and hope its armor and maneuverability would see it through?
Space also should be used to intercept nuclear weapons.
Merely holding out the possibility of a nuclear launch could be used to coerce
the United States in a crisis and, much more seriously, a nuclear attack could
deal American society a blow from which it would never recover.
It is insane that our chief means of protecting ourselves
from this threat is several dozen decades-old ground-based interceptors. We
should be pursuing capabilities, such as space-based lasers, that were once the
stuff of science fiction. In a pinch, it’s hard to believe a U.S. president
would ever regret having more ways to shoot down an incoming nuclear missile.
(By the way, as far as worries about weaponizing space are concerned — a
nuclear missile would travel through space, so we shouldn’t hesitate to shoot
one down in space.)
All this will require national focus and a clear-eyed
view of a contested domain critical to our ability to deter and win wars.
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